McLaughlin & Associates national poll: Trump 49% Harris 45%

[Mr. Morden]

McLaughlin & Associates national poll, conducted May 12-18:

https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/National-Monthly-Omnibus-MAY-Release-1.pdf

Trump 49%
Harris 45%

fav/unfav %:
Biden 53/46% for +7%
Harris 47/48% for -1%

[Tender Branson]

Yeah, she’d probably lose. A combination of weak candidate and sexism in the US population.

[Mr. Morden]

Crosstabs:

Democrats:
Harris 84%
Trump 10%

GOP:
Trump 89%
Harris 7%

Indies:
Trump 48%
Harris 42%

whites:
Trump 58%
Harris 36%

blacks:
Harris 78%
Trump 17%

Hispanics:
Harris 53%
Trump 39%

men:
Trump 55%
Harris 38%

women:
Harris 51%
Trump 43%

urban:
Harris 58%
Trump 36%

suburban:
Trump 52%
Harris 42%

rural:
Trump 62%
Harris 31%

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Let the slaughtering begin.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Harris isn't even running for Prez, I love how the pollsters keep pushing this Harris Prez, she is a 2028 candidate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, she’d probably lose. A combination of weak candidate and sexism in the US population.

Biden is only 4 yrs older than Trump and he would beat Trump, if Trump can run at 78 so can Biden at 82

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, she’d probably lose. A combination of weak candidate and sexism in the US population.

But Tender, you said UNCLE JOE HAD SKY HIGH APPROVALS AND IF GRASSLEY RETIRES,D's could win IA, Grassley isn't retiring

[SnowLabrador]

If it's Trump vs. Harris, time to panic. Harris cannot run a national campaign.

[Devils30]

I think this is part of why Demings running for Senate, KLB giving thoughts to Governor in GA. Biden would love a better option for VP as it is pretty clear Harris comes from the urban activist wing that is just unappealing to average Americans.

That said, 538 ranks McLaughlin as C/D and he's had some truly laughable polls in the past.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/mclaughlin-associates/

[S019]

Oh my god, people still take McLaughlin seriously

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tender also said Uncle Joe could even win Utah with 59% Approvals

[Medal506]

Yeah, she’d probably lose. A combination of weak candidate and sexism intelligence in the US population.

[Medal506]

Trump would destroy her and may even win the popular vote if he could crush her in states like Florida, Ohio and Texas

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Not people actually taking a McLaughlin poll seriously.

Like, this is literally one of the questions they surveyed in this poll: "Do you approve or disapprove of the new laws in places such as California and Vermont that allow non-citizens to vote in U.S. elections?"

No such laws exist.  

[Hammy]

Aren't they basically a Republican campaign arm disguised as a pollster?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Her numbers with blacks and Hispanics are terrible. Identity politics fail.

[Chips]

Interesting. This could well be a sign that Harris could be a weaker candidate but this tends to be a R friendly pollster and I don't think Trump would beat Harris by 4 in the popular vote. It's possible Trump could win the electoral college and maybe the popular vote against Harris but 4% is unrealistic. Bush in 2004 only managed a 2.5% victory.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls and gaps are closing up again, Uncle Joe was riding sky high in his approvals and it's now back to reality in a Covid Environment.


Polls always understimate R strength, it was never gonna be a blowout Election in ,2022/2024 especially in a Covid Environment

[roxas11]

This is a ominous poll..............For Trump and the GOP lol

Trump is barely beating Harris in a poll where most of the people said that they believe that economy currently sucks and it's getting worse also most people in the poll said that they believe is still in a recession.

Yet despite all of that Trump is only ahead of Harris by 4 points
If this is the best trump can do against Harris right now than he would be in big trouble if the economy does end up turning around by 2024.

At this point trump better hope that economic data we get over the next couple of years looks more like the disappointing May Jobs report and less like better than expected drop in Jobless claims that we are seeing today

[ElectionsGuy]

As a standard rule to be conservative (and not in the political sense) take 5 points off the Republican margin whenever these guys do a poll.

[Chips]

As a standard rule to be conservative (and not in the political sense) take 5 points off the Republican margin whenever these guys do a poll.

That seems fair. Though a 1 point victory for Harris would probably still signify a Trump victory.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Girl bye.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Not people actually taking a McLaughlin poll seriously.

This is coming from the same group who thought Susan Rice who had never held political office or had to raise money or former woman of color Elizabeth Warren were better bets for VP than Harris so it's not surprising.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Even if the poll is bad, it would need to be off by at least 7 percent to mean a Harris victory.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ignore this pollster they have Cali recall tied

The Rs need Cali in order to stop D's from carving out R 6 districts along with NY and IL to hurt Rs chances in taking over H