KY-Sen 2022: Charles Booker in

[LDP Everywhere]

Does Charles Booker win Elliot county in the primary?

And how badly does he lose it to Paul?

[ReallySuper]

Does Charles Booker win Elliot county in the primary?

And how badly does he lose it to Paul?

Booker almost certainly wins Elliott County (and the vast majority of counties) in the primary, since there isn't any real competition. He likewise almost certainly loses it in the general by 20-30 points in what is just another uncompetitive race.

[ElectionsGuy]

For the last 30 years I checked, all statewide Democratic primaries have gotten more votes than Republican primaries. We'll see if that continues tonight...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Charles Booker isn't losing by 20/30 pts McGrath lost by 11/14 pts

[Politician]

Charles Booker isn't losing by 20/30 pts McGrath lost by 11/14 pts

You're such a R hack, GCP is tied 46/46 and Roe vs Wade is going to hurt Republicans

Booker is a progressive, he will win in KY

Let's not forget KY elected BESHEAR in 2019

[Zenobiyl]

Charles Booker isn't losing by 20/30 pts McGrath lost by 11/14 pts

You're such a R hack, GCP is tied 46/46 and Roe vs Wade is going to hurt Republicans

Booker is a progressive, he will win in KY

Let's not forget KY elected BESHEAR in 2019

Lmao

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Charles Booker isn't losing by 20/30 pts McGrath lost by 11/14 pts

You're such a R hack, GCP is tied 46/46 and Roe vs Wade is going to hurt Republicans

Booker is a progressive, he will win in KY

Let's not forget KY elected BESHEAR in 2019

Trump netted seats in the S with 40/54 Approvals in 2018 and 2020 he was at 43/54 APPROVALS when he netted H seats do you see the state by state polls aren't producing an R nut map Golden is winning and he supposed to lose by double digits and Bacon is losing and Gross is down by 5

I supported Booker, Harris and Bernie in the Primary I was never a Biden Hack but a supporter, but he does have low Approvals for the Biden hacks and alot of them are gone like pbower2A


It's a 303 map with wave insurance but I make D Nut maps because Heidi Heikampt won in 2012 and I predicted her to lose

[ElectionsGuy]

Not only did the Republican primary outvote the Democratic primary for the first time (ever?), it wasn't even close, about 57/43. Very similar to what we saw in West Virginia last week.

Compared to 2020

Republicans: 414K --> 385K (-7%)
Democrats: 544K --> 292K (-46%)

The numbers for 2022 will be slightly greater than those above, but the difference is stark, and noteworthy. Kentucky still has a closed primary, so conservatives who are registered Democrats still inflate Democratic numbers in primaries, and you can see it many historically Dem counties.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls are worthless just like Biden Approvals, Barnette did so poorly anything can happen in Nov a blue wave can indeed happen and R users say but the Approvals of Bidens are so low an R nut map is inevitable, NO

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Not only did the Republican primary outvote the Democratic primary for the first time (ever?), it wasn't even close, about 57/43. Very similar to what we saw in West Virginia last week.

Compared to 2020

Republicans: 414K --> 385K (-7%)
Democrats: 544K --> 292K (-46%)

The numbers for 2022 will be slightly greater than those above, but the difference is stark, and noteworthy. Kentucky still has a closed primary, so conservatives who are registered Democrats still inflate Democratic numbers in primaries, and you can see it many historically Dem counties.

Which is also why I'm wary about pointing to crossover voters in exit polls.  

Sure, you have voters who usually align with one party deciding to cross-over.  But there's definitely voters who just haven't bothered to change their registrations (e.g. old-guard Appalachian Democrats).  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one in a 303 map scenario is expecting D's to win red states but if we overperformed in the H and we don't know yet, a blue wave can get going and all we need is 218 and 53 seats to clinch DC Statehood but Beasley is doing well because Cooper has a 55% Approvals and so many D candidates are better than Beasley like Tim Ryan and Crist and if Beasley is overperformed, so can we break open a blue tsunami

You see how reliable the polls are in a primary they can be wrong about the Approvals as well

[VBM]

Polls are worthless just like Biden Approvals, Barnette did so poorly anything can happen in Nov a blue wave can indeed happen and R users say but the Approvals of Bidens are so low an R nut map is inevitable, NO

Congrats on reaching the 2nd highest post count!

[Madame Bronz]

Why did Booker lose 3 counties in the east? Are they full of racists?

[Real Texan Politics]

Safe R no matter how many times resist libs try to convince you otherwise.

[NewYorkExpress]

New Booker ad, and damn is it explosive in it's attacks against Paul.

[Utah Neolib]

New Booker ad, and damn is it explosive in it's attacks against Paul.

Cool ad, this is Kentucky.

[NewYorkExpress]

Is Rand Paul running scared? He chose not to show up to a scheduled debate last night on Kentucky Tonight.

Five weeks from Tuesday, Kentuckians will vote and decide whether to send Senator Rand Paul back to Washington or to replace him with his Democratic challenger, Charles Booker. But voters will likely not get the chance to see the two candidates go head-to-head on the debate stage.

On Monday, KET's Kentucky Tonight hosted what was scheduled to be a debate between Booker and Paul. However, KET says Paul did not respond to their invitation. So, Booker took the stage alone.