Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues (user search)
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  Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues (search mode)
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Author Topic: Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues  (Read 67646 times)
skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« on: April 18, 2021, 09:04:16 PM »
« edited: April 18, 2021, 09:16:48 PM by skbl17 »
First* major poll of the second round, from Ipsos:

- Castillo (PL): 42%
- Fujimori (FP): 31%
- Null/blank: 16%
- Undecided: 11%



Factoring out undecideds and null votes, it's 58-42 Castillo:



* Allegedly, there was also a leaked poll a couple of days ago, allegedly from CPI, that Peru Libre supporters got their hands on. That poll had Castillo up 63-37 among decided voters, with 40% intending to spoil their ballot or undecided. I think the verifiability of that poll is suspect - it wasn't reported on anywhere else as far as I can tell. Nonetheless, Ipsos isn't far off, so there's no reason not to suspect that Castillo is ahead at this stage.
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2021, 07:44:25 AM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Eva Copa on April 19, 2021, 03:44:45 AM
Spicy! I know there were polls saying a majority of people said they would never vote for Keiko back before the first-round vote, and I also recently saw a number of about ~30% of people saying the same for Castillo - is that real or did La República make it up somewhere?

I don't know if that specific poll was real, but I can believe it, and such sentiment appears to have carried over. Ipsos also surveyed rejection rates, and they found that 55% said they will definitely not vote for Fujimori, while 33% say the same of Castillo.
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #2 on: June 06, 2021, 07:00:26 PM »
Ipsos/America TV exit poll:

- Fujimori: 50.3%
- Castillo: 49.7%
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #3 on: June 06, 2021, 10:02:50 PM »
Conteo Rápido/Quick Count (Ipsos):

- Castillo: 50.2%
- Fujimori: 49.8%
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #4 on: June 06, 2021, 11:39:03 PM »
First report from ONPE (42.03% of polling stations counted):

- Fujimori: 52.9%
- Castillo: 47.1%
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #5 on: June 06, 2021, 11:48:03 PM »
The official ONPE results page is now available.
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2021, 01:01:22 AM »
Castillo has declared victory:
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #7 on: July 19, 2021, 05:50:25 PM »
Keiko all but concedes.
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skbl17
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 421
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09
« Reply #8 on: July 19, 2021, 08:12:49 PM »
And now it's officially over. All that's left is the inauguration.
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