Trafalgar national poll: D: Harris 41% Buttigieg 9% Ocasio-Cortez 8%; R: DeSantis 35% Cruz 15%
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  Trafalgar national poll: D: Harris 41% Buttigieg 9% Ocasio-Cortez 8%; R: DeSantis 35% Cruz 15%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Trafalgar national poll: D: Harris 41% Buttigieg 9% Ocasio-Cortez 8%; R: DeSantis 35% Cruz 15%  (Read 810 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: May 13, 2021, 04:31:09 PM »
Trafalgar national poll, conducted April 30-May 6:

https://thetrafalgargroup.org/COSA-National-Trump-Biden-24-Report.pdf

2024 Dem. primary matchup if Biden doesn’t run:



2024 GOP primary matchup if Trump doesn’t run:
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NYDem
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2021, 10:26:26 PM »
Surprised the Romney+Sasse(+Kasich) vote is 11% here. Usually it's closer to half that. Probably just noise.
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Chips
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2021, 10:43:40 PM »
Looks right.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2021, 06:58:03 PM »
Big numbers for Ron!
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2021, 06:59:13 PM »
Ron who
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: May 29, 2021, 07:27:28 PM »
Democratic primary if Biden runs: Biden +35

Absolutely or likely voting for Biden 57%
Likely or very likely voting against Biden 22%
Consider voting for Biden 8%
Would not vote in that primary 6%
Undecided 7%

Republican primary if Trump runs: Trump +37

Absolutely or likely voting for Trump 62%
Likely or very likely voting against Trump 24%
Consider voting for Trump 8%
Would not vote in that primary 3%
Undecided 4%
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Motorcity
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« Reply #6 on: June 02, 2021, 05:39:45 PM »
Quote from: This space intentionally left blank on May 17, 2021, 10:26:26 PM
Surprised the Romney+Sasse(+Kasich) vote is 11% here. Usually it's closer to half that. Probably just noise.
The GOP isn’t divided like it used to be

In 2012 and early 2015, you had the “moderate” business class vs evangelicals 

Than you had pro trump or never trump

Now, it’s all trump. Not even the most anti trump republicans like Romney and Collins didn’t dare endorse Biden.

The only fractions now are the pro democracy and pro dictatorship groups, the former getting smaller by the day...

That said, I very much doubt the anti trump fraction would get more than 10% in 2024 primaries
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