Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues
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Author Topic: Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues  (Read 68048 times)
Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #1000 on: July 26, 2022, 05:25:49 PM »

So Renovación Popular and Perú Libre supported the same list? Horseshoe theory in action if so.

Lopez Aliaga very likely would've endorsed Castillo in the second round if Castillo hadn't go on a tirade about his business practices iirc
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1001 on: August 04, 2022, 02:42:02 PM »



Castillo desperately seeking allies to stave off impeachment as the walls close in (he’s about to be questioned in the army promotions scandal from early on in his term). This will be the fifth cabinet of his term.
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #1002 on: August 04, 2022, 10:03:20 PM »
« Edited: August 05, 2022, 05:41:20 AM by alex »

As hinted at by Alfred Jones's post, prime minister Aníbal "Hitler did some good things too" Torres resigned yesterday after being in this office for just under 6 months
It's not as if anything was thinking he'd last much longer anyway
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1003 on: August 06, 2022, 09:01:36 AM »

Castillo has not accepted Torres’s resignation and has made only a minor cabinet reshuffle. Moderate economist and former Humala minister Kurt Burneo at Economy, and Miguel Rodríguez Mackay (who promoted election fraud theories in 2021!) in foreign affairs are the only two major changes.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1004 on: August 10, 2022, 02:33:49 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2022, 10:32:23 AM by H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY »

Following a raid on the presidential palace to arrest Yenifer Paredes (Castillo’s sister-in-law who has since fled), Castillo’s defense attorney Benji Espinoza is no longer representing him or his wife.

Update: he’s back lmao (and Yenifer Paredes has turned herself in)
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1005 on: September 05, 2022, 10:13:23 PM »

Lady Camones (APP) has been removed as president of the Congress after leaked audio showed her discussing with APP party leader Cesar Acuña about passing a law creating some new district in the region of La Libertad, where Acuña is running for governor, as a show to benefit him.
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MRCVzla
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« Reply #1006 on: September 12, 2022, 12:46:07 AM »

A new election for Speaker of the Congress in order to found the substitute of the disgraced Lady Camones will be today Monday at 10:00 am local time (presential vote), at the deadline to register candidatures (yesterday Sunday) there was no consensus neither at the opposition or government-backed blocs to present united list. The candidates are José Williams Zapata (Avanza País), Luis Aragón (Acción Popular, supported also by the Bloque Magisterial), Carlos Zeballos (Integridad y Desarrollo), José Balcázar (Perú Bicentenario), José Elías (Podemos Perú, supported also by Somos Perú) and Guido Bellido (Perú Libre).

Also yesterday was a TV debate between the candidates of the upcoming Lima municipal election, the third overall but the first one with the presence of the current frontrunner, Daniel Urresti (Podemos Perú), very tense debate overall marked by taunts, mega-projects promises and combating crime with drones, armed watchmen and tons of patrol cars in the streets. The other main candidates are fellow Urresti' former 2021 presidential candidates Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular) and George Forsyth (now under Somos Perú), also but distant according to the opinion polls is former second VP (under Humala' first year) and former MP Omar Chehade (APP).

Election is on 3 weeks at October 2 (same date as the Brazilian general election' 1st round) for the renewal of the Metropolitan Municipality of Lima who composes the Metropolitan Mayor (FPTP, no runoff) and the 39-seat Provincial Council (D'Hondt without threshold but with majority prize for the most voted list), the Municipality has a 4-year term, there are 7.5 million of registered voters.

Also on the same date are the Regional and Local (provincial and district level) elections in all the country, 25 regional governors (with their deputy governors), 196 provincial mayors (including the Lima metro) and 1694 district mayors plus a lot of regional, mayoral and district councilors are being renewed, in the Regional elections if the 1st place does not achieve more than 30% of valid votes, there will be a runoff, inmediate reelection is not allowed since 2018.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1007 on: September 12, 2022, 02:15:21 PM »
« Edited: September 12, 2022, 02:55:19 PM by H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY »

Luis Aragón and José Williams have advanced to the second round of elections for speaker. Williams had by far more votes but Aragón is consolidating the left and center (Perú Libre dissidents, Somos Perú).
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1008 on: September 12, 2022, 02:56:54 PM »

Perú Libre (per Vladimir Cerrón) and the right-wing faction of Acción Popular (led by Maricarmen Alva) have both stated that they will not support Aragón in the second round (PL will abstain, unsure what the AP right will do). Big blow to his chances.
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MRCVzla
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« Reply #1009 on: September 12, 2022, 03:45:20 PM »

Luis Aragón and José Williams have advanced to the second round of elections for speaker. Williams had by far more votes but Aragón is consolidating the left and center (Perú Libre dissidents, Somos Perú).

Just in: Williams (Avanza País) has been elected as the new Speaker, 67-41 of Aragón (Acción Popular) in the 2nd round. 3 blank votes and 13 null/void.
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MRCVzla
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« Reply #1010 on: October 02, 2022, 09:14:54 PM »

This was today, completly overshadowed by the Brazilian election.

Ipsos' rapid count at 80.9% for Metropolitan Lima mayoral election, very close race:
Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular): 26.1%
Daniel Urresti (Podemos Perú): 25.9%
George Forsyth (Somos Perú): 18.8%
Elizabeth León (Frente de la Esperanza): 10.4%
Omar Chehade (Alianza para el Progreso): 7.1%
Gonzalo Alegría (Juntos por el Perú): 6.5%
María Elena Soto (Avanza País): 3.5%
Yuri Castro (Perú Libre): 1.7%

Exit poll at 5pm was López Aliaga 26.8%, Urresti 25.8%, Forsyth 19.4%, León 8.7%, Chehade 7.5%, Alegría 6.5%

Also many other local races around Lima and all Perú happened as well the governor' races, many of them with civic/independent candidates leading.
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Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela
Heat
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« Reply #1011 on: October 03, 2022, 02:22:00 AM »

This was today, completly overshadowed by the Brazilian election.

