Would Giuliani have beaten Democrats in the NYC tristate area in 2008?

[Suburbia]

He was the 9/11 mayor, pro-choice, pro-LGBTQ rights, anticrime, appealing to suburban voters.....

[Suburbia]

He would lose NYC (save for Staten Island), but carry Rockland, Nassau, and Suffolk Counties. Most of North Jersey would probably vote Giuliani, as a lot of Giuliani's base from when he was mayor, moved there. CT might be harder, as there was less of the original Giuliani base who lived there.

Enough for NJ to flip Republican in 2008?

[Suburbia]

He would lose NYC (save for Staten Island), but carry Rockland, Nassau, and Suffolk Counties. Most of North Jersey would probably vote Giuliani, as a lot of Giuliani's base from when he was mayor, moved there. CT might be harder, as there was less of the original Giuliani base who lived there.

Enough for NJ to flip Republican in 2008?

South Jersey was bluer back then, so that would have been just enough to save Obama in the state

Would Giuliani have won Passaic and Middlesex? States that haven't voted GOP since Bush 1988

[Suburbia]

He would lose NYC (save for Staten Island), but carry Rockland, Nassau, and Suffolk Counties. Most of North Jersey would probably vote Giuliani, as a lot of Giuliani's base from when he was mayor, moved there. CT might be harder, as there was less of the original Giuliani base who lived there.

Enough for NJ to flip Republican in 2008?

South Jersey was bluer back then, so that would have been just enough to save Obama in the state

Would Giuliani have won Passaic and Middlesex? States that haven't voted GOP since Bush 1988

Yes, but by the skin of his teeth

Wow. I think Obama would have won NJ by 4 points. But Giuliani would have lost the election

[Suburbia]

He would lose NYC (save for Staten Island), but carry Rockland, Nassau, and Suffolk Counties. Most of North Jersey would probably vote Giuliani, as a lot of Giuliani's base from when he was mayor, moved there. CT might be harder, as there was less of the original Giuliani base who lived there.

Expanding on remarks he first made to the Staten Island Advance, Molinari said the election of Mayor Giuliani on the Republican and Liberal lines in 1993 was “an aberration.”

“It’s just a political fact of life,” added Molinari, one of the mayor’s closest allies. “Our base has moved out to New Jersey and Connecticut and been replaced by Democrats.”

https://nypost.com/1999/03/03/2001-a-race-oddity-molinari-backs-hevesi/