IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

« on: September 17, 2006, 05:57:37 AM »

The Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Inc Poll:

Bruce Braley(D): 44%
Mike Whalen (R): 37%
Other: 2%
Undecided: 17%

The margin of error for the 1st District poll of 439 likely voters is 4.7 percentage points.

http://desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060917/NEWS09/609170340/1001/NEWS

......................................

It´s the seat held by Jim Nussle and it seems its a likely Dem. pickup this year.

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Adlai Stevenson
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Posts: 3,403

Re: IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2006, 06:12:22 AM »

The Constituent Dynamics poll has Braley leading 54%-41%. IA-1 voted 51%-48% for John Kerry in 2004 so I think we can say this is a Democratic pickup.

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Eraserhead
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Posts: 44,509

Re: IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2006, 11:31:02 PM »

I think we got this one.

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MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,812

Re: IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2006, 11:57:56 PM »

Quote from: Eraserhead on September 17, 2006, 11:31:02 PM

I think we got this one.

Yay, 14 seats to go!

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Eraserhead
Atlas Legend

Posts: 44,509

Re: IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2006, 12:25:02 AM »

Quote from: MarkWarner08 on September 17, 2006, 11:57:56 PM

Quote from: Eraserhead on September 17, 2006, 11:31:02 PM

I think we got this one.

Yay, 14 seats to go!

The march to November continues!

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Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member

Posts: 3,403

Re: IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2006, 12:45:02 AM »

Considering this is a Kerry District I am confident to predict it as a Democratic pickup in November, alongside:

AZ-8
CO-7
CT-2
CT-4
IN-2
IN-8
IN-9
NY-24
PA-6

This makes for at least 11 seats, probably more, that would elect a Democrat to Congress if the election were held today.

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MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,812

Re: IA-01: Braley (D) holds a 7-point-lead over Whalen (R)

« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2006, 05:22:25 PM »

Sounds about right. IA-1, CO-7, AZ-08 and TX-22 are now Leaning Democrat.

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