New official NPC thread (August polls coming, campaigning open)

[West_Midlander]

Whatever your opponents say is lies

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Whatever your opponents say is lies

It's nothing personal. Competing populist campaigns is a fun dynamic.

[OBD]

Clarification: is campaigning now closed?

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Clarification: is campaigning now closed?

I think it closes tonight, with one big event on sunday allowed.

Another thing: while regular campaigning will end next Saturday, I will allow each party to post one event in the state of their choosing on Sunday, March 28th. A sort of official closing rally, it will be graded and weighed more heavily than a normal event: sort of a way for everyone to tell, without room for error, where each party's priorities lie.

[RC (a la Frémont)]

The Labor-DA alliance for March I guess (not April), in number 2 preferencing arrangement, I would like to understand if it's for all states in this cycle that the two parties second preference each other.

Error on my behalf, in the preferencing deal it says March. In all aspects that matter except the description of the agreement it's in regards to March and applied as such. The preference agreement applies to all states in this cycle.

[OBD]

Couple questions:

1) are all the days being counted in Eastern Time?

2) are campaign limits still being enforced? And how are multiple campaigns that fit into one post counted?

[Joseph Cao]

By the way, Mr. GM, just for the record – that event which was posted five seconds after the deadline was previously posted in my office thread, as all of my events have been.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Mr. GM, the Labor mega-rally in Oklahoma City is our final act on the campaign trail and should be treated as a single event.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Mr. GM, the Labor DA mega-rally in Oklahoma City Miami is our final act on the campaign trail and should be treated as a single event.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Are the parties not allowed only one event before Election Day, even if that one event includes multiple speeches from different people? Cao has posted several different events well past the deadline.

[Joseph Cao]

Are the parties not allowed only one event before Election Day, even if that one event includes multiple speeches from different people? Cao has posted several different events well past the deadline.

Peanut has not given any indication that he has changed Lumine's policy on that. As far as I am aware, Lumine has allowed events posted before midnight EST regardless of whether daylight savings was in operation.

[Joseph Cao]

Anyway…

Mr. GM, the Labor DA Federalist mega-rally in Oklahoma City Miami Nyman is our final act on the campaign trail and should be treated as a single event.

[OBD]

Are the parties not allowed only one event before Election Day, even if that one event includes multiple speeches from different people? Cao has posted several different events well past the deadline.

Peanut has not given any indication that he has changed Lumine's policy on that. As far as I am aware, Lumine has allowed events posted before midnight EST regardless of whether daylight savings was in operation.

Hopefully the GM can provide confirmation on this. Frankly as everyone is using daylight savings at this time it feels like these events were late to me, but up to Peanut I guess.

[Peanut]

For the future, as much as I'd like to use exclusively Real Time, yes, I'll use Eastern as a guideline as that's the main forum one.

And I have been very lax with upper limits on campaigning this go-around. I've considered several variations on Lumine's limits, but none apply for March. We'll see if April brings changes to that.


Sorry I haven't been online the last two days! Real life constraints have simply not permitted me to be as active as I would have liked. However, me and my spreadsheet are really looking forward to grading campaigns! Updates will trickle in through Twitter and this thread tomorrow and the 30th (with poll closings and turnout reports), and final results will be posted on Wednesday evening, and an open discussion thread regarding the future of our system and what changes you would like to see  for April and beyond will be created on Thursday, so please talk about that within your parties.

[Peanut]

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1376979081582014469?s=19

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1376979084031492102?s=19

[Peanut]

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1377004811036598275?s=19

[Peanut]

https://twitter.com/atlasiagm/status/1377102301400195084?s=19

[Peanut]

Right! So I'll try to get results up tonight, but there's a chance they'll be posted tomorrow - a thread for April discussion will definitely be up tomorrow, though.

Additionally, the first update for April will be posted this Sunday, April 4th, and campaigning will be considered open from then until Sunday, April 25th. We'll discuss things like campaigning limits (which tbh weren't an issue this time) later

[Peanut]

March 2021 - Fremont results

Alaska State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		35%		17 MPs / 7 Senators
Liberal Party		35%		15 MPs / 8 Senators
Democratic Alliance		26%		7 MPs / 5 Senators
Federalist Party		4%		1 MP / 0 Senators
Total				40 MPs / 20 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Murkonsky elected

Incoming Legislature:
Liberal Senate plurality, Labor House plurality

Analysis:

The campaigning for Alaska was strong.

Initially, it looked like Governor Keenainak was likely to lose reelection. However, a flurry of very consistent campaigning from high-ranking Labor leaders recovered the party's numbers: with a very green focus and memorable moments (such as the term "cringe" being used in an official party rally to describe opposing policies, or FM Truman's passionate defense of his party's policies in Washington), the Labor campaigning in Alaska far outclassed that made by other parties. This resulted in Governor-elect Murkonsky's victory.

The DA, which had second place in August in the state, started off strong, but surprisingly weakened as the days went on. In the end, they managed to hold on to their 5 Senators, but lost almost half of their House caucus after legislative preferences strongly favored Labor.

The breakout stars of the state election were the Liberals, however, who appealed to rural communities with interesting appeals not made as strongly by other parties (for example, an early focus on transportation). This, as well as the support from former prominent Greens, while far from enough to win the Governor's office (they were comfortably defeated in the final round in that election) did enable them to capture many legislative seats they did not previously hold, and even surprisingly achieve a plurality in the State Senate.

The Federalists, meanwhile, completely collapsed in the state.

