Seems about right. I think this is less likely to flip than NV but a more likely GOP pick-up than MN and NM. LePage wouldn’t necessarily be a bad choice for the GOP here either. Lean D.
Agree about MN but disagree about Lepage being a good choice and it being more likely to flip than New Mexico. The difference between ME and NM presidential was like 1-2 points so not a big gap. Grisham is also more polarizing than Mills and a lot of people are angry at her coronavirus policies+ the sexual harassment scandal that just came out. I think NM has real dark horse potential