I dpn't know about that, I think that Lamont or Lieberman can win now. It seems like Lieberman has made a comeback. And depending on the turnout, that will determine who will win.
In a general election I would agree with you, but here's the kicker, in this poll undecideds were at 4%. Thats not a lot of ground for Lieberman to work with. He would have to convince 5% of Lamont voters to come back to him to squeek this one out. Plus, there is really no reliable way to predict how turnout will affect this. It could be that higher turnout would hurt Joe as the general dem opinion on him is lower than 50%. I think he can win, I just dont see it happening without him having a 5-10% lead over Lamont.
There is no reliable predictor of this race