New Republican female Senators in the next ten years?

[Tekken_Guy]

What new Republican women will become Senators within the next ten years?

We have eight GOP women in the caucus currently (Capito, Fischer, Ernst, Collins, Murkowski, Blackburn, Hyde-Smith and Lummis).

What other potential female GOP senators do you see by 2030?

The most obvious right now is Jane Timken in OH.

[Talleyrand]

2022:

Jane Timken will win in Ohio. Katie Britt will probably replace Shelby in Alabama. And if Grassley retires, Ashley Hinson is the odds-on favorite to replace him.

Other possibilities: Kelly Loeffler in Georgia, Kelly Ayotte in NH, Carla Sands/Martina White in PA, Kimberly Yee in AZ, Heidi Gansert/Jill Tolles in NV

Rs are doing an excellent job of increasing their female representation. Their incoming landslide next fall will perform wonders.

[I’m not Stu]

2022:

Jane Timken will win in Ohio. Katie Britt will probably replace Shelby in Alabama. And if Grassley retires, Ashley Hinson is the odds-on favorite to replace him.

Other possibilities: Kelly Loeffler in Georgia, Kelly Ayotte in NH, Carla Sands/Martina White in PA, Kimberly Yee in AZ, Heidi Gansert/Jill Tolles in NV

Rs are doing an excellent job of increasing their female representation. Their incoming landslide next fall will perform wonders.

No, Mo Brooks will replace Richard Shelby.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Senate map from 2022/2024/2026 is stacked against the Rs

Amy Acton is gonna be Senator from the polls, who knows about an R Senator

[Vosem]

Cycles in the 21st century where at least one new Republican woman won: 2020, 2018, 2014, 2012, 2010, 2002

Cycles in the 21st century where no new Republican women won: 2016, 2008, 2006, 2004, 2000

Before 2010, the only cycle in the 21st century when a new Republican woman won was 2002, but afterwards the only one where there wasn't a new woman was 2016 (when there were very few new Republican Senators generally, since it was 6 years after 2010). Seen from this perspective, 2010's mama grizzly movement was actually quite transformative: since then, female Republican politicians have become much more common.

The trend as a percentage of the caucus has been uphill for much longer, though; records have been set (and then broken) in the 21st century at the cycles of...2002 (9.8%), 2006 (10.2%), 2010 (10.6%), 2014 (11.1%), 2018 (13.2%), and 2020 (16%).

[Real Texan Politics]

Michelle Fischbach?? I don't think she would be too far right for Minnesota, but she did vote against the certification of one or two states which may hurt her as well (though she may not run for several years). Plus I doubt she (or anyone else for that matter) would be able to beat Klobuchar even after the Chauvin controversy.

[Xing]

Young Kim, obviously.

[I’m not Stu]

Michelle Fischbach?? I don't think she would be too far right for Minnesota, but she did vote against the certification of one or two states which may hurt her as well (though she may not run for several years). Plus I doubt she (or anyone else for that matter) would be able to beat Klobuchar even after the Chauvin controversy.

Minnesota’s suburbs of the Twin Cities are too hostile to the GOP. The rural areas are losing population.

[Real Texan Politics]

Michelle Fischbach?? I don't think she would be too far right for Minnesota, but she did vote against the certification of one or two states which may hurt her as well (though she may not run for several years). Plus I doubt she (or anyone else for that matter) would be able to beat Klobuchar even after the Chauvin controversy.

Minnesota’s suburbs of the Twin Cities are too hostile to the GOP. The rural areas are losing population.

True, even though her district covers a lot of rural Minnesota.

Then again she'd probably do a lot better than Mike Lindell.

[I’m not Stu]

Michelle Fischbach?? I don't think she would be too far right for Minnesota, but she did vote against the certification of one or two states which may hurt her as well (though she may not run for several years). Plus I doubt she (or anyone else for that matter) would be able to beat Klobuchar even after the Chauvin controversy.

Minnesota’s suburbs of the Twin Cities are too hostile to the GOP. The rural areas are losing population.

True, even though her district covers a lot of rural Minnesota.

