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April 28, 2024, 03:49:38 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  The New Campaign Trail (search mode)
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Author Topic: The New Campaign Trail  (Read 50569 times)
BigVic
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,493
Australia


« on: April 22, 2021, 10:49:56 PM »

No option for 2020 yet
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2021, 11:00:35 PM »

Narrow Nixon win in 1968 despite losing OH.

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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2021, 07:01:06 PM »



Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Neurosurgeon Ben Carson (R-MI) 277 EV 48.3%
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ) 261 EV 48.8%

Atlas red Iowa and Atlas blue NH. How did this happen
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2021, 08:46:25 PM »

2012 Romney/Trump mod on normal



Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY) 315 EV 50.1%
President Barack Obama (D-IL)/ Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) 223 EV 49.0%

NPV: Romney + 1.1
States within 1%: Pennsylvania, Colorado
States within 5%: Pennsylvania, Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, Nevada, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Virginia
Tipping Point State: Virginia

How a good Romney win will look like in a normal election
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #4 on: January 26, 2022, 04:37:03 AM »



Narrow Bill Clinton win on Normal in 1996 with Ross Perot breaking 10% of the PV
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #5 on: January 26, 2022, 09:23:20 PM »

Lost as Romney, can't escape 306-232!



President Barack Obama (D-IL) / Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 306 electoral votes / 64,190,284 votes (49.8%)
Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Fmr. Governor Tim Pawlenty (R-MN): 232 electoral votes / 63,359,287 votes (49.2%)

2012 was one of those elections which PA could vote to the right of OH and the GOP candidate winning an election without the need of OH.
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #6 on: February 05, 2022, 08:12:13 PM »

Joe narrowly defeats Trump in the 2016 mod.






Closer than OTL’s 2020
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2022, 08:18:18 AM »

2020 game on the OG site as Trump/Pence



President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) 275 EV 47.7%
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) 263 EV 50.6%

NPV: Biden + 2.9
States within 1%: Nevada, Wisconsin, Georgia, Pennsylvania
States within 5%: Nevada, Wisconsin, Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Michigan, Arizona, NE-02, Minnesota
Tipping Point State: Wisconsin
Closest State by Percentage: Wisconsin - Trump + 0.23% (+ 7,637 votes)
Closest State by Raw Votes: Nevada - Trump + 0.39% (+ 5,478 votes)


There goes the electoral college in the Democrats’ platform
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #8 on: March 26, 2022, 09:52:38 PM »

Ran as Trump/Sanders 2016 and won easily:



The populist Unity ticket
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2022, 08:54:24 PM »

Came 1,500 votes in Vermont and Hawaii from tying, and 3,700 votes in Vermont, Hawaii, and New Mexico from outright winning




Vice President George HW Bush (R-TX)/Senator Dan Quayle (R-IN) 276 EV 51.2%
Reverend Jesse Jackson (D-SC)/Senator Howard Metzenbaum (D-OH) 262 EV 47.8%


NPV: Bush + 3.4
Biggest Bush wins: Utah (Bush 72.46% - Jackson 25.47%), New Hampshire (63.67% Bush - 34.93% Jackson), Wyoming (Bush 61.80% - Jackson 36.52%), Idaho (61.56% Bush - 36.49% Jackson), Florida (Bush 60.65% - Jackson 38.68%)
Biggest Jackson wins: Washington D.C. (Jackson 90.18% - Bush 7.90%), Rhode Island (58.09% Jackson - 41.48% Bush), Minnesota (Jackson 56.64% - Bush 42.18%), Massachusetts (55.56% Jackson - 43.06% Bush), Wisconsin (54.10% Jackson - 45.07% Bush)
States within 5%: Vermont (Bush - 49.41%, Jackson - 49.22%), Hawaii (Bush - 49.58%, Jackson - 49.31%), Ohio (Jackson - 49.75%, Bush - 49.39%), New Mexico (Bush - 49.58%, Jackson - 49.17%), Maryland (Jackson - 50.03%, Bush - 49.23%), Missouri (Jackson - 50.89%, Bush - 48.79%), California (Jackson 50.56% - Bush 48.13%), Michigan (Jackson - 50.98%, Bush - 48.27%), Iowa (Jackson 51.11% - Bush 48.00%), Pennsylvania (Jackson - 51.17%, Bush - 47.94%), Connecticut (Bush - 51.34%, Jackson - 47.47%), Montana (Bush - 51.36% - Jackson 46.83%)
State Closest to the NPV: Connecticut
Tipping Point State: New Mexico


Nice looking map.
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #10 on: May 25, 2022, 05:48:46 AM »

Playing as Rubio/Christie in a four-way 2016 race. 



Note that the map doesn't include two electoral votes that apparently went to Trump.  I'm not sure how that happened...faithless electors, perhaps?

Anywho:

Clinton/Kaine: 121 EVs
Rubio/Christie: 379 EVs
Sanders/Gabbard: 31 EVs
Trump/Pence: 7 EVs

probably Trump wins NE-03 and ME-02 or something.

A Republican landslide due to vote splitting
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #11 on: February 26, 2024, 07:42:32 AM »

Dread it, run from it...

Played the new W. mod twice and after getting pretty handily beaten by Hillary on my first try, ended up with this semi-cursed map on my second against Punished "Venom" Al Gore in a rematch after invading Iraq. Also the colours switched back to Atlas standard which was fun. Some of the wonkier margins are thanks to a Ted Turner third party candidacy (lol) but at least I got Dubya to actually win a plurality of the popular vote this time around. Hard to tell if the ending screen saying the mission actually was accomplished was an unreliable narrator or not.



Bush/Cheney - 306 EVs - 58,825,954 - 48.0%
Gore/Biden 232 EVs - 58,665,612 - 47.9%

The famous 306-23#!
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #12 on: April 04, 2024, 03:38:57 AM »


How do you upload inages
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BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


« Reply #13 on: April 13, 2024, 07:17:23 PM »

Biden 2020 minus GA. AZ was the closest state



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