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Peanut
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« Reply #250 on: June 05, 2021, 01:46:37 AM »
« edited: June 05, 2021, 10:43:23 PM by GM Peanut »

May 2021 - National results

Utah State Election:
Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Labor Party49%42 MPs / 20 Senators
Democratic Alliance48%34 MPs / 19 Senators
Federalist Party2%3 MPs / 1 Senators
Liberal Party1%1 MP / 0 Senators
Total80 MPs / 40 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Young elected, defeats DA 50-50 in final round

Incoming Legislature:
Labor majority in both chambers



Wyoming State Election:
Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Labor Party69%28 MPs / 15 Senators
Democratic Alliance23%10 MPs /  5 Senators
Liberal Party4%1 MP / 0 Senators
Federalist Party4%1 MP / 0 Senators
Total40 MPs / 20 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Thomas reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor supermajority




Montana State Election:
Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Labor Party57%30 MPs / 15 Senators
Democratic Alliance31%14 MPs / 7 Senators
Federalist Party6%3 MP / 1 Senators
Liberal Party6%3 MPs / 2 Senators
Total50 MPs / 25 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Fudrucker reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate majority



Guam State Election:
Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Liberal Party53%8 MPs / 4 Senators
Democratic Alliance45%5 MPs / 2 Senators
Federalist Party2%2 MPs / 1 Senators
Total14 MPs / 7 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Liberal Party win, Governor Aguon reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate majority



San Francisco Mayoral Election:
RCV System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Labor Party52%
Democratic Alliance45%
Federalist Party3%

Mayoral result:
Labor win, Mayor Chu reelected





Texas State Election:
Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Labor Party49%80 Representatives / 15 Senators
Democratic Alliance37%64 Representatives / 10 Senators
Federalist Party13%6 Representatives / 5 Senators
Liberal Party1%0 Representatives / 1 Senator
Total150 Representatives / 31 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Bryant reelected in the second round

Incoming Legislature:
Labor majority in the House, plurality in the Senate



Missouri State Election:
Standard South System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Liberal Party38%65 Representatives / 14 Senators
Democratic Alliance35%59 Representatives / 12 Senators
Federalist Party22%31 Representatives / 7 Senators
Labor Party5%8 Representatives / 1 Senators
Total163 Representatives / 34 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Democratic Alliance win, Governor Branson elected 52-48 in the final round

Incoming Legislature:
Liberal plurality in both chambers



Kentucky State Election:
Standard South System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Federalist Party42%42 Representatives / 13 Senators
Democratic Alliance40%40 Representatives / 17 Senators
Labor Party15%15 Representatives / 6 Senators
Liberal Party3%3 Representatives / 2 Senators
Total100 Representatives / 38 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Democratic Alliance win, Governor Cunningham elected 55-45 in the final round

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist plurality in the House, DA plurality in the Senate




Vermont State Election:
Standard Lincoln System

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Labor Party55%79 Representatives / 17 Senators
Federalist Party20%31 Representatives / 8 Senators
Liberal Party15%25 Representatives / 5 Senators
Democratic Alliance10%15 Representatives / 1 Senator
Total150 Representatives / 30 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Ashe elected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor majority in both chambers
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Peanut
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« Reply #251 on: June 05, 2021, 02:03:55 AM »

Rule changes for June:

  • We're bringing back campaign limits. No party may post more than 50 events in any region. Any post under 600 words, even if it contains multiple bite-sized rallies, is treated and graded as if it were a single event, so one DA post is treated and graded as harshly as one Labor rally. This is to remain consistent and fair with each party's campaigning style, but I am open to changes if you so wish. Ads and creative designs have no limit, but after the tenth for any region, their returns will start to diminish considerably.
  • Anti-incumbency backlash will be counted in initial polling, along with the starting RNG.
  • Realism will be rewarded. It's not really easy for you to travel from Pennsylvania to California and do two rallies in both states in the same day. While it's allowed, consistency, focus, and realism will be rewarded.
  • Verifiably-false statements will be treated as gaffes and knock off points, i.e, you cannot promise to cut taxes that don't exist in-game.
  • For clarification, the home state bonus is 2.5 times stronger than the home region bonus.
  • No matter the amount of events, the main factor is their quality. One great event will help your party more than 10 mediocre ones.
  • Any further suggestions and/or comments, I'll be happy to hear.



