It was quite surprising to see El Paso get so close. Grand nearly flipping, after being a 13-point win in 2016, was also surprising. Do you think Grand could flip in 2024?
Not the person you were asking but it looks like a lot of Biden's gained votes were in the southern part of Grand, in ski resort precincts like around Fraser and Winter Park. Precinct lines changed so it's hard to do direct comparisons but there were some places here where he gained 200-250 votes per precinct over Hillary and in the rest of the county he had gains more in line with rural mountainous (and not liberal) parts of the state.
The question here is do you expect voters in Fraser and Winter Park to stay put. A lot of these are temporary workers (lots of them are ski bums, service workers or recent college grads) and probably a good deal of people who cooped up in temporary homes during COVID. The area has built more housing etc. for people in the ski/recreation industry so it's possible there will be more people staying here going forward. But I think it's more likely than not that these numbers subside and the rest of the county (Kremmmling especially) defect back to Rs.
