NJ - Monmouth: reelect Murphy +4

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_nj_050521.pdf/

April 29-May  4
661 registered voters
MoE: 3.8%

"Looking ahead to November’s election for Governor, do you think that Phil Murphy should
be reelected, or do you think that it is time to have someone else in office?"

Re-elected 48%
Someone else 44%
Don't know 8%

[junior chįmp]

Republicans are within striking distance here. A couple million spent here by the GOP could push it over the finish line

[compucomp]

You left out the part where he has a 57-35 approval rating.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

You left out the part where he has a 57-35 approval rating.

I did. My apologies.

The incongruence matches what we’ve seen in some other generic re-elect vs approval rating polls (Grassley, Whitmer, etc).

[Suburbia]

Murphy has to focus on a laser on property taxes.......

No New Jersey Democratic governor has won reelection since Brendan Byrne in 1977---Florio lost in 1993, McGreevey would have lost in 2005 if he had stayed on; Doug Forrester for the Republicans was a bad candidate in 2005, Corzine's $$$$$ mattered a lot, but Corzine lost to Christie in 2009

[President Johnson]

Murphy will just be fine in November. These "reelect" numbers are hardly of value.

[Blair]

There's plenty of times where I've voted for candidates who didn't deserve to be re-elected!

[Progressive Pessimist]

Ciatarelli's only chance is really tepid Democratic turnout, which looks unlikely when Murphy has high approvals in general.