June calendar:

  • June 5: Initial polling posted.
  • June 6: Campaigning opens
  • June 11: First round of events
  • June 16: Second polling update
  • June 18: Additional events, depending on activity
  • June 23: Third polling update, depending on activity
  • June 23: Pennsylvania first round
  • June 27: Campaigning closes
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Peanut
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« Reply #252 on: June 05, 2021, 02:39:28 AM »
« Edited: June 07, 2021, 01:33:32 AM by GM Peanut »

Atlasia Elects: June 2021
The state of play



The Northern Marianas, with their Labor trifecta, not shown on the map. Illinois stands for the Chicago Mayor.


Active events:
None so far

June. We're almost done with the second round of NPC elections, as Summer begins soon. Across the nation, tidings of change are appearing, as Atlasia prepares to elect its next President and first Senate under the Fifth Constitution.


The state of the states:

New Mexico:

Governor: Luis Santos, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 60% - 31%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  47%
Liberal Party  -  15%
Federalist Party  -  15%
Democratic Alliance  -  15%

Governor Santos is very, very popular in his state, where his economic policies have tracked closely with First Minister Truman's in Denver. Especially important to his popularity, according to voters, are his efforts to implement efficient, clear, easy-to-understand communication between the state government and the people on topics ranging from the safety of COVID-19 vaccinations (indeed, NM ranks third in the nation in shots given) to the provisions of the Fifth Constitution, through clear and simple state government web services and weekly livestreams called Say, Luis where NM residents can contact him and members of his administration.

Nebraska:

Governor: Bob Nelson, with a trifecta

Administration's popularity: 54% - 38%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  31%
Federalist Party  -  14%
Liberal Party  -  13%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%

Nebraska hasn't been prominent in most people's radars, but the story here has been interesting. Gov. Nelson startd his term in November as a standard Labor politician, supporting common center-left policies. However, after seeing his party lost the February presidential election in his state, something changed inside Bob. He veered right, criticizing prominent figures in his party (such as former VP Scott and FM Truman), claiming the Labor Party cannot survive by moving left, and supported deregulatory and conservative policies wherever possible, backtracking on and loudly opposing several progressive policies. The legislature has followed suit, and indeed, the House is ruled by an alliance of 19 Labor, 4 Liberal, and 6 Federalist Representatives who elected a Federalist Speaker. So, many analysts have one big question: what will FT Labor do? Will they somehow try to reason with Gov. Nelson and their legislative caucus? Will prominent figures swallow their pride and campaign for their reelection, or will they be cut loose? What tone will the opposition take?

Hawaii:

Governor: Governor Colleen Abercrombie, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 48% - 48%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  33%
Liberal Party  -  24%
Federalist Party  -  20%
Democratic Alliance  -  17%


Governor Abercrombie has been noncontroversial... for most of her tenure. However, a breakaway faction of Labor Senators (Laura Baker, Les Inouye, Bennette Lee, Sue Nishihara, and Brian Glenn) has allied with legislators from other island states, such as the Northern Marianas to claim their states are being occupied by Atlasia and Fremont. While, currently, this has only taken the form of an open letter to the First Minister expressing their intention to return to complete self-rule, and none of the other 29 Labor Senators or any member of the Executive has commented on this, it is unknown if any more events will take place.

Northern Marianas:

Governor: Hirao Neimi, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 59% - 30%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  40%
Liberal Party -  20%
Federalist Party  -  14%
Democratic Alliance  -  9%

The Northern Marianas are excited to vote. Most of the people we interviewed are very happy with Gov. Hirao's tenure, as she has succeeded in implementing many policies that have significantly improved the quality of life on the islands. 2 of the five Labor MPs (including the Speaker, Joel Villagomes) have expressed sympathy with some of Hawaiian Labor's autonomous sympathies, which has made the implementation of the Governor's policies more difficult, but she's been doing her best and the Northern Marianas have noticed.
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Peanut
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« Reply #253 on: June 05, 2021, 03:08:52 AM »



Louisiana:

Governor: JB Boisseau, with a plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 32% - 57%

Polling:

Federalist Party  -  38%
Labor Party (inc.)  - 29%
Democratic Alliance  -  24%
Liberal Party  - 4%

The Pelican State Governor is deeply unpopular, as he's bled support everywhere in his original coalition. Neither rural Louisiana nor New Orleans like his perceived lack of interest in their affairs, and he's being punished hard for this. He has supported two main policies: a conservation effort by investing in areas with national parks (slammed by the Federalist Minority Leaders as Boisseau caring more for birds and alligators than the people of Louisiana), mostly by executive action which has been very effective, and a deeply-unpopular tax hike to cover some services the Southern Government doesn't cover. His perceived indifference to the people of Louisiana was exacerbated after a disastrous interview where he said "I wish I lived in Fremont instead of Louisiana, you know, they have common sense there at least... though come to think of it, I do like the food here".

