KY-Sen 2022: Charles Booker in

[Roll Roons]

Cool story bro.

[Roll Roons]

Safe R -> Likely R just without the McGrath amounts of money contesting the race.

Stop. Unless you're being sarcastic, this race is Safe R, period.

[Roll Roons]

I'm inclined to start this at Likely R. Paul isn't as strong as he appears. He's a lot like Matt Bevin would be if he were a Senator, very weak, and very beatable with the right candidate in the right year. I'm not sure Booker is that candidate, and I'm not sure 2022 is that year.

Likely R, closer to Safe R than Lean R.

You're right that Paul isn't exactly the strongest incumbent.

But otherwise, no. Just no.

[Roll Roons]

Would be glad to see him as a candidate, but he’d have no chance of beating Paul (nor would any Democrat, though.)

What about Steve Beshear?

No. Unless the Kentucky GOP somehow nominates their version of Roy Moore, this race is Safe R. End of story.

Look, nothing is forever in politics. One day, Democrats will win a Kentucky Senate election again. But barring very unusual circumstances, that day will not be in this decade.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/booker4ky/status/1381566852221046787?s=21

He's probably grifting. I doubt he seriously thinks he has a chance against Paul whatsoever. Atleast McGrath had a slim chance at first.

She really didn't.