Rate NH-01

[Woody]

?

[ProgressiveModerate]

My prediction is the GOP will try to make as red of a district as possible in exchange for as blue of a district as possible. NH is difficult because pretty much the entire state has a pretty even distribution of D and R communities, alongside that Democrats are gaining in the redder areas of NH (Southeast) while Republicans are "gaining" ground in the traditionally bluer parts of the state. I'll say tilt R because I think NH-1 is the district that has the better chance of becoming the more red of the 2 districts

[Nyvin]

Depends what Republicans do with the map

[Frenchrepublican]

I guess that republicans will try to make it a bit more conservative, probably a marginal Trump seat so Tilt R

[Chips]

Toss-up.

[MillennialModerate]

Tilt D

[Meatball Ron]

Under the current lines, Tilt D (closer to Lean than Toss-Up), but in all likelihood, the GOP will do what ProgressiveModerate says, and we'll be looking at Likely R (for '22 at least - the new district will get easier for Dems as the Seacoast and Boston exurb areas continue trending D).

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Voted tossup in absence of better information.

[Progressive Pessimist]

It will depend on redistricting, but if current trends hold in the Boston exurbs I think that Pappas might still be mildly favored. So with all that being considered I'll go with a tilt D estimation.