U.K local elections maps

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Birmingham 2006, % majority...



More soon...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

% Tory in Brum, 2006...



Best: Sutton Four Oaks
Worst: can't remember exactly; either Aston, Bordesley Green or Sparkbrook.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

% Labour, same election...



Best: Soho (although Washwood Heath was not far behind)
Worst: Sutton Four Oaks

[Harry Hayfield]

Birmingham 2006, % majority...



More soon...

Let me guess. That very blue bit at the top must be Sutton Coldfield, right? What's that green bit in the middle?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Let me guess. That very blue bit at the top must be Sutton Coldfield, right?

Of course

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Sparkbrook (which went Respect this year).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

% LibDem same election:



Best: Sheldon
Worst: Can't actually remember... er... Quinton I think...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Greenies now:



Best: Harbourne
Worst: Springfield (no candidate) or Aston.

[Harry Hayfield]

I suspect it may have been covered in a past posting on maps, but could someone post some maps to explain the following questions:

1) Did Elmbridge (Rates loss to NOC) vote Conservative or did Labour and the Lib Dems take votes from the Ratepayers?

2) Why didn't the Lib Dems gain Southwark from NOC given that in the rest of London Labour collapsed?

3) What happened to the Lib Dems in Islington?

4) And how on earth did the Conservatives win Bassetlaw?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

2) Why didn't the Lib Dems gain Southwark from NOC given that in the rest of London Labour collapsed?

Two (main) reasons:

1. The Hughes machine, which has been slowly declining for a few years now, took a nasty knock earlier this year. He might actually be in trouble next election.
2. Labour did quite well in those parts of inner-London where we have traditionally done well in and which have not been (seriously) gentrified.

The LibDems were always likely to lose Livesey (which is the northernmost bit of Peckham and the southernmost bit of Rotherhithe) due to infighting and the fact that they should never have won it in the first place (Hughes got slaughtered there in the Mayoral election IIRC), but more interesting, and perhaps more suprising, was the loss of support in the wards around the Elephant & Castle.
It should also be pointed out that in one end of the borough the LibDems did rather well; winning the middle class East Dulwich ward off Labour for example. O/c from a demographic point of view, East Dulwich seems much more like natural territory for the LibDems than East Walworth...

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Well they were always likely to suffer some losses (2002 was just stunning for them), but I think the perception that the Hitchens (who lost his own seat) regime had become arrogant and autocratic did most of the damage. That... and the fact that South & Finsbury has a new Labour M.P for the first time in over two decades, and who has been campaigning pretty much non-stop since her election.
O/c Labour would have actually taken control of Islington if the Tories had run candidates in all wards.

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They did fluke-ishly well there in 2004 (trailing Labour in the popular vote but, somehow, winning something like 90% of seats up. Labour lost a hell of a lot of seats by tiny, tiny margins) basically. In terms of wards won they actually did worse this year than in 2004 (especially in East Retford IIRC) although, again, they had all the luck.
Also note that Bassetlaw DC includes some very Tory wards around Tuxford that aren't in the Parliamentary seat and haven't been for decades (and they o/c have a lot more in common with rural areas around Newark than with the bigger towns or small mining towns in the district).

It's a good example of some of the problems with local government in this country actually...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Bump with many apologies for the lack of updates.

Btw, the BNP have expelled Ebanks (the BNP candidates incorrectly declared elected in Kingstanding back in May) from the party. Rumour has it that the reason for her explusion is the fact that her father is black.

[afleitch]

Bump with many apologies for the lack of updates.

Btw, the BNP have expelled Ebanks (the BNP candidates incorrectly declared elected in Kingstanding back in May) from the party. Rumour has it that the reason for her explusion is the fact that her father is black.

What a bunch of b-stards

[Serenity Now]

I've noticed that the London Strategic Voter website has the list results for the GLC elections by ward. These results are quite interesting as they a PR elections where personal votes and tactical voting doesn't really come into play, so it shows how the parties do relative to one another at ward level.

firstly, here's % Green for inner London:

[Filuwaúrdjan]

BNP in Brum now, same election as the others. If you believe in media stereotypes, this map may suprise you:

[afleitch]

BNP in Brum now, same election as the others. If you believe in media stereotypes, this map may suprise you:

What that wards with Muslim populations between 35-60% tend not to be too BNP friendly

[minionofmidas]

So they're strongest in areas that aren't anybody else's strongholds? Big deal.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So they're strongest in areas that aren't anybody else's strongholds? Big deal.

