My 2022 Senate Ratings

[Chips]

https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election/MwWXyM.png

And again if I was forced to pick a winner of each race:

https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election/MevYj5.png

GA, PA and NH representing the closest races.

[MT Treasurer]

IA and MO are safe R regardless of D/R candidates, and OH is pretty close to safe as well. The rest makes sense, although I don’t buy PA flipping while Republicans pick up NH and AZ.

[Frenchrepublican]

My (very early) ratings :

[Chips]

My (very early) ratings :

About where I have everything but with GA as Tilt instead of Lean.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Sununu flips NH, Fetterman flips PA. That's it.

[S019]

Mine:





Without tossups:

[Meatball Ron]

My (very early) ratings :

Cringing at IL as Likely D. Dem odds in Missouri are at least as good as the GOP's in Illinois (to be clear I don't think Dems have a chance in Missouri).

[MillennialModerate]

It would be a lot easier if the new map system features the color gray so it could be used to show people’s predictions on things other than just the Presidency.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Prediction



PVI D between 2.5 and 4.0 D's are gonna win WI, PA and NH

[Chips]

It would be a lot easier if the new map system features the color gray so it could be used to show people’s predictions on things other than just the Presidency.

THIS.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My (very early) ratings :

Cringing at IL as Likely D. Dem odds in Missouri are at least as good as the GOP's in Illinois (to be clear I don't think Dems have a chance in Missouri).

This map won't happen why do users keep underestimating Biden and the blue wall, they lost to him 3xs already 2008/12/20

[2016]

@Chips:
This is my Map and it's not an unreasonable Map:

[Chips]

@Chips:
This is my Map and it's not an unreasonable Map:

Yeah it's plausible.

[MillennialModerate]

It would be a lot easier if the new map system features the color gray so it could be used to show people’s predictions on things other than just the Presidency.

THIS.

Well, just figured out that if you click ALLOW TOSSUPS it gives a gray option. Which does effectively forced you to make a no tossup map but hey it’s better than nothing

[MillennialModerate]

[S019]

If Warnock loses, Democrats will lose NV and PA too, there is no scenario I can envision where Democrats flip PA, but lose GA.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sununu lead will evaporate in 500 days , Biden won NH last time but it took a while before they called it. Scott Brown was leading Shaheen and Brown lost. NH is a Cook plus D 2 state

D's are gonna win WI, PA, NH and GA and possibly a 3rd seat in OH and NC if they duplicate the scenario last time winning PVI by 3.1, that's why the last OH poll was very close, and NC will be close

[2016]

Sununu lead will evaporate in 500 days , Biden won NH last time but it took a while before they called it. Scott Brown was leading Shaheen and Brown lost. NH is a Cook plus D 2 state

D's are gonna win WI, PA, NH and GA and possibly a 3rd seat in OH and NC if they duplicate the scenario last time winning PVI by 3.1, that's why the last OH poll was very close, and NC will be close

What you are talking is wishful thinking!!!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sununu hasn't been scrutinized yet and he will, once the campaign begins, it's 500 days til the Election

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Missouri seems likely to see disgraced ex-Gov Grietens as the GOP nominee, so maybe? Still a long shot

I think people are giving too much credit to Johnson and whoever the GOP PA is.

In general I'd rate AZ, WI, and GA as tossups, PA as lean D, and NH as entirely dependant on Sununu.

[Canis]

Here are mine
NH goes to Tilt R if Sunnun is the nominee if he's not it goes to Likely D. Theirs a lot of time between now and the midterms so this could age very poorly lol MO also goes to Likely maybe Lean R if Greitens is the nominee.
all the states I have tilt one way or another are tossups btw just my guess as to where they'll go so AZ NC WI PA and GA I think are tossups and could 100% go either way.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

WI is not R if Evers and Nelson are leading in every poll



As of today 51/49 Senate WARNOCK loses





Partisan maps

[UWS]

WI is not R if Evers and Nelson are leading in every poll



As of today 51/49 Senate WARNOCK loses





Partisan maps

There's been just one poll thus far and it shows Nelson leading by just 4. And Nelson is a weak candidate who lost virtually every race he has run : he lost his bid for Lieutenant Governor in 2010 when his running mate lost to Scott Walker and he lost his 2018 run for Congress in Wisconsin's 8th congressional district.

As for Ron Kind, for example, there's a good chance he doesn't run for Senate as it would make his seat in WI-03 more winnable for the GOP (as he won it by just 3 last year), making that race easier for Johnson. Even Kind does run, he will likely be might even lose the nomination due to his support to TPP and to his vote for the Iraq War, that reminds 2016 when Hillary Clinton lost the Wisconsin primary to Bernie Sanders because of that kind of record.

[2016]

Kanye West,
Keep on dreaming! Democrats will not win Wisconsin, a State where Biden only won by 20,000 Votes.

The most likely scenario is that the WOW Counties and their Suburbs who bailed on Trump and Republicans in 2018 & 2020 will Swing back Republican handing the Senate Race & Governor Race back to the Republican Party. Trump lost Wisconsin because he did not get the margins in Waukesha, Kenosha, etc.
2022 has no Trump in the WH or on the Ballot.
And if Reince Priebus runs for Governor Evers is a GONER!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kanye West,
Keep on dreaming! Democrats will not win Wisconsin, a State where Biden only won by 20,000 Votes.

The most likely scenario is that the WOW Counties and their Suburbs who bailed on Trump and Republicans in 2018 & 2020 will Swing back Republican handing the Senate Race & Governor Race back to the Republican Party. Trump lost Wisconsin because he did not get the margins in Waukesha, Kenosha, etc.
2022 has no Trump in the WH or on the Ballot.
And if Reince Priebus runs for Governor Evers is a GONER!

You can put it on your map map, but I will put it on my map when Dave put the maps out WI isn't an E state the only time Does didn't win it was 2916 it has voted more often D than R


Johnson hasn't lead in a single poll