Hawaii?

[DownWithTheLeft]

Anyone ever think of this scenario:

Ed Case pulls off the upset of Daniel Akaka in the HI Dem primary.  Case, is not part of the Hawaii political machine run by Akaka and Inyone and therefore they do not give him a lot of support.  Elizabeth Dole thinks the Republicans can seize on this oppurtunity and calls up Lt. Gov and Native Hawaiian Aiona.  According to HI, the GOP switches to him as their candidate and this race becomes on the radar.  Case probably wins, but does any believe this happens if Case wins the primary?

[Jake]

No

[DownWithTheLeft]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

[7,052,770]

If Aiona jumped in, the Dems would rally hardcorely around Case.

[Eraserhead]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

Nobody thought of it because Case is even stronger in the general then Akaka (among other reasons).

[jerusalemcar5]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

Nobody thought of it because Case is even stronger in the general then Akaka (among other reasons).

Actually, polls show Akaka doing better than Case in general election match ups.

[Eraserhead]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

Nobody thought of it because Case is even stronger in the general then Akaka (among other reasons).

Actually, polls show Akaka doing better than Case in general election match ups.

Which polls? I've only seen Rasmussen and they have Case doing slightly better in the general with 61%. Akaka had 58%. Either way, either one will win the general election easily.

[jerusalemcar5]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

Nobody thought of it because Case is even stronger in the general then Akaka (among other reasons).

Actually, polls show Akaka doing better than Case in general election match ups.

Which polls? I've only seen Rasmussen and they have Case doing slightly better in the general with 61%. Akaka had 58%. Either way, either one will win the general election easily.

My bad.  Akaka and Case would be about the same in the general .  Akaka's percentage was in the margin of error with Case's against Coffee.

[DownWithTheLeft]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

Nobody thought of it because Case is even stronger in the general then Akaka (among other reasons).

Actually, polls show Akaka doing better than Case in general election match ups.

Which polls? I've only seen Rasmussen and they have Case doing slightly better in the general with 61%. Akaka had 58%. Either way, either one will win the general election easily.

My bad.  Akaka and Case would be about the same in the general .  Akaka's percentage was in the margin of error with Case's against Coffee.

That's still against the awful candidate Coffee, Aiona would definetly make it interesting and I just don't see the Dem machine rallying around him after he just defeated one of their own.  And Aiona is a native Hawaii, Case is not.

[7,052,770]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

Nobody thought of it because Case is even stronger in the general then Akaka (among other reasons).

Actually, polls show Akaka doing better than Case in general election match ups.

Which polls? I've only seen Rasmussen and they have Case doing slightly better in the general with 61%. Akaka had 58%. Either way, either one will win the general election easily.

My bad.  Akaka and Case would be about the same in the general .  Akaka's percentage was in the margin of error with Case's against Coffee.

That's still against the awful candidate Coffee, Aiona would definetly make it interesting and I just don't see the Dem machine rallying around him after he just defeated one of their own.  And Aiona is a native Hawaii, Case is not.

They may not like it, but they HI Dem Party isn't going to let the seat go to the Republicans.  If there's a chance Case would lose the general, they'll grit their teeth and put him in anyway.

[minionofmidas]

Uh, Native Hawaiians are about 10% of the population, and tend not to do all that well in elections in Hawaii. (Part Native Hawaiians are another 15% or so, though, mostly mixed with Asian. Akaka is half-Chinese, half-Native Hawaiian).Japanese is the thing to be, traditionally. Case was born in Hawaii IIRC, if that's what you meant.

[Eraserhead]

No

Why?  It's legal under HI law and seems like a good move for the GOP to try and make this seat competitive.  It doesn't seem as the Dem machine in HI would support Case fresh off beating Akaka.  But sure as hell the GOP would rally around Aiona.

Nobody thought of it because Case is even stronger in the general then Akaka (among other reasons).

Actually, polls show Akaka doing better than Case in general election match ups.

Which polls? I've only seen Rasmussen and they have Case doing slightly better in the general with 61%. Akaka had 58%. Either way, either one will win the general election easily.

My bad.  Akaka and Case would be about the same in the general .  Akaka's percentage was in the margin of error with Case's against Coffee.

No problem. Anyway folks, we shouldn't worry about it too much. Akaka will almost certainly win the primary.