Will you believe any of the polls in 2024? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 03:28:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Will you believe any of the polls in 2024? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Will you believe any of the polls or polling models in 2024?
#1
Yes
 
#2
Maybe, but I'm adding points to the Republican number
 
#3
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: Will you believe any of the polls in 2024?  (Read 792 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: May 10, 2021, 03:17:07 PM »

Biden is at 60% Approvals and the Economy hasn't fully recovered, Covid will be over probably before the end of 2022/ the Election is over if an INCUMBENT is above 50% Trump was close to 50% in 2020 that's why Rs overperformed, but again after Insurrectionists became a 40% Prez that's why he will not win 2024

So are the Midterms, Rs won't take the H if Biden is at 50%, every Prez that did badly in Midterms were below 50%
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2021, 03:20:44 PM »

I will believe any and all polls that already conform to my priors (typical Atlas answer)

The Election is over if an INCUMBENT is above 50%, no INCUMBENT lost above 50 that's why Bush W won, he barely made 50 in 2004
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2021, 04:31:42 PM »

Biden is at 60% Approvals in a Pandemic the Election is over if an INCUMBENT reaches 50% by 2024 Covid will be over
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2021, 05:16:16 PM »

Yes, the outcome of 2022 will determine the 2024 Election D's already has 303 EC votes the Senate map already is replicating the Election we already had

Wave insurence seats like NC, OH, FL, the House districts are in 50 states and to make Hakeem JEFFERIES Speaker we need to expand the battleground beyond the 303 Freiwall

AZ and MI polls showed 10 pt leads for D's, Rs aren't winning PA and losing AZ and winning they tried that strategy and failed in 2o2o
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,687
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2021, 03:27:19 PM »

D's are gonna have a breakout yr, due to fact Covid and Unemployment is being Eradicated as we speak, we had break out yrs in 2006/08/12, the Elections aren't gonna be close forever. Watch out for a D tsunami if Rs underperforms a typical Midterm, outparty usually net 23 seats but Insurrectionists have spoiled Rs chances especially if a Commission is formed

I am optimistic now, about 2022 Uncle Joe has a 59 percent Approvals


Thanks to 1400, if Rs kept Senate we would of left high and dry on stimulus
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 14 queries.