New official NPC thread (August polls coming, campaigning open)

[Peanut]

This thread will serve as the new official venue for communication regarding NPC polls and results. The rules and mechanisms with me as GM will be posted on Tuesday or Wednesday, along with polling and proper formatting for this thread - I just wanted to put this up tonight so we have an official one.

The campaigning period for March starts tonight and ends Friday 27th. Best of luck to all parties!

[Peanut]

Quick clarification: do the campaigns done by me and Scott count? If not, we can probably repost them.

Yep, I'll count them. My original intention was to count any campaigning done after my confirmation but before I announced the dates, but only Labor has campaigned since then (plus Ishan's post in the DA thread).

[Peanut]

I would ask that the GM office please provide popularity characterizations ASAP so we can campaign accordingly.

Yes - polling numbers and approvals/popularity will come out tomorrow.

[Peanut]

META: I don't know if this is the right place for this but I feel as though the GM is drawing in real life in making the NPC VA Governor's name a factor in her random event, re: the actual RDS ("monkeying around" is the first thing that comes to mind). However, given the moderate nature of the in-game Federalists, a racial gaffe seems very surprising. Additionally, Governor DeSantis could even be half-black, it was never specified on our part. Of course, she could still be prejudiced but this dramatically reduces the chance that she would hold and/or would say something like that.

I can understand giving us a negative event since we all have to have a turn but I don't understand making it racial given how our party is in-game, etc.

It's too late to retcon it now but since we are the defacto conservative party I doubt any other party would get a racial gaffe. However, since Atlasia is so liberal this 'conservative' party has a conservative wing but is only center-right on the whole. Finally, the way I campaigned for Gov. DeSantis (F-VA) implied that she was between center-right and mainstream conservative. I doubt that she, if she were a person, would say something like this.

Thank you. I'll definitely try to consider this in the future. Events involving state Governors (such as Gov. DeSantis in Virginia or Gov. Campbell in Vermont) are chosen randomly, and I will admit I haven't considered past campaigns. Each Governor's role will be better remembered in the future.

Prejudice can come from any source, Laborite, Fed, DA, anything, however, and while I will be more mindful in the future, I don't think the conclusion you're drawing is quite the correct one. This is not the place for that discussion, just thought I'd point it out.

I have planned positive and negative events for every party, based on both chance and registration numbers, and while the Feds have been the focus of this event in particular, future ones will be far more balanced, I assure you

Thanks for bringing this up, and since from now on I'll be grading campaigns I'll keep track of the style you bring to each state official you campaign for. Best of luck in this campaign!

[Peanut]

As Fed Vice Chair, I'll officially declare that Governor Emily DeSantis is in fact half black.

Understood! I'm sure several black organizations will have something more to add regarding her controversial statements then, hmm?

On a serious note, I clarified things, both here on the forum and elsewhere, so I hope we're able to move forward positively. And while I had a laugh with these last few comments, I thank Cao for asking you all on Discord to please not clutter this thread

[Peanut]

Update: I mentioned on Discord something came up irl that I need to get done, but the update will be posted, at latest, tomorrow (along with the regarly-scheduled COVID update).

[Peanut]

If some Feds are racists and covid deniers then some Laborites must be corrupt union thugs or have links to organised crime and some DAers and Liberals must be misogynistic sex pests or corrupt lobbyists.

Hahahahahahahahaha ohohohohohoho

[Peanut]

So as I said on Discord, my session timed out while posting the beautiful NPC update with writeups for each state and I lost most of it

This is, of course, a very complex post to make (especially since, as we're only ten days out from campaigns ending, I wanted to take into consideration campaigning for today's update, as I mentioned to OBD, I believe.) However, while I expected to post this update first, I also need to get a COVID update done, so my priority right now is that. The NPC one will be worked on as soon as I stop being mad at myself for not using Google Docs, and I really, really apologize for its delay.