Florida:

Governor: Fidel Chávez, with a plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 52% - 46%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  34%
Federalist Party  -  29%
Democratic Alliance  -  26%
Liberal Party  -  7%

Governor Chávez has been a success story where his Louisiana counterpart has failed. While the state is close, he's very personally popular (while his job approval is only 52-46, voters approve of him as a person 78-19). Will his smile and TV-ready appearance save his job, or will his state's partisanship (and what seems to be a general anti-Labor tide in the South) sink him? Speaking of sinking, his approval numbers are buoyed by his campaign Florida Doesn't Sink, a multi-level political campaign to help Floridians: first, by floating through the pandemic (which he has achieved with great success!) and then, by fighting climate change.

Delaware:

Governor: Monika Rutherford, with a Federalist plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 59% - 31%

Polling:

Labor Party/Peace (inc.)  -  48%
Democratic Alliance  -  32%
Federalist Party  -  12%
Liberal Party  -  4%

Gov. Rutherford is very, very popular. Her administration has not had any scandals. Her policies have been implemented successfully (and indeed, she has been able to portray the Federalist minority as obstructionists, governing with a Labor majority since Peace members began caucusing with Labor). She is very personally beloved by corporations and people alike (it is Delaware, after all). Really nothing wrong here, which is welcome news for Labor in what is shaping up to be a tough season.
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« Reply #254 on: June 05, 2021, 03:51:00 AM »

I made a few comments on Labcord (I think you miscalculated a few of these, and Vermont shouldn't get 150 House seats), but this is one thing I want to get out of the way before campaigning starts: do states in Lincoln have triple taxation? Clearly the Southern government never absorbed funding for state services, so the states are forced to fund themselves while people pay local + state + regional + federal taxes. Fremont eliminated state and local taxation and the only people who pay any taxes to Denver are the very wealthy. What is Lincoln's policy?
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Continential
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« Reply #255 on: June 05, 2021, 08:47:11 AM »

Vermont has 150 State Representatives IRL.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #256 on: June 05, 2021, 09:33:36 AM »

Vermont has 150 State Representatives IRL.

Huh. Nevermind then.
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« Reply #257 on: June 05, 2021, 11:40:05 AM »

Also, what do national ads and campaigns count for as far as events?
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« Reply #258 on: June 05, 2021, 02:19:49 PM »

So any post with over 600 words, even if it was say, 650, with 3 events, would be treated as 3 events?
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Peanut
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« Reply #259 on: June 05, 2021, 11:17:10 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2021, 11:21:58 PM by GM Peanut »

Maine:

Governor: Pierre Barrett, with a Labor plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 67% - 21%

Parties by average score (1-10):

Liberal Party (inc.) - 9
Labor Party  - 6
Federalist Party  -  6
Democratic Alliance  -  4

Governor Barrett has governed very efficiently, even as he's outnumbered in the State House and Senate almost 2:1. Indeed, he has pioneered the model of Lab-Lib cooperation which seems to be taking hold elsewhere in the nation. He has touted Maine's job growth (stunning in comparison to other states) and his excellent cooperation with the regional government, no matter party control. Maine is very happy with his performance.

Note: Maine uses score voting.


Pennsylvania:

Governor: Joanna "Allentown Jo" Bakersfield, with a plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 52% - 45%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  36%
Federalist Party  -  33%
Democratic Alliance  -  15%
Liberal Party  -  10%

Governor Jo is very, very popular for such a heavily polarized state. She enjoys a comfortable legislative majority from a coalition with Peace and the Liberals; however, this has cratered the Lib numbers in the state as their supporters believe they've sold out to Labor for one or two committee spots. She has responded to Federalist concerns about the deficit by implementing the rather famous once-federally proposed  "cis tax", proceeds from which have gone towards services for the LGBT community in her state. This measure is widely popular. However, PA is a very polarized state, and it's unknown just how far her popularity can take her if the opposition plays their cards right.

Note: Pennsylvania uses a standard two-round system.



Chicago:

Mayor: Hernández

Administration's popularity: 47% - 44%

Parties by popularity:

Federalist: 47% - 47%
Labor: 42% - 39%
Democratic Alliance: 42% - 45%
Liberal: 32% - 37%

Mayor H, as they're known in Chicago, is a mysterious but polarizing figure. Nobody has ever really seen them since being elected Mayor. All Chicago citizens know is that they're strongly Federalist, which many support and many oppose. The Windy City is emerging from the pandemic with police reform and strong housing efforts, but also with lower taxes for the city's highest earners, a sign of H's confusing priorities. Many in the city have taken to questioning both the existence and the extent of the corruption of H.

