Would Trump have won without COVID?
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Would Trump have won without COVID?
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Question: Would Trump have won without COVID?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 55

Author Topic: Would Trump have won without COVID?  (Read 2727 times)
Pericles
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« Reply #25 on: March 20, 2021, 10:01:29 PM »

So long as the economy held (there were some signs that it might not, even before COVID), I think he wins, and even if it were to dip I don't think it would've been noticeable enough for him to lose. I think he wins with this map:



PA and NV could also go to Trump, but I think at least one of them would go for Biden in the end, if both were to go, it would get Trump to 296, which would be IMHO his electoral ceiling.

NE-02 was not close, it could have been a tie so the House selects Trump.
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