Will Florida be within 5 points?

[_.]

If there's any swing in Miami-Dade back to Democrats, then the idea of a Republican victory 5% of more in Florida is dead in the water.

It's my opinion that Miami-Dade has a good chance of making a swing to the left in 2024, so I chose "Yes"*.

Accounting for population growth in the exurban areas of the I-4 corridor, I think the margin could look something like R+3 or R+4.