Then again she'd probably do a lot better than Mike Lindell.

Fischbach would do better than Lindell, but the rural areas aren’t enough to win.

[Roll Roons]

Michelle Fischbach?? I don't think she would be too far right for Minnesota, but she did vote against the certification of one or two states which may hurt her as well (though she may not run for several years). Plus I doubt she (or anyone else for that matter) would be able to beat Klobuchar even after the Chauvin controversy.

Minnesota’s suburbs of the Twin Cities are too hostile to the GOP. The rural areas are losing population.

True, even though her district covers a lot of rural Minnesota.

Then again she'd probably do a lot better than Mike Lindell.

As virtually anyone would.

[MargieCat]

Ann Wagner

Kelly Craft

Lynda Blanchard

[I’m not Stu]

Ann Wagner

Kelly Craft

Lynda Blanchard

Mo Brooks will win the Alabama primary. Ann Wagner has the best chance of winning.

[MargieCat]

Ann Wagner

Kelly Craft

Lynda Blanchard

Mo Brooks will win the Alabama primary. Ann Wagner has the best chance of winning.

She could replace Tuberville in 2026. I'm convinced he is a one termer or won't even finish his current term.

[Brittain33]

Kelly Craft

Oh dear God.

[MargieCat]

Also Nancy Mace or Nikki Haley could run whenever there is a retirement in SC.

It would be a much more realistic goal for Haley at this point than president.

[LtNOWIS]

Stephanie Bice in 2026.

[Tekken_Guy]

Kelly Craft

Oh dear God.

Do you think she’d win a Primary even?

[MargieCat]

Kelly Craft

Oh dear God.

Do you think she’d win a Primary even?

She is on McConnell's list of preferred successors, along with Daniel Cameron and Michael Adams.

The state legislature is trying (perhaps they already have) to strip Beshear of his ability to fill a senate appointment, if McConnell or Paul retires early.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

If Tim Scott retires I could see Nancy Mace jumping at it, especially if HR1 passes and SC-01 is drawn to be a good bit more friendly to Dems

[Tekken_Guy]

If Tim Scott retires I could see Nancy Mace jumping at it, especially if HR1 passes and SC-01 is drawn to be a good bit more friendly to Dems

I don’t think he’ll retire until at least 2028. Graham’s seat might open up before then.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

If Tim Scott retires I could see Nancy Mace jumping at it, especially if HR1 passes and SC-01 is drawn to be a good bit more friendly to Dems

I don’t think he’ll retire until at least 2028. Graham’s seat might open up before then.

I think the senate delegation will stay split between upstate and downstate. Just gonna hope that it's not my sh**tty congressman who gets the upstate seat

[Tekken_Guy]

If Tim Scott retires I could see Nancy Mace jumping at it, especially if HR1 passes and SC-01 is drawn to be a good bit more friendly to Dems

I don’t think he’ll retire until at least 2028. Graham’s seat might open up before then.

I think the senate delegation will stay split between upstate and downstate. Just gonna hope that it's not my sh**tty congressman who gets the upstate seat

Who do you have?

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

If Tim Scott retires I could see Nancy Mace jumping at it, especially if HR1 passes and SC-01 is drawn to be a good bit more friendly to Dems

I don’t think he’ll retire until at least 2028. Graham’s seat might open up before then.

I think the senate delegation will stay split between upstate and downstate. Just gonna hope that it's not my sh**tty congressman who gets the upstate seat

Who do you have?

Jeff Duncan, AKA “soft Q congressman” AKA “MTG’s handler”

[Tekken_Guy]

If Tim Scott retires I could see Nancy Mace jumping at it, especially if HR1 passes and SC-01 is drawn to be a good bit more friendly to Dems

I don’t think he’ll retire until at least 2028. Graham’s seat might open up before then.

I think the senate delegation will stay split between upstate and downstate. Just gonna hope that it's not my sh**tty congressman who gets the upstate seat

Who do you have?

Jeff Duncan, AKA “soft Q congressman” AKA “MTG’s handler”

Timmons might be the upstate’s next Senator. Also does there really need to be a balance? Graham and DeMint were both from upstate.