USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)

[brucejoel99]

Alright, fellow red-avs, I think it goes without saying that the biggest thing that can be gleaned from all of this is that it's time to cyberbully Steve Bullock into running for the new MT seat

[Roll Roons]

Ten largest states, ranked (change since 2010)

1. california
2. texas
3. florida (+1)
4. new york (-1)
5. pennsylvania (+1)
6. illinois (-1)
7. ohio
8. georgia (+1)
9. north carolina (+1)
10. michigan (-2)

Bottom ten

50. wyoming
49. vermont
48. alaska (-1)
47. north dakota (+1)
46. south dakota
45. delaware
44. montana
43. rhode island
42. maine (-1)
41. new hampshire (+1)
40. hawaii

DC would be 49/51, up from 50/51

New to the one million club
Montana (1.08 mil)
next up: Delaware (10K away)

New to the ten million club
Georgia (10.7mil)
North Carolina (10.5mil)
Michigan (10.1mil)
next up: New Jersey (800k away)

That means Biden and Trump each won 5 of the bottom 10 states. So much for muh Senate bias.

[TML]

Alright, fellow red-avs, I think it goes without saying that the biggest thing that can be gleaned from all of this is that it's time to cyberbully Steve Bullock into running for the new MT seat

His personal motivations aside, I think an important factor to consider is whether his hometown of Helena gets drawn into the 1st (western) district or the 2nd (eastern) district. If it's the former, he's got a legitimate shot at winning; if it's the latter, he's most likely going to be a sacrificial lamb.

Additionally, depending on how the districts are drawn, he may also face competition from the 2018/2020 Democratic nominee for MT-AL.

[Pink Panther]

If Hispanics were undercounted, how are potential VRA seats affected?

[VAR]

Alright, fellow red-avs, I think it goes without saying that the biggest thing that can be gleaned from all of this is that it's time to cyberbully Steve Bullock into running for the new MT seat

He is damaged goods at this point.

[cinyc]

Also any idea when we'll be getting results for the biggest cities in the country? I wonder if the city of Austin's population has crossed 1 million.

July 1, 2021 ESTIMATES come out on May 27. But those estimates were way off vs actual Census in the Northeast. See my spreadsheet here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SRUw_xrjD7bhgnLyeS-OJ2ptD1kCOmbOyXStlWxYzhA/edit?usp=sharing

The actual census redistricting file is supposed to come out around August 16 in raw form and by September 30 in tabular form.

[TML]

Alright, fellow red-avs, I think it goes without saying that the biggest thing that can be gleaned from all of this is that it's time to cyberbully Steve Bullock into running for the new MT seat

He is damaged goods at this point.

Maybe for statewide office, but probably not for a district which is geographically favorable for his party.

[brucejoel99]

Alright, fellow red-avs, I think it goes without saying that the biggest thing that can be gleaned from all of this is that it's time to cyberbully Steve Bullock into running for the new MT seat

He is damaged goods at this point.

Maybe for statewide office, but probably not for a district which is geographically favorable for his party.

Either way, I just want a valid excuse to cyberbully him

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Ten largest states, ranked (change since 2010)

1. california
2. texas
3. florida (+1)
4. new york (-1)
5. pennsylvania (+1)
6. illinois (-1)
7. ohio
8. georgia (+1)
9. north carolina (+1)
10. michigan (-2)

Bottom ten

50. wyoming
49. vermont
48. alaska (-1)
47. north dakota (+1)
46. south dakota
45. delaware
44. montana
43. rhode island
42. maine (-1)
41. new hampshire (+1)
40. hawaii

DC would be 49/51, up from 50/51

New to the one million club
Montana (1.08 mil)
next up: Delaware (10K away)

New to the ten million club
Georgia (10.7mil)
North Carolina (10.5mil)
Michigan (10.1mil)
next up: New Jersey (800k away)

That means Biden and Trump each won 5 of the bottom 10 states. So much for muh Senate bias.

The election wasn't 50-50, but each candidate won 25 states. That's biased.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Over 3000 New Yorkers died of coronavirus in March 2020.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Ten largest states, ranked (change since 2010)

1. california
2. texas
3. florida (+1)
4. new york (-1)
5. pennsylvania (+1)
6. illinois (-1)
7. ohio
8. georgia (+1)
9. north carolina (+1)
10. michigan (-2)

Bottom ten

50. wyoming
49. vermont
48. alaska (-1)
47. north dakota (+1)
46. south dakota
45. delaware
44. montana
43. rhode island
42. maine (-1)
41. new hampshire (+1)
40. hawaii

DC would be 49/51, up from 50/51

New to the one million club
Montana (1.08 mil)
next up: Delaware (10K away)

New to the ten million club
Georgia (10.7mil)
North Carolina (10.5mil)
Michigan (10.1mil)
next up: New Jersey (800k away)

That means Biden and Trump each won 5 of the bottom 10 states. So much for muh Senate bias.

