Am I the only optimist who thinks DeSantis can lose re-election next year? Split ticketing does happen here. See 2016. Rubio ran way ahead of trump.
Florida is a state where Republicans outperform the presidential topline downballot. DeSantis looks set to pick up a decently sized chunk of Biden's 2020 voters, while losing few if any of Trump's voters.
Who are these Biden voters who just rejected Trump but who won’t reject trump 2.0? There can’t be that many, but I’ll give you the turnout factor.
Polls show that DeSantis is pretty popular in Florida. Besides, Florida Hispanics are trending rapidly to the right thanks to Rick Scott. I'd be surprised if DeSantis wins by less than 10, let alone loses.