FL - St. Pete Polls: DeSantis and Fried tied at 45%
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  FL - St. Pete Polls: DeSantis and Fried tied at 45%
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Author Topic: FL - St. Pete Polls: DeSantis and Fried tied at 45%  (Read 2366 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: March 25, 2021, 11:54:54 AM »

March 22-24
1,923 likely voters
MoE: 2.2%

DeSantis (R) 45%
Fried (D) 45%
Undecided 10%

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/414823-florida-governors-race-poll-finds-ron-desantis-nikki-fried-in-dead-heat
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Left Wing
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« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2021, 11:56:31 AM »

Nope, safe R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #2 on: March 25, 2021, 11:56:54 AM »

Ha, French Republican said DeSantis is safe, he is gonna lose
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: March 25, 2021, 11:57:55 AM »


All the Ds including Zaybay in 2018 said DeSantis should be defeated, now, he supposed to be R nominee in 2024, nope, he will lose
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WD
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« Reply #4 on: March 25, 2021, 11:58:36 AM »

Safe R, nothing to see here.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: March 25, 2021, 11:59:35 AM »


Nope Gov Crist
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #6 on: March 25, 2021, 12:02:56 PM »

Florida has consistently demonstrated for the last 20+ years that (aside from elections involving Barack Obama) it’ll always make the wrong choice. I see no reason why this race would be different.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #7 on: March 25, 2021, 12:05:43 PM »
« Edited: March 25, 2021, 10:00:27 PM by Roll Roons »

Yeah, no. I don't believe this for a second. Why do Florida polls tend to be bad even without Trump on the ballot?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: March 25, 2021, 12:07:48 PM »

DESANTIS ONLY BEAT A SOCIALISIC AA IN GILLUM, THAT ISNT A BIG DEAL
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #9 on: March 25, 2021, 12:41:13 PM »


More like Likely R
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #10 on: March 25, 2021, 12:47:31 PM »

St Pete polls have not been very accurate over the past three election cycles to say the least, in 2018 they always had Gillum/Nelson up by decent margins and in 2020 they consistently showed Biden with a lead over Trump, and their district polls were horrible (Mast only up by 8 for example)

As for this particular poll the problem seems to be the partisan composition of the sample, they are using a R+0.6 sample while in 2020 the electorate was 30% Dem vs 38% Rep, I'm not sure why they expect a much more dem friendly electorate than last year but it doesn't make a lot of sense.
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AGA
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« Reply #11 on: March 25, 2021, 12:53:31 PM »

Lol
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: March 25, 2021, 01:00:16 PM »

St Pete polls have not been very accurate over the past three election cycles to say the least, in 2018 they always had Gillum/Nelson up by decent margins and in 2020 they consistently showed Biden with a lead over Trump, and their district polls were horrible (Mast only up by 8 for example)

As for this particular poll the problem seems to be the partisan composition of the sample, they are using a R+0.6 sample while in 2020 the electorate was 30% Dem vs 38% Rep, I'm not sure why they expect a much more dem friendly electorate than last year but it doesn't make a lot of sense.

Gillum is a Socialisic, doesn't compare to CRIST or Graham and he has a scandal
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: March 25, 2021, 01:01:39 PM »

Maybe a result like this could happen in a Trump midterm.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #14 on: March 25, 2021, 02:14:15 PM »

Maybe a result like this could happen in a Trump midterm.

DeSantis would still win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: March 25, 2021, 04:03:17 PM »


No, DeSantis is gonna lose
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: March 25, 2021, 04:04:03 PM »

Maybe a result like this could happen in a Trump midterm.

Xing was bullish on D's chances in FL in 2020 and now he is bearish

Biden is at 54 not 40 Percent TRUMP Midterm jinx will crack next yr
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S019
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« Reply #17 on: March 25, 2021, 04:04:59 PM »

It'll surely be close, and I can absolutely buy this is where the race is right now, but I'd wager it's more like 48-48 honestly, and that last 4% will be crucial, tossup for now.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #18 on: March 25, 2021, 04:07:27 PM »

Are we still going to pretend that polls have meaning? No, this race is Likely R at best for Democrats. DeSantis is very popular.
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #19 on: March 25, 2021, 04:08:12 PM »

That's exactly where this race should be. Completely up in the air.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: March 25, 2021, 04:55:19 PM »

Are we still going to pretend that polls have meaning? No, this race is Likely R at best for Democrats. DeSantis is very popular.

You wish
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: March 25, 2021, 08:11:33 PM »

Maybe a result like this could happen in a Trump midterm.

Xing was bullish on D's chances in FL in 2020 and now he is bearish

Biden is at 54 not 40 Percent TRUMP Midterm jinx will crack next yr

Thank you for your attention, King, but I don’t think FL elections are going to go well for Democrats in 2022.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: March 25, 2021, 08:34:41 PM »

Maybe a result like this could happen in a Trump midterm.

Xing was bullish on D's chances in FL in 2020 and now he is bearish

Biden is at 54 not 40 Percent TRUMP Midterm jinx will crack next yr

Thank you for your attention, King, but I don’t think FL elections are going to go well for Democrats in 2022.


Of course you don't that's why it's called wave insurence
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The Smiling Face On Your TV
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« Reply #23 on: March 25, 2021, 08:46:03 PM »

>Fried up 9 with 50-69 and in a statistical tie with 18-29
>Both candidates getting 15% crossover support
>Fried winning independents by 4
>No weighting by education
>intothetrash.jpg

I've seen this movie before. DeSantis by 7 on election day. The infrastructure advantage the GOP has in Florida is just too much.

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PSOL
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« Reply #24 on: March 25, 2021, 09:37:32 PM »

JUNK IT!!!
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