https://www.twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1417512351218163719I’ve noticed that as the Democratic party has gotten more “woke” since “round Obama’s second term, they’ve also lost the original Obama coalition of WWC Midwesterners, while also losing those same working class minorities who propelled Obama to landslide margins of victory- though this development is much more recent (and thus we can’t be 100% sure if it is permanent or not), and applies better to Hispanics than Black voters, though working-class Black men also swung right in recent years.
However, as the Dems have gotten more woke, white college voters/suburbanites have undeniably swung left. It is easy to pin this on Trump being an infamously poor fit for this demographic, but I feel like solely pinning it on Trump is missing the point, as this demographic has basically swung left since Reagan, and shows no signs of stopping. I think that younger, millennial white college voters are fairly liberal, and socially far to the left of non-Whites in many ways. But while this has been true for some time, I also believe that the partisan gap is also
finally catching up to them, just like it took a while for WWC/rural voters to swing right (see, Elliot County, KY. Also see Zapata and Starr County, TX).
Does this mean that the future of the Democratic party is losing WWC
and NWWC support in order to max out support with “woke” College Whites and “woke” White suburbanites?
Debate!
