Census Population Estimates 2020-29

[Storr]

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Since the 2020 census


Overall, during the last year
Growth in the Interior West remained high but slowed down (except in Montana, where it sped up)
Growth in the New South sped up considerably
Shrinking in the Midwest, New York, and California slowed for the most part but they still remain shrinking
Shrinking sped up in Louisiana

Notable: Huge surge in International Immigration towards the United States, reaching pre-COVID levels. Natural increase slightly rebounds as well to give the USA decent population growth.

Tennessee's population reaches 7 million, surpassing a shrinking Massachusetts to become the fifteenth-most populated state in the country.

Florida is the FASTEST-GROWING state by percentage and only second in raw growth to Texas. Nearly 450,000 people moved to Florida over the previous year, 125,000 internationally and 320,000 domestically

Do you know when the county-level estimates will be released? Those are more interesting to me than the statewide estimates.

June

Yikes! It's shocking to see such low population growth, despite being expected with the increased number of deaths due to COVID. At least the US still had population growth during this tough time, much of Europe cannot say the same.

[Storr]

The new Census Bureau estimates for July 1, 2023 (US, states, Puerto Rico and components of change) will be released next Tuesday, December 19.

I predict population growth was about 1.7 to 1.9 million last year, slightly up from the year before, or 0.5% to 0.6% in relative terms.

Natural growth, which is more births than deaths, was around 500.000, and maybe an additional 1.2 to 1.4 million net legal immigrants. There were obviously many illegals too, but they are not estimated into the Census Bureau numbers.

Texas, Florida, Utah, Nevada, Idaho should be the fastest growing states with between 1.6 and 2%.

Texas and Florida alone should be up by 550.000 and 350.000 respectively.

"The nation gained more than 1.6 million people this past year, growing by 0.5% to 334,914,895."

"Texas experienced the largest numeric change in the nation, adding 473,453 people, followed by Florida, which added 365,205 residents."

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-trends-return-to-pre-pandemic-norms.html

Doing some quick math, if population continued to grow by 0.5% for the next 6 years, by the 2030 Census the US population would be 343.37 million.