2021 College Football Discussion and Pick'em Thread

[GeorgiaModerate]

A wild one in the MAC as Bowling Green upset Buffalo 56-44.  A total of 49 points were scored in the fourth quarter.

[Ancestral Republican]

Pitt should seriously leave the ACC after that travesty of a game.

[GeorgiaModerate]

That was one of the wildest couple of minutes I've ever seen.  With about two minutes left in the half, Georgia led 3-0 and Florida had the ball.  At the half, it's 24-0 Georgia following three Florida turnovers that all led to Georgia TDs.

[Dereich]

The Florida Georgia score is 24-0 at halftime. If you aren’t watching don’t get fooled into thinking that the Georgia offense is some kind of powerhouse. They’ve looked mediocre. At best. It was a combination of absolutely boneheaded decisions by Florida (going for it on 4th and 13 on the 40 and leaving the end zone on the interception) as well as superhuman Georgia Defense plays (that batted interception!) that caused this to not go into the half at 3-0.

[Dereich]

Pitt, Michigan, Florida, Florida State. Every team I rooted for today lost in a painful manner. I suffer.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

It's sadly probably time for a coaching change at TCU....

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the early games done, Terry leads with 11-4, I'm at 10-5, Donerail is 9-6, and everyone else is 8-7.

[Ancestral Republican]

Pitt, Michigan, Florida, Florida State. Every team I rooted for today lost in a painful manner. I suffer.

F**k (and I cannot emphasize this enough) the University of Miami. Now all I can do is hope my Scarlet and Gray boys give the Pedos a well-deserved thrashing.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I've had a dislike for Miami ever since they won against Tulane due to being given a fifth down late in a 1972 game, and refused to forfeit it afterward despite calls for them to do so.

OTOH, I have to give them some props for once winning a game 31-4, which has to be one of the oddest scores ever.  (Four points is rare enough as it is, but to make it even weirder, both safeties were caused by the Miami center snapping the ball over their punter's head and out of the back of the end zone.)

[Terry the Fat Shark]

SMU falls to Houston

[GeorgiaModerate]

SMU falls to Houston

On a 100-yard kickoff return for a TD after SMU had tied it with about 30 seconds left!

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Hard to imagine a worse set of outcomes than today. Thanks to Michigan State and Mississippi State for dulling the full force of the blow. Former did a lot!

[Ancestral Republican]

Pedo State always plays the Buckeyes close, but we got the job done. Onto LOLbraska.

[GeorgiaModerate]

WEEK 9 RESULTS

Terry cruised to the win with 19-6, three games ahead of Donerail and me.  Full results:

19 Terry
16 Donerail, GeorgiaModerate
15 ExtremeRepublican
14 Dereich
12 Illiniwek, NY Express, Orwell
11 JGibson

There were 7 unanimous picks:

Pitt-Miami (wrong)
Iowa State-West Virginia (wrong)
Georgia-Florida
Oklahoma-Texas Tech
Appalachian State-UL Monroe
Ohio State-Penn State
San Diego State-Fresno State (wrong)

There were 4 games with a single dissenter:

Baylor-Texas
Maryland-Indiana
NC State-Louisville
Stanford-Washington (dissenter was right)

Overall, Donerail now leads by two games over Dereich.  Year to date (225 games):

144 Donerail
142 Dereich
140 NY Express
139 GeorgiaModerate
136 Terry
134 ExtremeRepublican
120 JGibson
116 Illiniwek
92 Dingo Joe
24 Orwell

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the first official CFP rankings coming out this week, here are 538's current probabilities to make the playoff (teams with at least 10% chance listed):

Georgia 79%
Alabama 51%
Oklahoma 50%
Ohio State 44%
Cincinnati 39%
Oregon 23%
Michigan State 21%
Oklahoma State 16%
Notre Dame 13%
Wake Forest 13%
Baylor 12%
Michigan 10%

Odds for teams if they win out (teams with >50% chance listed):

Georgia >99%
Alabama >99%
Oklahoma >99%
Michigan State >99%
Ohio State 98%
Auburn 98%
Okla. State 97%
Baylor 96%
Wake Forest 93%
Oregon 91%
Cincinnati 73%
Minnesota 60%
Michigan 57%

Obviously some of these are mutually exclusive, since no more than one team per conference can win out. Note that Notre Dame isn't in the second list; winning out only gets it to a 32% chance of making the playoff.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Week 10

