KY-Sen 2022: Charles Booker in
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Author Topic: KY-Sen 2022: Charles Booker in  (Read 9334 times)
VAR
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« on: March 15, 2021, 10:08:30 AM »
« edited: August 12, 2021, 03:23:59 PM by VARep »

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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2021, 10:09:17 AM »
Cool story bro.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2021, 10:15:10 AM »
Safe R -> Lean D
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2021, 10:35:03 AM »
Safe R -> Likely R just without the McGrath amounts of money contesting the race.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2021, 10:43:03 AM »
Quote from: I'm a John Fetterman (or Malcolm Kenyatta) Democrat on March 15, 2021, 10:35:03 AM
Safe R -> Likely R just without the McGrath amounts of money contesting the race.

Stop. Unless you're being sarcastic, this race is Safe R, period.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2021, 10:45:27 AM »
inb4 he loses by 20 points.
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Left Wing
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« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2021, 10:50:13 AM »
He should just wait until Yarmuth retires
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2021, 10:58:07 AM »
Good, Rand Paul voted against minimium wage and KY is one the states that doesn't have a 15 an HR mandated minimum wwge
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Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2021, 11:08:29 AM »
He should wait until Yarmuth retires, unless the state legislatures decides to gerrymander Yarmuth out.
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Pink Panther
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« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2021, 12:06:33 PM »
Quote from: Oregon Eagle Politics on March 15, 2021, 11:08:29 AM
He should wait until Yarmuth retires, unless the state legislatures decides to gerrymander Yarmuth out.
I don't think that's possible, considering his district could be VRA protected.
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2021, 12:10:51 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on March 15, 2021, 10:43:03 AM
Quote from: I'm a John Fetterman (or Malcolm Kenyatta) Democrat on March 15, 2021, 10:35:03 AM
Safe R -> Likely R just without the McGrath amounts of money contesting the race.

Stop. Unless you're being sarcastic, this race is Safe R, period.

Oh I don't think there's any conceivable scenario in which Rand loses, but I think Booker could do better than McGrath for sure and possibly better than Grimes in '14/Gray in '16 (40-42%) but his ceiling probably no higher than maybe 44% at best.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2021, 12:34:24 PM »
Safe R -> Safe R
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2021, 12:38:21 PM »
Cool guy, zero chance
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2021, 12:38:29 PM »
His margins compared to recent “flippable” Kenf**ky Senate elections:

2016>2014>2022>2020

Safe R. He’ll do better than Gray in Louisville; much worse just about everywhere else
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beesley
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« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2021, 12:40:47 PM »
I mean there's nothing wrong with him running and putting up a fight, in fact that is a good thing, but it is Safe R and he won't change that.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2021, 01:25:06 PM »
Glad to see we will have another meme candidate next year.
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Xing
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« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2021, 01:44:07 PM »
Would be glad to see him as a candidate, but he’d have no chance of beating Paul (nor would any Democrat, though.)
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #17 on: March 15, 2021, 02:10:04 PM »
Quote from: Xing: Tanned, Vaccinated, and Ready on March 15, 2021, 01:44:07 PM
Would be glad to see him as a candidate, but he’d have no chance of beating Paul (nor would any Democrat, though.)

Yeah, I love Booker & I'll gladly support him again, but this is gonna be quite the uphill battle, to say the least.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #18 on: March 15, 2021, 02:26:02 PM »
Having not voted for stimulus, Paul is vulnerable. Booker is strong candidate, running on socialist, secular, pro-stimulus platform like Fetterman who is gonna win Pennsylvania. Booker is Ds wave insurance for 54 D senate. McGrath was female running against McConnell, like Grimes, and lost. Trump is no longer on ballot and Kentucky has popular secular gov. Rs shouldn't take this for granted.

/s
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #19 on: March 15, 2021, 02:26:21 PM »
Yes, please, attack weak incumbent Rand Paul, please, spend money here, it's the only way to hold the senate.
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #20 on: March 15, 2021, 02:52:59 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on March 15, 2021, 02:26:02 PM
Having not voted for stimulus, Paul is vulnerable. Booker is strong candidate, running on socialist, secular, pro-stimulus platform like Fetterman who is gonna win Pennsylvania. Booker is Ds wave insurance for 54 D senate. McGrath was female running against McConnell, like Grimes, and lost. Trump is no longer on ballot and Kentucky has popular secular gov. Rs shouldn't take this for granted.

/s

This is the best OC impression I've seen yet.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #21 on: March 15, 2021, 03:03:07 PM »
Anyway, I hope we're not getting fooled again when the first poll comes out showing a 42-40% Paul lead and think this is anything but Safe Republican.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: March 15, 2021, 04:25:22 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on March 15, 2021, 03:03:07 PM
Anyway, I hope we're not getting fooled again when the first poll comes out showing a 42-40% Paul lead and think this is anything but Safe Republican.

We have 20 mnths it can be a wave
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #23 on: March 15, 2021, 04:28:42 PM »
I'm inclined to start this at Likely R. Paul isn't as strong as he appears. He's a lot like Matt Bevin would be if he were a Senator, very weak, and very beatable with the right candidate in the right year. I'm not sure Booker is that candidate, and I'm not sure 2022 is that year.

Likely R, closer to Safe R than Lean R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: March 15, 2021, 04:34:26 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on March 15, 2021, 04:28:42 PM
I'm inclined to start this at Likely R. Paul isn't as strong as he appears. He's a lot like Matt Bevin would be if he were a Senator, very weak, and very beatable with the right candidate in the right year. I'm not sure Booker is that candidate, and I'm not sure 2022 is that year.

Likely R, closer to Safe R than Lean R.

Keep believing it's not a wave building
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