California State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		51%		279 MPs / 125 Senators
Liberal Party		26%		130 MPs / 70 Senators
Democratic Alliance		19%		71 MPs /  46 Senators
Federalist Party		4%		20 MPs / 9 Senators
Total				500 MPs / 250 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Feinstein reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate majority

Analysis:

Governor Feinstein's government was never in danger of losing the gubernatorial race after heavy campaigning in the main centers of the state population, and her reelection proved relatively simple. However, some have claimed Labor slept on the legislative elections: while they kept their majority in both chambers, their numbers in the Senate are just one seat above a majority (though admittedly, that was the August result as well), and their House majority, while still very strong, was weakened.

Most of this was because of a very strong Liberal campaign, which interestingly focused on areas Labor didn't visit, and had a laser focus on the "Up!" slogan coined by Poirot.

The other parties had relatively weaker campaigns (similar to Alaska, the Federalists focused in other states - and it cost them dearly in the Golden State), with the DA losing ground to the Liberals despite a campaign of their own: several voters claimed the party didn't do much to connect with Californians in particular, instead banking on their nationwide events and popularity.

Nevertheless, a very proportional seat distribution occurred here.

South Dakota State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		60%		35 MPs / 15 Senators
Liberal Party		20%		9 MPs / 5 Senators
Democratic Alliance		17%		5 MPs / 5 Senators
Federalist Party		3%		1 MP / 0 Senators
Total				50 MPs / 25 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Spotted Eagle reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House supermajority and Senate majority

Analysis:

Really quite self-explanatory.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Holy crap. RIP Alaska Feds, but Labor is in for a shellacking in other states.

[Peanut]

March 2021 - Southern results

Miami Mayoral Election:

FPTP System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		42%
Democratic Alliance		40%
Labor Party		16%
Liberal Party		2%

Mayoral result:
Federalist win, Mayor Bernardo Pérez elected

Analysis:

Another close race in Miami after the August photo finish has resulted in a Federalist pickup: in a city with such a high Hispanic population, the DA Mayor was very popular. However, an often disjointed incumbent campaign resulted in a loss for Governor Díaz after Southern politician West_Midlander heavily blanketed the city with many events tailored for the local population: hammering on cultural topics, his Southern appeal was much more widely accepted than a former Lincoln Governor's blockbusting rally with local high-ranking figures. Additionally, the city's FPTP format made it so the alliance between Labor and the DA, which proved decisive in other states like Alaska, resulted futile, denying Mayor Díaz the last few percentage points needed to secure her reelection.

Puerto Rico State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		45%		25 Reps /  16 Senators
Democratic Alliance		39%		20 Reps / 8 Senators
Liberal Party		8%		3 Reps / 3 Senators
Labor Party		8%		3 Reps / 3 Senators
Total				51 Reps / 30 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor Sánchez reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House plurality and Senate majority

Analysis:

The first state so far where the DA-Labor alliance benefits the DA more, as Labor collapses in the legislature but still manages to keep the Federalists below a true trifecta. However, it still wasn't enough to defeat Governor Sánchez, who won by just over 1% in the final round. West_Midlander's strong and constant campaigning with the Governor, where he highlighted issues that mattered to Puerto Ricans and rallied offense against other parties' tactics, as well as tacit Liberal support and strong economically-minded campaigning, proved decisive and gave the Federalists the Senate majority.

Nyman State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		48%		7 Councillors
Labor Party		33%		4 Councillors
Democratic Alliance		14%		2 Councillors
Liberal Party		5%		0 Councillors
Total				13 Councillors

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor Spanier reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist Council majority

Analysis:

A constant back-and-forth between both main parties resulted in Governor Spanier's reelection. While Labor honed in on several important issues, the sheer volume of Federalist campaigning and high popularity of the Governor (an amazing rally with both Governors and high energy was the hallmark of the campaign) was simply too much for Labor's honest appeals on race to overcome. Many people have accused the Federalist campaign for being too based on platitudes, with not many policies to speak of, but the mention of specific policies in the closing days of the election proved a good counterargument to this.

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party/Democratic Alliance		56%
Federalist Party		40%
Liberal Party		4%

Gubernatorial result:
Labor win, Governor Hank Boomhauer elected

Oklahoma Legislative Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		45%		50 Reps /  25 Senators
Labor Party		36%		32 Reps / 18 Senators
Democratic Alliance		15%		14 Reps / 5 Senators
Liberal Party		4%		5 Reps / 0 Senators
Total				101 Reps / 48 Senators

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House plurality and Senate majority

Analysis:

Labor's star-studded campaign and masterful alliance with the DA gave them the Governorship in a silver platter, but the Federalist focus on cultural issues, and frequent mention of their legislative candidates, in particular in the context of their rurality, gave them the legislative win.

South Carolina State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Democratic Alliance		45%		65 Reps / 23 Senators
Federalist Party		31%		31 Reps /  13 Senators
Labor Party		15%		19 Reps / 6 Senators
Liberal Party		9%		9 Reps / 4 Senators
Total				124 Reps / 46 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
DA win, Governor Cunningham reelected

Incoming Legislature:
DA House and Senate majority

Analysis:

Despite a much weaker result than in August, Governor Cunningham's high popularity allowed him to win reelection easily. Lack of recent Liberal and Labor campaigning caused them to backslide (pretty heavily, in Labor's case) but both improved on their past result in the state. An equally-split Senate promises a rockier second term for the Governor, but his mandate is very strong and clear.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I will note that it was not just RC’s rally, but myself and Southern Speaker tmth as well.

[Mike Thick]

Popping in to congratulate Peanut on a very successful cycle! Was initially pretty pessimistic about these continuing after Lumine retired -- so cool that he's made it happen.

[Peanut]

I will note that it was not just RC’s rally, but myself and Southern Speaker tmth as well.

Well, yes - I write the narrative only after seeing the spreadsheet results, but yes, I understand your point. It really was another nail biter - seems Miami tends to do that.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

WE SELL LABOR AND LABOR ACCESSORIES