Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,275
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« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2021, 12:47:31 PM » |
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St Pete polls have not been very accurate over the past three election cycles to say the least, in 2018 they always had Gillum/Nelson up by decent margins and in 2020 they consistently showed Biden with a lead over Trump, and their district polls were horrible (Mast only up by 8 for example)
As for this particular poll the problem seems to be the partisan composition of the sample, they are using a R+0.6 sample while in 2020 the electorate was 30% Dem vs 38% Rep, I'm not sure why they expect a much more dem friendly electorate than last year but it doesn't make a lot of sense.
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