Would Trump have won without COVID?

[Real Texan Politics]

Yes I know this is a Red Eagle video and I'll probably get ridiculed for it, but I still wanna know your opinions on whether or not the results would've been drastically different.

For those who don't want to watch the video and wanna skip to the map, here's his map (keep in mind the definitions for his ratings may be different then y'alls):




As for me, I think Trump would win, but the map would've been a little different. Here's mine:

[Real Texan Politics]

Given that Trump is Trump, something else probably would have come up to affect the election.

Red Eagle discussed how the alt history of covid not existing would've affected the George Floyd riots. How do you (or anyone else if they wanna pipe in) think the riots would've been affected? Would Floyd not have been in the position he was in if not for covid? Autopsies did show he had covid in his system at the time of his death.