Overall, I think parties are being smart in their campaigns so far - some (like the Liberals) have taken what I believe to be risky choices in competing for, say, California, while others (like the Feds) are playing it pretty safe. I don't have any complaints right now, and I know you were all excited for the full update which I will post as soon as possible. Polling will take into consideration February election results, registration numbers, August results, events, plus a component of chance.

Thank you, and again, I am really very sorry for the delay!

[Peanut]

Atlasia Elects: March 2021
The state of play



Puerto Rico, with its Federalist Governor and legislative plurality, not shown on the map. Florida stands for Miami. Shading signifies party strength: from full control of the legislature and executive to split government.

Active events:

• Positive reaction to DA legislative efforts in the South has created a favorable climate in those elections.
• Waning controversy over the statements made by Governor DeSantis of Virginia has hit Fed numbers in the South, but the issue is receding from the forefront.

With less than a week to go before the end of campaigning, and nine days until election day in Atlasia, citizens in many states, from cold Alaska to warm Puerto Rico, prepare to head to the polls to elect their new Governors, Mayors and state legislatures.


The state of the states:

Alaska:

Governor: David Keenainak, with a legislative plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 39% - 54%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  24%
Democratic Alliance  -  23%
Liberal Party  -  20%
Federalist Party  -  9%

Alaska has, quite simply, been rendered ungovernable by a coalition of parties in its legislature that has blocked most of Governor Keenainak's policies. The state voted for Independent candidate Young Texan by a sizeable margin last presidential election, which gives another headache to party leaders as Labor tries to keep control of the state executive mansion, and to increase their numbers in the legislature. Meanwhile, opposition parties try to take advantage of the state's base partisanship and the Governor's unpopularity to deliver the coup de grace to Alaska Labor. It has apparently become a meme in some internet communities to tease the Governor's withdrawal from the race. The reasons for this are unknown.

California:

Governor: Nancy Feinstein, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 57% - 40%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  43%
Democratic Alliance  -  28%
Liberal Party  -  11%
Federalist Party  -  11%

The state government's popularity, and general public approval of the regional government in Denver, and favorable federal results for the Labor Party, have combined to make the California race one with a considerable Labor advantage. Campaigning in the state has been scarce, though, and the front has been very quiet - while the Governor's race may be tough to pull off for other parties, Labor still hasn't sealed the deal for it and particularly the legislative elections.

South Dakota:

Governor: Faith Spotted Eagle, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 69% - 22%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  50%
Liberal Party  -  21%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%
Federalist Party  -  9%

Governor Faith Spotted Eagle, along with a strong Labor majority in the state legislature, have taken full advantage of their state's partisan lean (having cast a huge majority of its votes for the Labor nomiinee in the last presidential election) to draft policy supported both by the people of South Dakota and the regional government in Denver. The opposition's hope in this race, however daunting it seems, is to keep hammering on issues that matter to the state that the parties may feel have gone unadressed both in Denver and in Pierre.


Indiana:

Governor: Peter Donnelly, with a legislative plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 40% - 51%

Polling:
Liberal Party  -  26%
Federalist Party  -  25%
Democratic Alliance  -  21%
Labor Party  -  19%

In the most vulnerable of the 3 Midwestern DA states up for election this month, the Liberals have shot to the top of the polls as Governor Donnelly has not proven particularly adept at governing a state where his party is not the most popular, or where his allies hold just over one third of the seats in both chambers of the legislature. The laser-focused campaign of the Liberal Party has helped them become the probable favorites in the race, but as always, the Hoosier State is headed towards a close race.

Michigan:

Governor: Abdul Elliott, with a legislative plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 50% - 44%

Polling:
Democratic Alliance  -  36%
Federalist Party  -  30%
Labor Party  -  22%
Liberal Party  -  10%

Michigan is an exception among other states as, despite it being a relatively close state, most voters seem to have made up their minds. Governor Elliott is above water in popularity, and the state that gave most of its vote to YT last presidential election and is one of the weak points of Labor registration strength in Lincoln also has the Federalist Party in a close second place. However, there is still a week to go, and the race is volatile: other parties see a chance to grow, and knock their rivals down a peg, in the closely-divided race, where due to high undecideds one party's gains will necessarily translate to another's loss.

