Who would benefit from a SCOTUS vacancy in 2022?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I believe the GOP would benefit, just like they did when Ginsburg died.

Why?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I believe the GOP would benefit, just like they did when Ginsburg died.

Why?

Because GOP voters care far more about the courts than Democratic voters.

I see.
Anyway, my take is that it mostly depends on the party of the president who last filled the seat. Dems will care more about a "liberal"-held seat than GOPers, and vice versa.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I believe the GOP would benefit, just like they did when Ginsburg died.

Why?

Because GOP voters care far more about the courts than Democratic voters.

I see.
Anyway, my take is that it mostly depends on the party of the president who last filled the seat. Dems will care more about a "liberal"-held seat than GOPers, and vice versa.

That's why the vacancy of Antonin Scalia's seat didn't help the Dems in 2016.

Exactly.