Who has a better chance of winning? (again)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 11, 2024, 02:44:12 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Who has a better chance of winning? (again)
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who has a better chance of winning?
#1
Sherrod Brown
 
#2
Bob Casey, Jr.
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 29

Author Topic: Who has a better chance of winning? (again)  (Read 3543 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 16, 2006, 10:54:18 PM »

...
Logged
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2006, 10:55:42 PM »

little casey.

but both will lose.
Logged
adam
Captain Vlad
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,922


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -5.04

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2006, 10:57:41 PM »

Tough because I think both are going on to landslide victories, I would give Casey a slight edge.

Chances of winning:
Casey: 90%
Brown: 85%
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,560
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2006, 11:21:58 PM »


Right...

Anyway Casey...but this could be changing before our eyes.
Logged
Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,098
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2006, 11:23:47 PM »

Both lead their respective incumbents by 5-6 points, so I'd say about an equal chance. The only difference is that Brown has momentum, while Casey appears to have stagnated.
Logged
MarkWarner08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,812


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2006, 11:28:35 PM »

Both.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,560
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2006, 11:29:47 PM »

Both lead their respective incumbents by 5-6 points, so I'd say about an equal chance. The only difference is that Brown has momentum, while Casey appears to have stagnated.

Good point. It is also worth noting though that Casey has led in every poll released this year while Brown at one time was down as much as ten points.
Logged
Deano963
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,866


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2006, 12:27:53 AM »

Casey has a better chance. He's leading by 9% if you average the last three polls on this race, while Brown is leading by about 4-5% if you do the same. Plus, the RNC isn't about to dump a gazillion dollars into this race to try and save Santorum's ass like they are doing with Dewine (which polls show is having NO effect by the way!!! - Go Sherrod!!).

But both will win in the end, so it dosen't really matter.
Logged
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 17, 2006, 01:26:13 AM »

Casey, though both will win.

Sorry Walter, PA and OH are both ready for the "silly populists". Smiley
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,184
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 17, 2006, 01:32:08 AM »

Casey, but yeah, both will win.
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2006, 07:51:03 AM »

Casey: 30%
Brown: 70%

Definetly Brown, elections are all about momentum and Brown is gaining it and Casey is losing it.

And the easiest question to figure this out might be this:
Who is a better campaigner, DeWine or Santorum?

Although, that isn't really a question, of course its Santorum.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,112
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2006, 08:08:27 AM »
« Edited: September 17, 2006, 08:10:57 AM by Quincy »

I wouldn't be so sure Casey has more money than Brown does and is a strategic advantage Casey has 9M Brown has 2 M I think that bolds well for Casey.
Logged
Conan
conan
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2006, 11:13:01 AM »

While it looks like both are going to win at this moment, Casey has been far ahead in leading Santorum then Brown does DeWine.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,560
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2006, 10:09:06 PM »

Casey: 30%
Brown: 70%

Definetly Brown, elections are all about momentum and Brown is gaining it and Casey is losing it.

And the easiest question to figure this out might be this:
Who is a better campaigner, DeWine or Santorum?

Although, that isn't really a question, of course its Santorum.

Casey only has 30% chance of winning? Seriously going to stand behind that?
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2006, 03:04:24 PM »

Casey: 30%
Brown: 70%

Definetly Brown, elections are all about momentum and Brown is gaining it and Casey is losing it.

And the easiest question to figure this out might be this:
Who is a better campaigner, DeWine or Santorum?

Although, that isn't really a question, of course its Santorum.

Casey only has 30% chance of winning? Seriously going to stand behind that?

Yes Smiley
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,560
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2006, 03:08:13 PM »

Casey: 30%
Brown: 70%

Definetly Brown, elections are all about momentum and Brown is gaining it and Casey is losing it.

And the easiest question to figure this out might be this:
Who is a better campaigner, DeWine or Santorum?

Although, that isn't really a question, of course its Santorum.

Casey only has 30% chance of winning? Seriously going to stand behind that?

Yes Smiley

You are crazy DownWithTheLeft. Youre alright though.
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2006, 03:18:53 PM »

Casey: 30%
Brown: 70%

Definetly Brown, elections are all about momentum and Brown is gaining it and Casey is losing it.

And the easiest question to figure this out might be this:
Who is a better campaigner, DeWine or Santorum?

Although, that isn't really a question, of course its Santorum.

Casey only has 30% chance of winning? Seriously going to stand behind that?

Yes Smiley

You are crazy DownWithTheLeft. Youre alright though.

I'll guess I'll take it as a compliment Smiley
I'll say the same for you and I don't think your crazy, just optimistic Smiley
Logged
Soaring Eagle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2006, 08:22:45 PM »

Casey, obviously. Brown isn't up against a complete nutcase like Casey is.
Logged
poughies
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 919
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 19, 2006, 02:14:02 PM »

Casey because well he has only been in the lead...... though Brown has an excellent chance as well. It isn't hard to imagine Democrats +3 in the senate by Election night.... its whether they can pull the trifecta (Rhode Island, Missouri, Tennessee maybe Virginia) and hold onto New Jersey....
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 13 queries.