Wisconsin:

Governor: Mark Baldwin, with a legislative plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 45% - 45%

Polling:
Democratic Alliance  -  25%
Labor Party  -  20%
Liberal Party  -  20%
Federalist Party  -  20%

Obvious close state is obvious: with what is among the narrowest legislative pluralities in the nation, Governor Baldwin has tried to govern his traditionally competitive state by relying on a broad legislative coalition that has had mixed effects. Despite the DA starting with an advantage, campaigning in the Midwest has been very strong and well-received, and who will govern Wisconsin is still anyone's guess.


Nyman:

Governor: Caroline Spanier, with a legislative plurality.

Administration's popularity: 53% - 45%

Polling:
Federalist Party  -  40%
Labor Party  -  35%
Democratic Alliance  -  14%
Liberal Party  -  8%

Governor Spanier's a popular one, who has weathered recent events and navigated a closely-divided Council to govern Nyman. In a relatively strong region for her party, the campaign still has a ways to go, but the Governor is a popular one.

Oklahoma:

Governor: Federalist, with a legislative plurality.

Administration's popularity: 45% - 45%

Polling:
Federalist Party  -  36%
Labor Party  -  36%
Democratic Alliance  -  20%
Liberal Party  -  4%

The Federalist administration in Oklahoma benefits from strong regional and federal showings, but the basically even split in popularity for the state government opens avenues for other parties to take advantage: mainly, the Labor Party has secured a tie in the polls for the state's elections, but the DA also has room for growth thanks to their current high popularity due to regional events. It remains to be seen whether the DA can keep the good times rolling, Labor can take over a fifth Governorship in the South, or the Federalists can hold on to the government in Oklahoma.

Puerto Rico:

Governor: Teresa Sánchez, with a legislative plurality.

Administration's popularity: 50% - 43%

Polling:
Federalist Party  -  24%
Labor Party  -  20%
Democratic Alliance  -  15%
Liberal Party  -  11%

While Governors Sánchez and LT are popular in Puerto Rico, the (for all intents and purposes) radio silence in the island campaign-wise has resulted in an astounding 30% of undecideds: the lack of campaigning in the state has produced a very hard to gauge situation in the state beyond Governor Sánchez's popularity and base partisanship.

South Carolina:

Governor: James R. Cunningham, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 50% - 46%

Polling:
Democratic Alliance  -  35%
Federalist Party  -  25%
Labor Party  -  23%
Liberal Party  -  15%

The DA's regional popularity, skilled governing, and strong base due to his prior landslide has kept Governor Cunningham up in the polls. However, as other parties grow more aggressive in contesting South Carolina, it's not likely the DA wins due to mere inertia. In such a closely-divided state, the slightest difference in demonstrated effort can (and will) make the election, despite the DA's strong starting point.

Miami:

Mayor: María Díaz

Administration's popularity: 55% - 43%

Polling:
Federalist Party  -  30%
Labor Party  -  28%
Democratic Alliance  -  26%
Liberal Party  -  9%

Mayor Díaz enjoys high popularity and a comfortable national and regional environment, but the DA's reluctance to campaign in the city so far (combined with multiple Federalist events, as well as Spanish-language Labor campaigning) have resulted in both the Feds and Labor overtaking the government party in the polls. Will Mayor Díaz say gracias or adiós? It all comes down to the next few days of campaigning, in a city with high undecideds.

[Peanut]

Right!

So first of all, this takes into account random chance, previous state and federal results, and campaigning done these last few days. I am really looking forward to more spirited campaigning: the South has been most particularly passed over (most egregiously Puerto Rico!), and I think, despite the generally high-quality campaigning on all sides, there definitely is room for improvement.

