NH-UNH: Sununu +1 over Hassan, Hassan leads other opponents (user search)
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  NH-UNH: Sununu +1 over Hassan, Hassan leads other opponents (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Sununu +1 over Hassan, Hassan leads other opponents  (Read 3108 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,514


« on: July 22, 2021, 12:30:42 PM »

Tossup is Tossup.
 Sununu having a +26 favorabilities edge on Hassan but only leading by 1 shows the limit of personal popularity in a time of intense negative partisanship.
As usual dems will try to nationalize the race and make Sununu into a Generic R.
You do realize it that UNH is a D-leaning Pollster! The Polling Industry botched up everything the last 3 Cycles.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,514


« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2021, 12:58:29 PM »

Tossup is Tossup.
 Sununu having a +26 favorabilities edge on Hassan but only leading by 1 shows the limit of personal popularity in a time of intense negative partisanship.
As usual dems will try to nationalize the race and make Sununu into a Generic R.
You do realize it that UNH is a D-leaning Pollster! The Polling Industry botched up everything the last 3 Cycles.

But yet the Rs haven't won the NPVI since 2016 and the Congressional Generic ballot since 2014 Rs picked up CO, MT, WV, SD / that yr it was a red map in 2014/ this yr its a Prez map in Senate which benefits Ds

2018 they won the Senate but only won IN, ND and MO
This is just utter garbarge what you are saying here. It only favours Democrats if the National Political Environment is in their favour and I doubt it will be.

Nationalizing a Race like this like @CityofSinners wants Democrats to do is the worst thing they could do. Good Luck trying to tie Sununu to Trump when the Governor is one of the most Anti-Trump Governors in the Country.

Jeanne Shaheen beat Scott Brown in 2014 because she localized the Race. Kay Hagan kept the NC Senate Race close that year by tying Tillis to the Republican State Legislature.

I am amazed how many Atlas Democratic Wannabees have no real understanding of US Politics at all!
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,514


« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2021, 12:59:40 PM »

Tossup is Tossup.
 Sununu having a +26 favorabilities edge on Hassan but only leading by 1 shows the limit of personal popularity in a time of intense negative partisanship.
As usual dems will try to nationalize the race and make Sununu into a Generic R.
You do realize it that UNH is a D-leaning Pollster! The Polling Industry botched up everything the last 3 Cycles.

They had a partisan bias of D+0.7 in 2020.
Any University Pollster should be taken with a huge grain of salt these Days. They didn't do well at all!
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,514


« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2021, 02:07:58 PM »

Tossup is Tossup.
 Sununu having a +26 favorabilities edge on Hassan but only leading by 1 shows the limit of personal popularity in a time of intense negative partisanship.
As usual dems will try to nationalize the race and make Sununu into a Generic R.
You do realize it that UNH is a D-leaning Pollster! The Polling Industry botched up everything the last 3 Cycles.

But yet the Rs haven't won the NPVI since 2016 and the Congressional Generic ballot since 2014 Rs picked up CO, MT, WV, SD / that yr it was a red map in 2014/ this yr its a Prez map in Senate which benefits Ds

2018 they won the Senate but only won IN, ND and MO
This is just utter garbarge what you are saying here. It only favours Democrats if the National Political Environment is in their favour and I doubt it will be.

Nationalizing a Race like this like @CityofSinners wants Democrats to do is the worst thing they could do. Good Luck trying to tie Sununu to Trump when the Governor is one of the most Anti-Trump Governors in the Country.

Jeanne Shaheen beat Scott Brown in 2014 because she localized the Race. Kay Hagan kept the NC Senate Race close that year by tying Tillis to the Republican State Legislature.

I am amazed how many Atlas Democratic Wannabees have no real understanding of US Politics at all!

How do we have no understanding of politics and Rs have lost consistently have you seen a recent Election other than 2010/2014 where Rs have won the Atlas user map Predictions, no they haven't
LOL, Atlas User Prediction Maps are CRAP! Several Models are already saying that Democrats will lose the House.
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