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April 28, 2024, 04:51:47 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  The New Campaign Trail (search mode)
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Author Topic: The New Campaign Trail  (Read 50566 times)
GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« on: July 09, 2021, 11:57:07 PM »

Has anyone here won on "Impossible" mode? I can almost always win on "Hard" but have yet to ever win on "Impossible"
I've won as Humphrey/Muskie a couple times on Impossible, usually hinges on if Nixon's sabotage is leaked right
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2021, 01:09:14 PM »

Wtf is this new meme scenario with Adele running against Jimmy Carter?
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2021, 04:10:38 PM »

Best i've done on cakewalk. IA is MN-S and AL is MS-S



Democrat: 55 (+6)
Republican: 44 (-7)
Runoff: 1

NE was the closest with 0.5% between Raybould and Fischer.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2021, 11:01:27 PM »

Best i've done on cakewalk. IA is MN-S and AL is MS-S



Democrat: 55 (+6)
Republican: 44 (-7)
Runoff: 1

NE was the closest with 0.5% between Raybould and Fischer.

nvm just got a new one where the Menendez scandal doesn't get out nationally. Espy avoids a runoff by 0.4 in that one.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #4 on: December 07, 2021, 09:30:02 PM »

There's a new set of references, if you type "BIGSHOT" then press enter you get some interesting popups in reference to Spamton from deltarune, and the winner's portrait at the end after you do this is... odd.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #5 on: December 09, 2021, 11:41:27 AM »

New ending for Buchanan/Duke



while this plays https://youtu.be/Tao67Idz3Uc
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #6 on: December 09, 2021, 09:34:41 PM »

uhhhhh I have no idea what happened here but

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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #7 on: December 09, 2021, 09:35:36 PM »

uhhhhh I have no idea what happened here but



ok it seems to happen if you refresh when choosing a campaign
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #8 on: December 17, 2021, 06:01:31 PM »

Not sure if anyone else has found this.

I accidentally tied the EC 267-267-4 (McCarthy got RI) in 1972 as Wallace while messing with the difficulty. In the end part there's links leading to code for a secret Wallace/Chisholm scenario.



Code 1

Code 2
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #9 on: December 19, 2021, 12:42:24 AM »

Made an infobox for a Buchanan/Duke extremely narrow victory. (which I received through the BIGSHOT cheat, of course) I retconned the idea that Gritz would be who Republicans turn to, considering he's pretty much as nutty as Duke. Marrou makes much more sense to me.



Tipping point was CO, decided by under 3,000 votes.

Now the question is if there's enough faithless electors to throw it to the house.


“WHAT. YOU WON THE ELECTION OF 1992!”
What did you do? Seriously, what did you do to pull this off? You chose a Nazi as your running mate. Every person under the sun had you losing the election by a landslide, and yet you not only made it close but WON the election! Michael Dukakis hasn't called yet, you call only imagine he is crying in a corner. The press is outside your house making tons of noise, trying to get you to come out, and Jesse Jackson has reportedly had a stroke. Get ready to move into the white house, but don't expect Congress to pass, well anything you want. Congratulations, president-elect Buchanan! Let’s hope you don't suck as bad as the previous one....
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2022, 02:59:55 PM »

Played on Normal as Bernie/Baldwin [With some added faithless electors by myself afterward]



Sen. Bernie Sanders / Sen. Tammy Baldwin: 49.6%, 316* EV
Mr. Donald Trump / Gov. Mike Pence: 43.0%, 219* EV
Fmr. Mayor Michael Bloomberg / Fmr. Sec. Chuck Hagel: 5.7%, 3 EV*
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson/Fmr. Gov. Bill Weld: 1.7%, 0 EV
*2 Sanders electors and 1 Trump elector voted for Bloomberg.

Closest states (within 5%): NC (47.7-45.5-5.5), IA (49.4-46.3), GA (49.0-45.5), AZ (48.4-44.7-5.0), OH (50.9-46.1)

Tipping point states: VA (with faithless electors results in a contingent election, without, a Trump win), NV for outright Trump win with faithless electors

and a senate map:



Alternate Senators:
Jason Kander (D-MO) [Won by about 1.5%]
Deborah Ross (D-NC) [Won by 0.1%]
Joe Sestak (D-PA) [Won by about 4%]
Russ Feingold (D-WI) [Won by about 4%]
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #11 on: May 25, 2022, 01:59:55 AM »

Playing as Rubio/Christie in a four-way 2016 race. 



Note that the map doesn't include two electoral votes that apparently went to Trump.  I'm not sure how that happened...faithless electors, perhaps?

Anywho:

Clinton/Kaine: 121 EVs
Rubio/Christie: 379 EVs
Sanders/Gabbard: 31 EVs
Trump/Pence: 7 EVs

probably Trump wins NE-03 and ME-02 or something.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #12 on: June 05, 2022, 03:28:11 PM »

1952 I got Eisenhower below 270 by picking Humphrey as my vp. the end screen had this link which I think is a George Wallace vp? https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YHHnFY5aogEoXQj1IauTyrGvgApj6aStnly64t9AMMQ/edit
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2022, 02:12:32 AM »

did really well as Hayes/Bruce, y'all should try it on cakewalk and see how many southern states you can flip
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #14 on: August 24, 2022, 05:53:34 PM »

New 2018 senate mod is out and... honestly, kinda sucks compared to the previous one in terms of results. Answering with mostly mainstream to moderate answers still causes me to see like, 58r-42d senates. Even on the easiest difficulty I ended up with a 50-50 split, and even then only barely.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #15 on: August 29, 2022, 11:22:13 AM »
« Edited: August 29, 2022, 11:31:18 AM by Deputy PPT WB #NoToJo »

new difficulties added for some scenarios, Guaranteed and Babymode are easier than cakewalk, and Calamity worse than disaster.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2022, 02:05:53 AM »

