The 2030 Census will likely see a Republican President in charge again

[Tender Branson]

Biden or Harris get re-elected in 2024.

Then, voters have a Democratic fatigue in 2028 and elect a GOP president.

Thoughts ?

[beesley]

I assume you're thinking about the citizenship question, given the board this topic is in? Otherwise, I'm not sure what you mean beyond 'the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election will be in office in 2030, which also happens to be when the census takes place'.

[Tender Branson]

I assume you're thinking about the citizenship question, given the board this topic is in? Otherwise, I'm not sure what you mean beyond 'the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election will be in office in 2030, which also happens to be when the census takes place'.

I mean the 2nd and 1st point.

There’s a good chance that a Republican President is in office between 2029 and 2033 and giving the GOP a possibility of a few late design changes on the questionnaire (even though most design options are already approved years earlier).

Adding citizenship could be one of these late design changes, if the Supreme Court rules in favour.

[beesley]

I assume you're thinking about the citizenship question, given the board this topic is in? Otherwise, I'm not sure what you mean beyond 'the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election will be in office in 2030, which also happens to be when the census takes place'.

I mean the 2nd and 1st point.

There’s a good chance that a Republican President is in office between 2029 and 2033 and giving the GOP a possibility of a few late design changes on the questionnaire (even though most design options are already approved years earlier).

Adding citizenship could be one of these late design changes, if the Supreme Court rules in favour.

Ah, got you.

Cynically, I only think late design changes would be introduced if there was a benefit electorally to the party in power, minus a few superficial questions. The citizenship question is most obvious, but I can't think of other questions that could actually affect political apportionment figures since the usual targets for both parties would all be counted regardless.

[jimrtex]

The US Constitution requires the apportionment numbers be adjusted if certain citizens are disenfranchised or have their right to vote abridged.

The Census should ask of all adult citizens whether they were disenfranchised for reasons other than felony or insurrection.