OH - 314 Action/PPP: Acton leads, Ryan trails

[VAR]

March 18-19
700 registered voters
MoE: 3.7%

Acton (D) 42%
Mandel (R) 41%

Acton (D) 40%
Timken (R) 40%

Acton (D) 40%
Vance (R) 38%

Mandel (R) 42%
Ryan (D) 38%

Timken (R) 41%
Ryan (D) 38%

Vance (R) 39%
Ryan (D) 37%

https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/OhioResults1-GE.pdf

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

“Do you have a favorable/unfavorable opinion of public health officials and scientists”...

[VAR]

Toss up. 47-year-old Cincinnati wine moms admire Amy Acton. She’ll also lock down thirsty WC males in Pike County.

[Left Wing]

I agree with this poll, I think it's definitely possible the Democratic nominee gets 37-42% of the vote in Ohio

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news, D's are gonna win OH, go Acton, next Senator from OH

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I agree with this poll, I think it's definitely possible the Democratic nominee gets 39-42% of the vote in Ohio

Go to pbower2A approvals and it will show that we are well positioned for a wave, But den is at 60 percent Approvals

[SnowLabrador]

Clearly a biased poll, so I wouldn't put much stock in it. This seat is not flipping, no matter what pre-election polling says.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clearly a biased poll, so I wouldn't put much stock in it. This seat is not flipping, no matter what pre-election polling says.

You hold onto that belief we won OH before, and we won it In 2018, Ds chances in OH are great, we won OH with Sherrod Brown we will win it in 2022 too, Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown and hopefully Gov CRIST in 600 days, not tomorrow

[😥]

Acton is probably stronger candidate, but still Likely R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Acton is probably stronger candidate, but still Likely R

Don't Ds realize that if Brown can win, D's can win this seat, Tossup

[MT Treasurer]

Oh no

Anyway

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Oh no

Anyway

We won OH Sen 2018, but you think what you want

[MillennialModerate]

Dems up in some cases? And down just a couple in others?

The polling industry is being read its last rights

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

SEN ACTON

[AGA]

That this is the best PPP can find really shows how much a demographic disaster this state is for Democrats. Safe R.

[Suburbia]

That this is the best PPP can find really shows how much a demographic disaster this state is for Democrats. Safe R.

How did Democrats lose Ohio electorally? I still think Sherrod Brown can hold on in 2024

[AGA]

That this is the best PPP can find really shows how much a demographic disaster this state is for Democrats. Safe R.

How did Democrats lose Ohio electorally? I still think Sherrod Brown can hold on in 2024

Sherrod Brown is the only Democrat who can win Ohio, but he still is the underdog. It's just a matter of demographics. Democratic support has collapsed in the Appalachian and northeastern part of the state. The only positive trends for them are in the Cincinnati and Columbus areas, but it's not enough.

[pbrower2a]

It is usually difficult for the President's Party to win open Senate seats in a midterm election except in super-safe states and districts. Perhaps the most visceral reaction that most Americans (and Ohioans) will have in 2022 will be COVID-19 (the effect will get worse as people start to realize whom they have lost) and of course the sickening events of January 6.

Ohio is not super-safe R, and in most midterm elections I would assume that the Republican has a huge built-in advantage barring a personal scandal or extreme gaffes. That the match-ups are close now may or may not mean anything because it is too damn early. Republicans should generally be up at least 5% in a state that they won in the Presidential election by 8% by now under normal circumstances -- but they aren't.

2022 stands  to be a strange election for a midterm.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That this is the best PPP can find really shows how much a demographic disaster this state is for Democrats. Safe R.

How did Democrats lose Ohio electorally? I still think Sherrod Brown can hold on in 2024

Sherrod Brown is the only Democrat who can win Ohio, but he still is the underdog. It's just a matter of demographics. Democratic support has collapsed in the Appalachian and northeastern part of the state. The only positive trends for them are in the Cincinnati and Columbus areas, but it's not enough.

No he isn't, Acton can win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It is usually difficult for the President's Party to win open Senate seats in a midterm election except in super-safe states and districts. Perhaps the most visceral reaction that most Americans (and Ohioans) will have in 2022 will be COVID-19 (the effect will get worse as people start to realize whom they have lost) and of course the sickening events of January 6.

Ohio is not super-safe R, and in most midterm elections I would assume that the Republican has a huge built-in advantage barring a personal scandal or extreme gaffes. That the match-ups are close now may or may not mean anything because it is too damn early. Republicans should generally be up at least 5% in a state that they won in the Presidential election by 8% by now under normal circumstances -- but they aren't.

2022 stands  to be a strange election for a midterm.

Then why make an approval map which predicts a rosey scenario for D's past the 306 battleground and it's 500 days til the Election. Like TX and IA going D

[morgieb]

That's the best they can do?