In terms of local politics, pretty much (which shouldn't be too suprising really).
But it's interesting to note a couple of things;

1.  that in the far south of Brum they polled as well in Northfield (middle class, traditionally Tory) as the more more working class and politically competitive (in local politics) wards west of it.

2. in north Brum their support was pretty level (except for Kingstanding and Oscott, obviously).

3. that they broke into double-digits in three Sutton Coldfield wards...

4. that the most working class of the Yardley wards was actually their worst one.

The only ward that really fits into the media stereotype is Shard End, but that's probably more due to the piss-poor turnout than anything else.

[afleitch]

In short; ''working class people don't vote for't BNP.'' Which in Birmingham is probably true considering most of the traditional 'working class' wards have a high Muslim/ethnic population.

[Cubby]

BNP in Brum now, same election as the others. If you believe in media stereotypes, this map may suprise you:

Is this a normal level of support for the BNP or is this cause for concern?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It's a local election, so turnout was (very) low. BNP %'s in local elections are always a lot higher than in higher turnout elections because BNP voters turn out to vote in them (ironically most likely didn't used to vote in such elections).

[minionofmidas]

This is a normal-ish level of support for the BNP in a low turnout election, which is why it is also a cause for concern. If it were a freak result, it would not be cause for concern.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

This is a normal-ish level of support for the BNP in a low turnout election, which is why it is also a cause for concern. If it were a freak result, it would not be cause for concern.

Pretty much. The only reason why the Brum BNP have never (legally) won a council seat in the city is because of the size of the wards and, I think, where some of the boundaries fall.

Talking of that sort of thing, there were two local by-elections in Burnley last night; Labour gained a seat off the LibDems, and the LibDems gained a seat off Labour. That the BNP failed to gain the ward Labour lost, despite throwing everything at it, is probably another indication of their decline in the borough (they still do disturbingly well o/c)... a few years ago they'd have taken that seat easily.
Btw, the Tory candidate in the ward the LibDems lost polled just 1.7% of the vote.

[minionofmidas]

This is a normal-ish level of support for the BNP in a low turnout election, which is why it is also a cause for concern. If it were a freak result, it would not be cause for concern.

Pretty much. The only reason why the Brum BNP have never (legally) won a council seat in the city is because of the size of the wards and, I think, where some of the boundaries fall.

Talking of that sort of thing, there were two local by-elections in Burnley last night; Labour gained a seat off the LibDems, and the LibDems gained a seat off Labour. That the BNP failed to gain the ward Labour lost, despite throwing everything at it, is probably another indication of their decline in the borough (they still do disturbingly well o/c)... a few years ago they'd have taken that seat easily.
Btw, the Tory candidate in the ward the LibDems lost polled just 1.7% of the vote.

How many votes was that? The FDP managed to get 0.0% in one (very small as well as working class) Hamburg Stadtteil the last time around.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

How many votes was that?

35; what right-wing Whites there are in that ward (Daneshouse; basically Burnley's Asian ghetto) voted for another fascist party (the BNP didn't stand in the ward) which polled about 140 votes.
Turnout was around 50%; very high for a local election, but very low for that ward (note: the seat was vacated because the sitting LibDem was sent to prison for poll rigging).

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[Harry Hayfield]

Could I ask (with regard to locals 2007) if someone could produce maps that show the following:

1) Councils that are Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat free zones?
2) Councils that UKIP have representation on?
and following a declaration of interest 3) North Warwickshire 2003

(The leader of the borough council is related to me in some way but can't remember now)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Another local by-election involving the BNP to report; in the Illingworth & Mixenden ward (which is in Halifax), where the incumbent Labour counciller (who had a large personal vote) had died a while ago. The other two seats in the ward are held by the BNP; and they won it pretty comfortably in 2006.
Labour, just about, held onto the seat and polled about 300 more votes than did in the ward last May. Apparently the best part of the ward for Labour was Mixenden; which used to be a ward in it's own right and was the scene of one of the BNP's first breakthroughs a few years ago.