My plan is to post polling updates these next few days to reflect changes in position and undecideds' movement, where applicable. After results are posted at the end of the month, I'll provide feedback and open a thread for you guys to comment: this is the first round of elections I'm simulating and I'm adding some stuff to Lumine's formula and removing other things, so for now many factors are kind of experimental. I want to ask you before April what you think we can add and remove regarding NPC elections, but for the time being, best of luck in March!

[Peanut]

Another thing: while regular campaigning will end next Saturday, I will allow each party to post one event in the state of their choosing on Sunday, March 28th. A sort of official closing rally, it will be graded and weighed more heavily than a normal event: sort of a way for everyone to tell, without room for error, where each party's priorities lie.

[Peanut]

BTW SC has a DA trifecta. I think that might factor into your favorability ratings since we’d be able to get more done.

Thank you! I'll correct the post to reflect that.

[Peanut]

I wonder that Labor should not have a majority in the Alaska HoC at least, if not the Senate as well? We were only one seat away from the majority before the Green collapse, and Lumine made clear that well over 80% of the Green MPs defected to Labor —it would be extraordinary if none of the Alaska Greens joined Labor after September 2020.

Hmm. That is interesting. I will keep it in mind, maybe not for these numbers, but for the upcoming Citizen's Dispatch update and future rounds. Thank you for bringing it up.

[Peanut]

The alliances above has been seen! I'll try posting new polling to reflect the new status in the race.

[Peanut]

For the future, as much as I'd like to use exclusively Real Time, yes, I'll use Eastern as a guideline as that's the main forum one.

And I have been very lax with upper limits on campaigning this go-around. I've considered several variations on Lumine's limits, but none apply for March. We'll see if April brings changes to that.


Sorry I haven't been online the last two days! Real life constraints have simply not permitted me to be as active as I would have liked. However, me and my spreadsheet are really looking forward to grading campaigns! Updates will trickle in through Twitter and this thread tomorrow and the 30th (with poll closings and turnout reports), and final results will be posted on Wednesday evening, and an open discussion thread regarding the future of our system and what changes you would like to see  for April and beyond will be created on Thursday, so please talk about that within your parties.

[Peanut]

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1376979081582014469?s=19

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1376979084031492102?s=19

[Peanut]

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1377004811036598275?s=19

[Peanut]

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1377102301400195084?s=19

[Peanut]

Right! So I'll try to get results up tonight, but there's a chance they'll be posted tomorrow - a thread for April discussion will definitely be up tomorrow, though.

Additionally, the first update for April will be posted this Sunday, April 4th, and campaigning will be considered open from then until Sunday, April 25th. We'll discuss things like campaigning limits (which tbh weren't an issue this time) later

[Peanut]

March 2021 - Fremont results

Alaska State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		35%		17 MPs / 7 Senators
Liberal Party		35%		15 MPs / 8 Senators
Democratic Alliance		26%		7 MPs / 5 Senators
Federalist Party		4%		1 MP / 0 Senators
Total				40 MPs / 20 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Murkonsky elected

Incoming Legislature:
Liberal Senate plurality, Labor House plurality

Analysis:

The campaigning for Alaska was strong.

Initially, it looked like Governor Keenainak was likely to lose reelection. However, a flurry of very consistent campaigning from high-ranking Labor leaders recovered the party's numbers: with a very green focus and memorable moments (such as the term "cringe" being used in an official party rally to describe opposing policies, or FM Truman's passionate defense of his party's policies in Washington), the Labor campaigning in Alaska far outclassed that made by other parties. This resulted in Governor-elect Murkonsky's victory.

The DA, which had second place in August in the state, started off strong, but surprisingly weakened as the days went on. In the end, they managed to hold on to their 5 Senators, but lost almost half of their House caucus after legislative preferences strongly favored Labor.

