My 2006 Gubernatorial Prediction Thread

[© tweed]

Solid D

Arizona
Kansas
New Hampshire
New Mexico
New York*
Ohio*
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Tennessee
Wyoming

Likely D

Arkansas*
Colorado*
Illinois

Lean D

Maine
Maryland*
Massachusetts*
Wisconsin

Tossup D

Iowa
Michigan
Rhode Island*

Tossup R

None

Lean R

Florida
Minnesota

Likely R

Alaska
California
Nevada

Solid R

Alabama
Alaska
Connecticut
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Nebraska
South Carolina
South Dakota
Texas
Vermont

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Democrats gain 7 governorships.  Comments welcome.

[Nym90]

That's only a gain of 7; Wisconsin would not be a pickup.

[WalterMitty]

massachusetts: kerry healey.

[Boris]

Your predictions are pretty much identical to mine except I have Rhode Island as a tossup GOP.

Oh, and I'd put Maine in tossup DEM.

[Gustaf]

That's only a gain of 7; Wisconsin would not be a pickup.

New York, Maryland, Ohio, Arkansas, Colorado, Massachusetts and Rhode Island. That's 7 (I guess you missed RI)

[DownWithTheLeft]

Solid D

Arizona
Kansas
New Hampshire
New Mexico
New York*
Ohio*
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Tennessee
Wyoming

I'd put Oregon in likely not solid

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Pretty good a little confident on Arkansas

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I'd say Maine and MA are tossup Dem and MD is GOP, but that is my opinion

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Still think Carcieri has the edge as well as DeVos, I agree Nussle is trailing by a bit

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Sure, not much to argue

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I guess

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[7,052,770]

Why is everyone so convinced that Palin will win AK?  Wasn't Knowles well liked when he used to be governor?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I guess because he lost to Lisa Murkowski and he has won a single pol and he is behind by double digits. If he was within single digits, I can see but not now.