Saturday, November 6th

Army vs Air Force at Globe Life Park in Arlington, TX 11:30 AM EDT CBS

#10 Wake Forest @ North Carolina Noon EDT ABC

Liberty @ #15 Ole Miss Noon EDT SECN

#23 SMU @ Memphis Noon EDT ESPNU

Georgia Tech @ Miami (FL) 12:30 PM EDT ESPN3

Temple @ East Carolina 3 PM EDT ESPN+

UL Monroe @ Texas State 3 PM EDT ESPN+

Tulsa @ #2 Cincinnati 3:30 PM EDT ESPN2

#5 Michigan State @ Purdue 3:30 PM EDT ABC

#11 Oklahoma State @ West Virginia 3:30 PM EDT ESPN

#12 Auburn @ #13 Texas A&M 3:30 PM EDT CBS

#14 Baylor @ TCU 3:30 PM EDT FOX

#22 Penn State @ Maryland 3:30 PM EDT FS1

South Alabama @ Troy 3:30 PM EDT CBSSN

Mississippi State @ Arkansas 4 PM EDT SECN

Marshall @ Florida Atlantic 6 PM EDT

Tennessee @ #18 Kentucky 7 PM EDT ESPN2

Boise State @ #25 Fresno State 7 PM EDT CBSSN

Old Dominion @ Florida International 7 PM EDT ESPN3

#7 Oregon @ Washington 7:30 PM EDT ABC

Clemson @ Louisville 7:30 PM EDT ACCN

Texas @ Iowa State 7:30 PM EDT FS1

San Jose State @ Nevada 10 PM EDT

#16 UTSA @ UTEP 10:15 PM EDT ESPN2

USC @ Arizona State 10:30 PM EDT ESPN

[Orwell]

#6 Michigan @ #8 Michigan State Noon EDT FOX (I'm no fool. I don't think Michigan is way better than Michigan State. Frankly I think McNamara is not the right qb for this team and things are going to get a lot tougher for him this second half of the season. But Harbaugh gets the boys ready to play in East Lansing. I think they can eek out a tough one here. Have to have at least a little faith.

If you're a Michigan fan, then I'm sorry. But as a Spartan, it was an electric time to be in East Lansing, I spent some time at Cedar Villages for MSU's most famous extra curricular activities, and I'm thankful that the game wasn't at night because it would have been absolute chaos.

[Donerail]

WEEK TEN

Saturday, November 6th

Army "@" Air Force [at Arlington, TX]
#10 Wake Forest @ North Carolina — Wake has been a fun Cinderella story but, as with Iowa, that sort of thing tends to collapse sooner or later
Liberty @ #15 Ole Miss
#23 SMU @ Memphis
Georgia Tech @ Miami (FL)
Temple @ East Carolina
UL Monroe @ Texas State
Tulsa @ #2 Cincinnati — inexplicable that Gameday is here instead of El Paso, mostly because Cincy should flatten Tulsa
#5 Michigan State @ Purdue
#11 Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
#12 Auburn @ #13 Texas A&M
#14 Baylor @ TCU — have to wonder how long Patterson can keep this job
#22 Penn State @ Maryland
South Alabama @ Troy
Mississippi State @ Arkansas
Marshall @ Florida Atlantic
Tennessee @ #18 Kentucky
Boise State @ #25 Fresno State
Old Dominion @ Florida International
#7 Oregon @ Washington — I was exposed to Washington football last night and, although they won, they are... wow. Not a great situation up there.
Clemson @ Louisville
Texas @ Iowa State
San José State @ Nevada
#16 UTSA @ UTEP
USC @ Arizona State

[GeorgiaModerate]

#7 Oregon @ Washington — I was exposed to Washington football last night and, although they won, they are... wow. Not a great situation up there.

Does this mean you have to quarantine for 14 days?

[Donerail]

#7 Oregon @ Washington — I was exposed to Washington football last night and, although they won, they are... wow. Not a great situation up there.

Does this mean you have to quarantine for 14 days?

Public health officials have advised me as much, yes

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://twitter.com/newyscruggs/status/1454950666376470536
Wow, they actually did it

[Donerail]

#14 Baylor @ TCU — have to wonder how long Patterson can keep this job

About three hours.

[NewYorkExpress]

Wake Forest
Army
Ole Miss
SMU
Miami(FL)
East Carolina
Texas State
Cincinnati (if the Bearcats keep playing like they have been, I might have to pick SMU when they play Cincinnati)
Michigan State
Oklahoma State
Auburn
Baylor
Penn State
Troy
Mississippi State (Arkansas's been freefalling lately)
Marshall
Kentucky
Fresno State
Old Dominion
Clemson
Texas
Nevada
UTSA
Arizona State

[NewYorkExpress]

If I were on the Playoff Committee, here's what my rankings would look like:

1. Georgia
2. Michigan State
3. Cincinnati
4. Alabama

Just out: Ohio State, Oregon, Oklahoma, SMU, Wake Forest.

[NewYorkExpress]

My guess as to who TCU will look at to replace Gary Patterson:

University of Louisiana Head Coach Bill Napier

UTSA Head Coach Jeff Traylor

SMU Head Coach Sonny Dykes

Former LSU Head Coach Ed Orgeron

Wake Forest Head Coach Dave Clawson