MD-SEN 2024: Cardin retiring, Hogan IN

[Roll Roons]

Wowowow. Obviously no chance he actually wins, but he will force Democrats to divert a lot of money into this race.

[Atlas Force]

Watch him not even win the primary.

[Flats the Flounder]

I like Larry Hogan well enough, but this is really bad for the Democratic Senate majority lol

[kwabbit]

Maybe he has some internal polling that shows him winning, but he is definitely going to lose by 15 points while Trump loses by 35. Maybe he just likes being in the public sphere.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Trone it's still Lean D

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Wowowow. Obviously no chance he actually wins, but he will force Democrats to divert a lot of money into this race.

I think there is a chance, purely because it's an open seat. If he was running against the incumbent Cardin, he would be DOA, but the dynamic of elections without one are a bit different. Besides, the Dem nominee is either going to be Trone or the leftist person.

[2016]

Wowowow. Obviously no chance he actually wins, but he will force Democrats to divert a lot of money into this race.

Not to mention that Democrats have also a pretty contentious Primary between Trone and Alsobrooks.

Question is: Can Republicans clear the Field for Hogan?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wowowow. Obviously no chance he actually wins, but he will force Democrats to divert a lot of money into this race.

Rs are defending FL and TX and MO did you see the polls in FL has Trump only up 4

[Babeuf]

Dems just need to run the anti-Bredesen playbook in reverse ("he's a nice guy, but a vote for Hogan is a vote for McConnell to be Majority Leader") and they'll be fine. Will take some money and there will be some scary early polls, but I'm not worried about the ultimate outcome.

[Redban]

Good for Repubs. He's the sort of moderate Republican that the party needs nationally

[SnowLabrador]

I'm skeptical that he makes this competitive, but at a minimum it'll divert D resources from the swing states, not to mention Montana and Ohio. Bad news.

[Lambsbread]

No chance he wins the general. Much like Phil Scott and Vermont, voters seem to understand the difference between having a Republican Governor and sending a Republican to DC as your Senator/Congressperson.

He was wise to not run for President, but this won't go much better.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1755995216408957293

[Roll Roons]

Wowowow. Obviously no chance he actually wins, but he will force Democrats to divert a lot of money into this race.

I think there is a chance, purely because it's an open seat. If he was running against the incumbent Cardin, he would be DOA, but the dynamic of elections without one are a bit different. Besides, the Dem nominee is either going to be Trone or the leftist person.

As happy as I'd be to see him in the Senate, Trump will lose MD by well over 30 points. I believe in ticket-splitting, but right now, I don't think that it can happen to that degree in a federal race.

[Oryxslayer]

Maybe he wants to make himself more attractive to employer firms. It's a good way to stay personally relevant into the 2025-29 presidential term, especially with the DC organizations who will be getting some of your campaign's ad time and potentially cycling around employees.

It's certainly not a serious attempt at boosting local candidates or coming close to winning. Cause neither will happen with two generic liberals as the potential Dem candidates, and the one who might cause hesitation will bury every opponent with his personal warchest. Nor are Dems likely to divert resources - especially if its Trone who has everything and more on his own - but anti-Trump Rs might.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Wowowow. Obviously no chance he actually wins, but he will force Democrats to divert a lot of money into this race.

I think there is a chance, purely because it's an open seat. If he was running against the incumbent Cardin, he would be DOA, but the dynamic of elections without one are a bit different. Besides, the Dem nominee is either going to be Trone or the leftist person.

As happy as I'd be to see him in the Senate, Trump will lose MD by well over 30 points. I believe in ticket-splitting, but right now, I don't think that it can happen to that degree in a federal race.

I don't think he will win, but let's hope for the best, and I would love to see Trone go bankrupt in the process of buying out his senate seat. Also it's very likely Hogan will carry MD06, so it's possible Rs an flip that seat downballot on his coattails perhaps.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Ugh

[Atlas Force]

I'm skeptical that he makes this competitive, but at a minimum it'll divert D resources from the swing states, not to mention Montana and Ohio. Bad news.

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1755995216408957293

It's certainly not a serious attempt at boosting local candidates or coming close to winning.

https://twitter.com/ET_Californian/status/1755993859379568838

[Roll Roons]

Seems like the NRSC is backing him.

[beaver2.0]

This is going to be a waste of nine months for him unless the Democrats have a Brewster-Mahoney type split.

[progressive85]

In a depolarized, less partisan world that makes more sense, this would make the state a tossup on the Senate map... but this isn't even the year 2000 anymore.

Also, Maryland is, at the federal level, really Democratic, and remember Donald Trump is on that ballot with him.

[ralstonfan65]

Lol

He will lose by 20 points

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Cool, Safe D.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

A pretty bad sign for Biden's chances nationally at this point - internal polls must be interesting now if Hogan thinks he has any chance.

[Gracile]

Democrats would be foolish to spend a dime in this race.