Trump still won 4 of the bottom 5 and 11 of the 25-39 range. Give me a break.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Wait are these the actual reapportionment?  Florida only got 1 seat?  NY only lost 1?  What happened to the massive southern growth we keep hearing about?

If New York had 90 more people, it would not have lost any seats. Wow.

Seriously? 

Yeah

[Nyvin]

Could New York make a case about the Census missing enough overseas people to gain back it's 27th seat?

[Non Swing Voter]

some GOP congressman in rural NY is going to lose their seat anyways. 

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

some GOP congressman in rural NY is going to lose their seat anyways. 

Yeah but getting to 27 could add a Dem seat in NYC in addition to dropping a GOP seat and get rid of Emmer/Fischbach at the same time. Even better!

[Brittain33]

Ten largest states, ranked (change since 2010)

1. california
2. texas
3. florida (+1)
4. new york (-1)
5. pennsylvania (+1)
6. illinois (-1)
7. ohio
8. georgia (+1)
9. north carolina (+1)
10. michigan (-2)

Bottom ten

50. wyoming
49. vermont
48. alaska (-1)
47. north dakota (+1)
46. south dakota
45. delaware
44. montana
43. rhode island
42. maine (-1)
41. new hampshire (+1)
40. hawaii

DC would be 49/51, up from 50/51

New to the one million club
Montana (1.08 mil)
next up: Delaware (10K away)

New to the ten million club
Georgia (10.7mil)
North Carolina (10.5mil)
Michigan (10.1mil)
next up: New Jersey (800k away)

That means Biden and Trump each won 5 of the bottom 10 states. So much for muh Senate bias.

Senate bias is mainly in states 31-40, which are heavily Republican, and California being heavily underrepresented.

[IAMCANADIAN]

Is this Cuomo meme serious? Might as well blame Xi Jinping for New York losing a congressional district.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1386809722196660227

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I honestly doubt with the population shift republicans can draw a consistent two safe seats, they might have to sacrifice one to the dems to save another. I’m really curious where the new seats gained go regardless

[OSR stands with Israel]

Ten largest states, ranked (change since 2010)

1. california
2. texas
3. florida (+1)
4. new york (-1)
5. pennsylvania (+1)
6. illinois (-1)
7. ohio
8. georgia (+1)
9. north carolina (+1)
10. michigan (-2)

Bottom ten

50. wyoming
49. vermont
48. alaska (-1)
47. north dakota (+1)
46. south dakota
45. delaware
44. montana
43. rhode island
42. maine (-1)
41. new hampshire (+1)
40. hawaii

DC would be 49/51, up from 50/51

New to the one million club
Montana (1.08 mil)
next up: Delaware (10K away)

New to the ten million club
Georgia (10.7mil)
North Carolina (10.5mil)
Michigan (10.1mil)
next up: New Jersey (800k away)

That means Biden and Trump each won 5 of the bottom 10 states. So much for muh Senate bias.

The election wasn't 50-50, but each candidate won 25 states. That's biased.

Ford won 27 out of 50

[bagelman]

I honestly doubt with the population shift republicans can draw a consistent two safe seats, they might have to sacrifice one to the dems to save another. I’m really curious where the new seats gained go regardless

What state are you referring to?

[Progressive Pessimist]

This is kind of a mixed bag of an official reapportionment. On the plus side, Florida only gained one seat instead the two that were projected for awhile. Also Minnesota maintains having 10 Electors after all, even if it doesn't mean that one of the GOP representatives gets drawn. Same goes for Rhode Island maintaining its representation.

On the downside, the fact that 89 New Yorkers not being counted deprived the state of a congressional district and Elector is infuriating and a massive consequence to the state.

Overall, Republicans probably benefited more from this, but I don't think it will make all that much of a difference in House and national elections.  

some GOP congressman in rural NY is going to lose their seat anyways.  

Let it be Stefanik, please!

[Skill and Chance]

2020 election with 2020 reapportionment numbers:
303 D - 236 R

2016:
231 D - 307 R

2012:
329 D - 209 R

2008:
357 D - 181 R

2004:
242 D - 296 R

2000:
249 D - 289 R

1996:
364 D - 174 R

1992:
353 D - 185 R

Ignored F*ithless electors.

Interesting that it only shifts a couple EV in the most recent 3 elections, but would have hugely benefited Bush and the 1990's Republicans. 

[Crumpets]

Based on jimtrex's post I don't see how Arizona gains a seat. Colorado might.

Congrats, Krazen!

[jimrtex]

If NY had 89 more people, it wouldn't have lost seats?? This is crazy

MN is #435

Cuomo single-handedly cost New York a seat.