Note: Chicago uses approval voting.
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Peanut
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« Reply #260 on: June 05, 2021, 11:18:23 PM »

Also, what do national ads and campaigns count for as far as events?

No limits, but diminishing returns after a certain number.

So any post with over 600 words, even if it was say, 650, with 3 events, would be treated as 3 events?

Under these rules, yes. As it's mostly your party this is going to affect, you're welcome to suggest any changes.
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« Reply #261 on: June 06, 2021, 12:53:54 PM »

One more note, FTR: all funding for local services in Frémont is provided by the regional government, so Governor Nelson could not have slashed any services not already provided by Denver. I didn't realize the GM had posted this error until looking over this thread again, but the DA did attack Governor Nelson for this. So I don't want anything treated as a gaffe, but I would appreciate clarification from the GM.
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Continential
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« Reply #262 on: June 06, 2021, 02:24:14 PM »

Quote
NPC Elections Deal
1. The Liberal Party endorses Labor in Florida, Pennsylvania
2. In Nebraska, Governor Bob Nelson's Lt. Governor will be Liberal State Senator John Hughes.
3. The Liberal Party of Hawaii/NMI will endorse the Labor candidates for Governor for second preference.
4. The Labor Party endorses the Liberal candidate for Governor in Louisiana, Helena Peterson for second preference.
5.. Labor endorses Governor Pierre Barrett in Maine and Liberal Mayoral candidate Bill Clarke in Chicago.
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OBD
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« Reply #263 on: June 06, 2021, 02:27:09 PM »

Quote
NPC Elections Deal
1. The Liberal Party endorses Labor in Florida, Pennsylvania
2. In Nebraska, Governor Bob Nelson's Lt. Governor will be Liberal State Senator John Hughes.
3. The Liberal Party of Hawaii/NMI will endorse the Labor candidates for Governor for second preference.
4. The Labor Party endorses the Liberal candidate for Governor in Louisiana, Helena Peterson for second preference.
5.. Labor endorses Governor Pierre Barrett in Maine and Liberal Mayoral candidate Bill Clarke in Chicago.

x OBD, Chair of the Labor Party (and overall cool cucumber)
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Peanut
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« Reply #264 on: June 07, 2021, 01:33:54 AM »

Nebraska quirk corrected, Lab-Lib deal seen.
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« Reply #265 on: June 10, 2021, 03:12:08 PM »

would a joint rally be considered 2 events or 1?
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Continential
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« Reply #266 on: June 13, 2021, 10:33:25 PM »

How will recalls work since this act passed in Lincoln?
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #267 on: June 13, 2021, 11:24:26 PM »


June calendar:

  • June 5: Initial polling posted.
  • June 6: Campaigning opens
  • June 11: First round of events
[/b]
  • June 16: Second polling update
  • June 18: Additional events, depending on activity
  • June 23: Third polling update, depending on activity
  • June 23: Pennsylvania first round
  • June 27: Campaigning closes

We're a bit overdue here.
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Peanut
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« Reply #268 on: June 18, 2021, 11:51:16 PM »

Hi folks - I know I'm a week behind on the calendar. I'll catch up tomorrow with events and a polling update reflecting both the events and campaigning so far. Sorry for the delay, and best of luck to all candidates this weekend!
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« Reply #269 on: June 20, 2021, 09:28:43 PM »

if DA is not ahead in Louisiana it's RIGGED I TELL YOU
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« Reply #270 on: June 22, 2021, 11:57:53 PM »

Today's PA Day, so at the very least we need round 1 results please.
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Peanut
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« Reply #271 on: June 23, 2021, 01:21:52 AM »

Yes. I really am very, very sorry for the delay. PA campaigning closes at midnight Eastern. Results will be out soon after. Polling and events coming today as well or I'm eating a sock.
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wxtransit
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« Reply #272 on: June 23, 2021, 01:23:12 AM »

Yes. I really am very, very sorry for the delay. PA campaigning closes at midnight Eastern. Results will be out soon after. Polling and events coming today as well or I'm eating a sock.

Like Donald Wilders?
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #273 on: June 23, 2021, 01:23:35 AM »


We've heard that before! Wink
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #274 on: June 23, 2021, 01:27:02 AM »

Yes. I really am very, very sorry for the delay. PA campaigning closes at midnight Eastern. Results will be out soon after. Polling and events coming today as well or I'm eating a sock.

Like Donald Wilders?

OBD made a solemn vow to eat a sock four months ago if Ishan voted for Windjammer but REFUSED to honor his word! You can never trust an Easterner!
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