Which state do you think had the highest population growth rate between 2010-2020 ?
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  Which state do you think had the highest population growth rate between 2010-2020 ?
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AZ
 
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FL
 
#3
ID
 
#4
NV
 
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TX
 
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UT
 
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Other
 
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Author Topic: Which state do you think had the highest population growth rate between 2010-2020 ?  (Read 779 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: March 20, 2021, 08:29:43 AM »

Only 1 month until the official 2020 data is out.

What do you say ?

I guess it will be Idaho or Utah.

Voted Idaho.
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Cokeland Saxton
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« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2021, 06:04:39 PM »

Utah probably
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MarkD
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« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2021, 10:29:39 PM »

At first hunch I would have guessed Nevada, because that state has had the most consistency in being the fastest growing state for the last few decades. But I just now checked the Wikipedia pages for several states, at it turns out that Texas has apparently been the fastest growing state so far. It's rate of population growth from 2010 to 2019 (estimated) is 16.763%. The second-fastest growing state appears to be Utah, at a little under 16%. Even Florida has been growing a little bit faster than Nevada. This is, of course, assuming that the Census Bureau's population estimates for 2019 is reasonably accurate.
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Abdullah
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« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2021, 11:17:02 PM »

It's helpful to have the official estimates on hand while attempting these estimates, and according to Wikipedia the top ten fastest-growing states in percentage between 2010 and 2020 are projected by the U.S. Census Bureau to be:

  • Utah: 17.6%
  • Texas: 16.8%
  • Idaho: 16.5%
  • Nevada: 16.2%
  • Arizona: 16.1%
  • Florida: 15.6%
  • Colorado: 15.5%
  • Washington: 14.4%
  • North Dakota: 13.8%
  • South Carolina: 12.8%

These are the July 2020 population estimates, though, and they almost will certainly be off, at least by a little bit. The only question is how far they'll be off.

I voted Idaho because I think its small population could lead to an underestimate and a greater likelihood of the estimates being off. Just a few thousand can make a big difference in a small state such as Idaho.
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2021, 01:48:27 AM »

I voted Idaho because I think its small population could lead to an underestimate and a greater likelihood of the estimates being off. Just a few thousand can make a big difference in a small state such as Idaho.

As did I, for pretty much the same reason.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2021, 04:17:02 AM »

Personally, I think Utah is going to be it. A valid point was raised upthread but it's almost exactly as valid for Utah, which is a small state still, as it is for Idaho, and Utah is clearly quite ahead.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2021, 12:43:02 PM »

CO and WA have outside chances as well, but only if their growth rates are surprisingly much higher than what the intercensal estimates show ...

There is often a big difference between the intercensal estimates and the actual counts for many states.

And WA had a much higher self-response rate last year, compared to 2010 - which might lead to additional people being counted or a more accurate count in the state (but that's just an assumption).
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2021, 12:59:04 PM »

I voted Idaho. I've heard stories of people whose houses nearly doubled in value in two years.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2021, 01:01:38 PM »

I voted Idaho. I've heard stories of people whose houses nearly doubled in value in two years.

I've also read stories that a lot of preppers and Trump voters moved to ID in the past 5 years.
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