The breakout stars of the state election were the Liberals, however, who appealed to rural communities with interesting appeals not made as strongly by other parties (for example, an early focus on transportation). This, as well as the support from former prominent Greens, while far from enough to win the Governor's office (they were comfortably defeated in the final round in that election) did enable them to capture many legislative seats they did not previously hold, and even surprisingly achieve a plurality in the State Senate.

The Federalists, meanwhile, completely collapsed in the state.

California State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		51%		279 MPs / 125 Senators
Liberal Party		26%		130 MPs / 70 Senators
Democratic Alliance		19%		71 MPs /  46 Senators
Federalist Party		4%		20 MPs / 9 Senators
Total				500 MPs / 250 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Feinstein reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate majority

Analysis:

Governor Feinstein's government was never in danger of losing the gubernatorial race after heavy campaigning in the main centers of the state population, and her reelection proved relatively simple. However, some have claimed Labor slept on the legislative elections: while they kept their majority in both chambers, their numbers in the Senate are just one seat above a majority (though admittedly, that was the August result as well), and their House majority, while still very strong, was weakened.

Most of this was because of a very strong Liberal campaign, which interestingly focused on areas Labor didn't visit, and had a laser focus on the "Up!" slogan coined by Poirot.

The other parties had relatively weaker campaigns (similar to Alaska, the Federalists focused in other states - and it cost them dearly in the Golden State), with the DA losing ground to the Liberals despite a campaign of their own: several voters claimed the party didn't do much to connect with Californians in particular, instead banking on their nationwide events and popularity.

Nevertheless, a very proportional seat distribution occurred here.

South Dakota State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		60%		35 MPs / 15 Senators
Liberal Party		20%		9 MPs / 5 Senators
Democratic Alliance		17%		5 MPs / 5 Senators
Federalist Party		3%		1 MP / 0 Senators
Total				50 MPs / 25 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Spotted Eagle reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House supermajority and Senate majority

Analysis:

Really quite self-explanatory.

[Peanut]

March 2021 - Southern results

Miami Mayoral Election:

FPTP System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		42%
Democratic Alliance		40%
Labor Party		16%
Liberal Party		2%

Mayoral result:
Federalist win, Mayor Bernardo Pérez elected

Analysis:

Another close race in Miami after the August photo finish has resulted in a Federalist pickup: in a city with such a high Hispanic population, the DA Mayor was very popular. However, an often disjointed incumbent campaign resulted in a loss for Governor Díaz after Southern politician West_Midlander heavily blanketed the city with many events tailored for the local population: hammering on cultural topics, his Southern appeal was much more widely accepted than a former Lincoln Governor's blockbusting rally with local high-ranking figures. Additionally, the city's FPTP format made it so the alliance between Labor and the DA, which proved decisive in other states like Alaska, resulted futile, denying Mayor Díaz the last few percentage points needed to secure her reelection.

Puerto Rico State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		45%		25 Reps /  16 Senators
Democratic Alliance		39%		20 Reps / 8 Senators
Liberal Party		8%		3 Reps / 3 Senators
Labor Party		8%		3 Reps / 3 Senators
Total				51 Reps / 30 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor Sánchez reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House plurality and Senate majority

Analysis:

The first state so far where the DA-Labor alliance benefits the DA more, as Labor collapses in the legislature but still manages to keep the Federalists below a true trifecta. However, it still wasn't enough to defeat Governor Sánchez, who won by just over 1% in the final round. West_Midlander's strong and constant campaigning with the Governor, where he highlighted issues that mattered to Puerto Ricans and rallied offense against other parties' tactics, as well as tacit Liberal support and strong economically-minded campaigning, proved decisive and gave the Federalists the Senate majority.

Nyman State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		48%		7 Councillors
Labor Party		33%		4 Councillors
Democratic Alliance		14%		2 Councillors
Liberal Party		5%		0 Councillors
Total				13 Councillors

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor Spanier reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist Council majority

Analysis:

A constant back-and-forth between both main parties resulted in Governor Spanier's reelection. While Labor honed in on several important issues, the sheer volume of Federalist campaigning and high popularity of the Governor (an amazing rally with both Governors and high energy was the hallmark of the campaign) was simply too much for Labor's honest appeals on race to overcome. Many people have accused the Federalist campaign for being too based on platitudes, with not many policies to speak of, but the mention of specific policies in the closing days of the election proved a good counterargument to this.