Ipsos' rapid count at 80.9% for Metropolitan Lima mayoral election, very close race:
Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular): 26.1%
Daniel Urresti (Podemos Perú): 25.9%
George Forsyth (Somos Perú): 18.8%
Elizabeth León (Frente de la Esperanza): 10.4%
Omar Chehade (Alianza para el Progreso): 7.1%
Gonzalo Alegría (Juntos por el Perú): 6.5%
María Elena Soto (Avanza País): 3.5%
Yuri Castro (Perú Libre): 1.7%

Exit poll at 5pm was López Aliaga 26.8%, Urresti 25.8%, Forsyth 19.4%, León 8.7%, Chehade 7.5%, Alegría 6.5%

Also many other local races around Lima and all Perú happened as well the governor' races, many of them with civic/independent candidates leading.

I see a few former presidential candidates ran. is the mayor post powerful? Is it seen as a potential springboard for higher office?
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MRCVzla
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« Reply #1012 on: October 03, 2022, 01:58:20 PM »

Official results at 100% of processed acts/97.6% of counted acts for Metropolitan Lima election: https://resultadoserm2022.onpe.gob.pe/ERM2022/EleccionesMunicipales/RePro

Renovación Popular (López Aliaga) 26.29%
Podemos Perú (Urresti) 25.38%
Somos Perú (Forsyth) 18.94%
Frente de la Esperanza (León) 10.93%
Alianza para el Progreso (Chehade) 7.11%
Juntos por el Perú (Alegría) 6.38%
Avanza País (Soto) 3.51%
Perú Libre (Castro) 1.47%

Turnout: 78.61%

Ipsos' rapid count at 100% projected a tie between Aliaga and Urresti at 25.9%. Urresti has conceded and will not challenge a recount. Aliaga has not presidential intentions anymore and is not very sure to meet with President Castillo as he seems as a corrupt.

Full list for Lima' elected district mayors: https://rpp.pe/politica/elecciones/elecciones-2022-estos-son-los-virtuales-alcaldes-de-los-distritos-de-lima-segun-onpe-noticia-1436622

I see a few former presidential candidates ran. is the mayor post powerful? Is it seen as a potential springboard for higher office?

From what i seen, is very important by the peruvian media, the most important "nominal" elected post aside the Presidency, many Lima mayors in the past had run for the Presidency like Lourdes Flores or the late Luis Castañeda without very luck, and always can see important or mediatic politicians running (like this year). Of course winning is not a guarantee of a stable administration as much of the past Lima mayors end with corruption-related problems and can resign or be impeached during the term.
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Mike88
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« Reply #1013 on: November 25, 2022, 02:19:39 PM »

"Another one bites the dust":

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PSOL
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« Reply #1014 on: November 25, 2022, 02:35:35 PM »

So far no one has enough votes for impeachment of Castillo, with most preferring that his presidency stays as it is as a lame duck. With time passing the chance for the elder Fujimori and spy chief Valentisos to die greatly increases. We can only hope the right stays locked out of power for them to fragment into the wind.
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Edu
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« Reply #1015 on: December 07, 2022, 12:30:59 PM »

Is a self coup happening over there or what?
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Edu
Ufokart
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« Reply #1016 on: December 07, 2022, 12:37:57 PM »

4 days ago he was saying that he wouldn't shut down the congress lol


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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1017 on: December 07, 2022, 12:45:12 PM »

Is a self coup happening over there or what?

Seems like it. Suspension of Congress, government by decree. Bad stuff.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1018 on: December 07, 2022, 12:52:51 PM »

Foreign minister, economy minister, justice minister have all resigned.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1019 on: December 07, 2022, 01:11:18 PM »

So this ends with him either backing down under increased pressure and then a likely resumption of the revolving presidential door, or new elections where the Fujimorista parties gain off opposition anger with everything from the past year - right? Wonderful times ahead.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1020 on: December 07, 2022, 01:16:22 PM »

So this ends with him either backing down under increased pressure and then a likely resumption of the revolving presidential door, or new elections where the Fujimorista parties gain off opposition anger with everything from the past year - right? Wonderful times ahead.

Hey, it could be both!
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1021 on: December 07, 2022, 01:22:08 PM »
« Edited: December 07, 2022, 01:27:30 PM by H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY »

Congress is voting to impeach him now. I haven’t heard a single no, although some of his closest allies (Bellido and Bermejo) have been silent.

Update: Hamlet Echevarría (formerly Perú Libre, now Perú Democrático) voted no.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1022 on: December 07, 2022, 01:23:12 PM »
« Edited: December 07, 2022, 01:26:22 PM by H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY »



I reject Pedro Castillo’s decision to perpetrate a breakdown of constitutional order with the closing of Congress. This is a coup that aggravates the political and institutional crisis that Peruvian society will have to get through with strict adherence to the law.
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Edu
Ufokart
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« Reply #1023 on: December 07, 2022, 01:38:34 PM »


lol peruvian names are sometimes hilarious
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #1024 on: December 07, 2022, 01:44:18 PM »


Just wait til we see Congressman Hitler Saavedra (Somos Perú) become President, which he statistically has a high likelihood of doing by the end of this term.
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