Was Trump tougher to beat in 2020 than he was in 2016 (user search)

I think in 2020. It really seemed like the stars aligned for Biden to beat Trump; Biden was on the popular side of the most salient issues, Trump had botched COVID and the response to the BLM movement. Yet Biden barely won, with Trump proving to be much more formidable.

In 2016, it was obvious that the Democrats had a very flawed nominee, maybe the worst they could throw up against Trump. There was Dem fatigue, and Trump had control over populist issues like immigration and trade, yet Trump just barely won.

Although debatable, I think that Biden's victory was a 75 percentile+ outcome. In most playouts of 2020, Trump wins again. In 2016, Trump's victory was a 25 percentile outcome. In most playouts, the Democrat would win.

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