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party/Democratic Alliance		56%
Federalist Party		40%
Liberal Party		4%

Gubernatorial result:
Labor win, Governor Hank Boomhauer elected

Oklahoma Legislative Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		45%		50 Reps /  25 Senators
Labor Party		36%		32 Reps / 18 Senators
Democratic Alliance		15%		14 Reps / 5 Senators
Liberal Party		4%		5 Reps / 0 Senators
Total				101 Reps / 48 Senators

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House plurality and Senate majority

Analysis:

Labor's star-studded campaign and masterful alliance with the DA gave them the Governorship in a silver platter, but the Federalist focus on cultural issues, and frequent mention of their legislative candidates, in particular in the context of their rurality, gave them the legislative win.

South Carolina State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Democratic Alliance		45%		65 Reps / 23 Senators
Federalist Party		31%		31 Reps /  13 Senators
Labor Party		15%		19 Reps / 6 Senators
Liberal Party		9%		9 Reps / 4 Senators
Total				124 Reps / 46 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
DA win, Governor Cunningham reelected

Incoming Legislature:
DA House and Senate majority

Analysis:

Despite a much weaker result than in August, Governor Cunningham's high popularity allowed him to win reelection easily. Lack of recent Liberal and Labor campaigning caused them to backslide (pretty heavily, in Labor's case) but both improved on their past result in the state. An equally-split Senate promises a rockier second term for the Governor, but his mandate is very strong and clear.

[Peanut]

I will note that it was not just RC’s rally, but myself and Southern Speaker tmth as well.

Well, yes - I write the narrative only after seeing the spreadsheet results, but yes, I understand your point. It really was another nail biter - seems Miami tends to do that.

[Peanut]

Well, yes, ofc I would still try to penalize people gaming the system. I hope it doesn't come to that.

[Peanut]

Michigan State Election:

PR Party List House, standard system Senate

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Democratic Alliance		38%		42 Reps /  14 Senators
Federalist Party		30%		33 Reps / 13 Senators
Liberal Party		18%		20 Reps / 6 Senators
Labor Party		14%		15 Reps / 5 Senators
Total				110 Reps / 38 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Democratic Alliance win, Governor Elliott reelected

Incoming Legislature:
DA House and Senate plurality

Analysis:

Well, that was a close one. Despite a popular DA Administration, DA and Labor completely slept on this race: they stopped campaigning almost a week before the election, and it was only regional advantage, pure base partisanship, the DA-Labor agreement, and the Administration's popularity that saved Governor Elliott's reelection. This was a test of strength of government parties that coasted on inertia, against a sleepy opposition and strong Liberal campaigning. This was a missed opportunity on both sides: even slight campaigning in the closing days would've made the DA win strongly and been able to FIX THE DAMN ROADS, and Federalist attention to the state would've resulted in a pickup.

Indiana Gubernatorial Election:

Standard System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Liberal Party		37%
Democratic Alliance/Labor Party		35%
Federalist Party		28%

Gubernatorial result:
Liberal win, Governor Byrne elected

Indiana Legislative Election:

Standard system

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Liberal Party		36%		43 Reps / 22 Senators
Federalist Party		30%		25 Reps / 11 Senators
Democratic Alliance		28%		25 Reps /  12 Senators
Labor Party		6%		7 Reps / 5 Senators
Total				100 Reps / 50 Senators

Incoming Legislature:
Liberal House and Senate plurality

Analysis:

An unpopular outgoing DA administration lost against a high-energy, varied Liberal campaign in the Hoosier State in another win for the party that recently elected a Lincoln Chancellor.

