I more or less agree on this.
Democrats aren't winning Ohio any time soon because its become too rural. Georgia is "there" and NC is going to be soon as they run out of potential extra Republicans. Florida isn't going Democratic anytime soon because the national messaging down there just doesn't work. Republicans are good at talking to Democratic groups by not vice versa. Texas just isn't "there" yet. It's still too undeveloped despite having a plurality of the top 10 cities there. It will be, though. Michigan is probably like NC in that's its close but changing slowly and probably won't even flip for the next GOP president unless they win by a historic margin. Wisconsin looks like it will probably vote for the next GOP president or go red even before then but it looks like Pennsylvania might not.
Minnesota DFL are largely the partisan opposite of Florida Republicans too, they're still very good at talking to otherwise Republican voters.