1976 Italy campaign is on the mod select now, I think this is the first non-US election added there.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #17 on: October 08, 2022, 12:47:25 PM »

New NC Governor 2016 mod out, currently you can only play as McCrory.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2022, 05:36:09 PM »

New NC Governor 2016 mod out, currently you can only play as McCrory.
Cooper is out now too. Unfortunately the text for winning/losing is the same every time so even if you win with a massive majority as Cooper Forest always wins too.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #19 on: January 14, 2023, 02:30:39 AM »

Clay V Cass best case on normal:



Clay/Fillmore: 54.4%
Cass/Butler: 39.1%
Van Buren/Adams Sr.: 6.5%

On Cakewalk:


Clay/Fillmore: 62.2%
Cass/Butler: 32.4%
Van Buren/Adams Sr.: 5.4%

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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #20 on: January 15, 2023, 07:10:07 PM »



Cartoonist Christian Weston Chandler (R-VA)/Fmr. Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK): 274 EV, 34.8%
President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 264 EV, 58.7%
Liquid Chris (I-??)/??: 0 EV, 5.1%


Headcanon:
President Chandler would be impeached in 2013, a scant 2 months after their swearing-in after even more news of their many misdeeds came to light, including an attempt to sexually assault their own mother after an election victory party. They would threaten senators into opposing impeachment, but it was not enough as the effects of Chandler staying President were clear. Less than a dozen senators voted against conviction, and Chandler was arrested outside of the White House on April 3rd, 2013. Their approval rating never went above 20% during their short term. Their house was seized due to the unsanitary conditions there shortly after their conviction.

Sarah Palin ascended to the Presidency and promised a "return to sanity", something that everyone would have laughed at years ago, but now was true. She brought up fellow former Governor Mike Huckabee to be VP, and though the Democratic senate was extremely divided on him, he was confirmed. Palin's term was horrendous, with the fallout from Chandler's presidency guaranteeing a massive D wave in 2014, with incumbents like Mark Pryor, who were near certain to be DOA otherwise, winning, as well as other otherwise long-shots like Sens. Stacy Abrams (D-GA), Alison Grimes (D-KY), and Frank Holleman (D-SC). Palin lost re-election in 2016 to Bernie Sanders, as Obama's wing of the party (including Hillary due to her high position in his admin) were still extremely damaged from their loss to the likes of Chris-Chan. In Bernie's term, the electoral college was abolished to prevent such a horrific occurrence from happening again.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #21 on: January 28, 2023, 06:42:08 PM »

1980: Ted Kennedy narrowly defeats Carter in the primary, and goes on to defeat Reagan by a comfortable margin



For some reason, the NCT map is telling me I got 346 EVs. I checked the map and compared it to the one on Atlas and couldn't figure it out. Perhaps Nebraska's and Maine's CD votes are still in play here? Just something worth looking into.
Atlas' maine only has 2 votes. Seems to be an oversight.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #22 on: February 21, 2023, 06:15:23 PM »

well, despite no one asking it by my knowledge. The New Campaign Trail can run DOOM (1993).
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #23 on: February 23, 2023, 10:49:00 AM »

A very normal, expected mod is out for 2000.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,835
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW
« Reply #24 on: July 30, 2023, 11:43:16 AM »



Sec. Clinton: 2353 delegates, 45.8%
Sen. Sanders: 2143 delegates, 44.1%
Fmr. Gov. O'Malley: 267 delegates. 9.8%

Clinton likely would have won, if not for 2 massive upsets by the O'Malley campaign. 1: It was found that only O'Malley filed in time to run in the territorial contests, winning them, and their 86 delegates, outright. With Clinton short by 29 delegates, that alone would be enough. Beyond that, though, was the leaking of email correspondence between Clinton and the DNC, disparaging the other 2 candidates and showing clear bias on the DNC's part towards her. This bombshell destroyed Clinton's numbers in the last days before California voted, bringing the state from a near-tie in polls to a nearly 20 point loss for Clinton.

With superdelegates panicked, only a plurality supported Clinton, over 10% backing O'Malley as they see him preferable to a Sanders nomination.

---Beyond this is speculation of a possible O'Malley victory---

Clinton's team had gone to every delegate they could imagine to try and scrape enough votes to win. The second ballot came:

Sec. Clinton: 2361 delegates
Sen. Sanders: 2141 delegates
Fmr. Gov. O'Malley: 261 delegates

It wasn't going to happen. The DNC leaks had done a nearly fatal blow to Clinton's campaign, and polls were showing her doing the worst against Trump.

There were many more ballots. The next 3 delivered the same result as the 2nd. The 6th showed some movement... away from Hillary.

Sec. Clinton: 2299 delegates
Sen. Sanders: 2151 delegates
Fmr. Gov. O'Malley: 312 delegates

The pattern continued. Eventually Clinton fell below Bernie, and on the 15th ballot a sort of deal was reached to stop Bernie. Establishment types were more fond of O'Malley than him, and as such in the end the momentum was behind him... Hillary, despondent, announced she would remove her name from contention. This was a humiliation for her, but dragging it out longer would just make it worse, she realized.

15th ballot
Fmr. Gov. O'Malley: 2412 delegates
Sen. Sanders: 2201 delegates
Sec. Clinton (dropped out): 85 delegates
Vice Pres. Biden (not declared): 50 delegates
First Lady Obama (not declared): 12 delegates
Fmr. Mayor Bloomberg (not declared): 3 delegates
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