Wisconsin State Election:

Standard system

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		34%		33 Reps / 11 Senators
Democratic Alliance		31%		31 Reps /  11 Senators
Liberal Party		20%		20 Reps / 6 Senators
Labor Party		15%		15 Reps / 5 Senators
Total				99 Reps / 33 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist Party win, Governor Bunsen elected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House plurality, no Senate majority

Analysis:

Another very, very close race (the final round being won by the Federalist nominee with a bit under 51% of the vote), the Federalist campaign proved varied: from strong philosophical musings on the nature of regionalism to appeals on education, grants, and infrastructure, the strength of Fed campaigning (joined by the strong showing of Liberal officials who argued for their voters to second pref Feds) proved enough to win the Governor's chair in Madison.

In the legislative races, however, the heavily divided nature of the election showed itself more strongly: aided by residual Labor strength from their early campaigning in the state (even if they lost groung later on), a Senate plurality for the Federalists was prevented.

[Peanut]

And that makes the March NPC season!

Now, let me comment on each party's performance individually:

Labor was very, very disciplined and focused - sometimes to a fault: their radio silence in Lincoln might have cost their allies certain key Governorships, especially shocking given their very strong start in Wisconsin in particular (which can be seen in the results, as the state was their best in the region). I really liked Scott's emphasis in particular on a brand of cultural rhetoric not commonly seen in Labor - no question it won the party Oklahoma.

It's good that you guys focus on the actions of your officeholders in Nyman and the regional governments, and that does hold certain weight in my final calculations.

As for your deal with the DA, it worked out really well for you because you didn't sit on your laurels even when it seemed like a done deal: Oklahoma and Alaska saw a ton of visits in the closing stretch, and the rhetoric used in those states was very well-tailored (even if a bit inconsistent at times - Kaiser's dig at the Philly Plan probably was not very interesting for a Fremont audience, but the rest of his campaigning to turn Oklahoma/Alaska red were very effective).

Federalists, you guys were probably the best campaigners this cycle, and I think you won it (even after losing the OK Governor election). A very important point, however:  we cannot overstate how important WM was for that. On Lokcord I mentioned that WM was probably the Fed Scott: the back and forth between them on cultural issues in particular, especially in Oklahoma and Nyman, as well as their isotropic campaigning in Miami, was fascinating to watch.

You ran your campaigns almost perfectly, but the issue here is what you didn't do. I was very surprised that you didn't go for a state YT won (by a lot!), where you were within striking distance in the first polling update in Alaska, and even more surprised when I ran the final numbers and saw you guys were very very close to flipping Michigan (in fact, the first version of the post had you guys as the winners - error on my part!)

Cao's long speeches, while taking a while to get used to, also work really well for what he's going for, which I appreciate. I think you guys are the party which has the clearest roles for their campaigners, and the most focus on legislative races, and it worked beautifully in many states.

DA, I expected better out of your results tbh - before I graded, I was expecting another Midwest sweep. I was pretty sad that you guys lost Miami after putting so much energy there, and that you lost two of your Rust Belt governorships even when bringing a lot of star power. However, I think you made a crucial mistake Labor managed to avoid: an alliance is not a freebie. I hope to see more alliances in the coming months, but I also want to see you guys actively campaigning as your own party, on your own issues, and in your own time. I loved the strong COVID focus which gave your rallies a distinct flair other parties lacked, but it sometimes seemed rather... inert. I look forward to seeing the role you give your party looking towards April: will you embrace your role as kingmakers, or work from outside? Defending less Governorships, will you focus on specific policies or run a more reactive campaign? You have a lot of potential, and I'd love to see you use it.

Liberals, I always love seeing Poirot's campaigning. Idk why, but they always put a smile on my face. You picked up a governorship this cycle and improved your legislative numbers, but you're still a pretty small party - not really much to say here one way or the other. You're the party that rocks the boat the least, and I respect that. Really looking forward to your April banners and slogans!

And that would be all for now folks Hope you enjoyed the March 2021 NPC elections!