Who wins TX-GOV based on these counties?
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Poll
Question: Who wins the race based on these counties?
#1
Greg Abbott		  
#2
Democrat (most likely Beto)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 19

Author Topic: Who wins TX-GOV based on these counties?  (Read 544 times)
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« on: March 03, 2021, 02:23:46 PM »
« edited: March 03, 2021, 02:31:18 PM by Teflon Ron 2024 »
For this one we'll just assume the dem nominee is Beto O'Rourke. As for the county results (keep in mind all but Zapata went to Abbott in 2018 and all but Collin and Denton went to Beto in 2018)....

Fort Bend - D+11
Jefferson - R+2
Nueces - D+1
Tarrant - D+2
Williamson - D+3
Collin - D+0.5 (closest county in the state by percentage; went to Abbott by double digits in 2018)
Zapata - D+21 (remember this county went to Trump by 5% in 2020)
Denton - R+4
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2021, 02:56:39 PM »
Abbott is safe but Energy crisis will affect our Congressial races including Redistricting, there are Latino districts in TX and D's are in better position than in 2020, since Energy crisis damaged R chances
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2021, 11:19:16 AM »
Abbott probably squeaks by less than 2%, but this kind of result isn't likely in 2022.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2021, 01:08:20 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 04, 2021, 11:19:16 AM
Abbott probably squeaks by less than 2%, but this kind of result isn't likely in 2022.

This.  With midterm turnout so skewed toward college-plus voters, Collin is almost surely a couple points left of the state.  2012 me can't believe I'm saying this, but D+0.5 there just isn't enough!
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2021, 09:22:15 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on March 04, 2021, 01:08:20 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 04, 2021, 11:19:16 AM
Abbott probably squeaks by less than 2%, but this kind of result isn't likely in 2022.

This.  With midterm turnout so skewed toward college-plus voters, Collin is almost surely a couple points left of the state.  2012 me can't believe I'm saying this, but D+0.5 there just isn't enough!

I know this whole thread is for y'all to speculate who would win based on the county results listed, but honestly I think Collin would be the bellwether in this case. Basically whoever wins Collin wins the election, meaning that since Beto won Collin in this scenario......


Also wow my 1000th post, that's pretty cool.
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