Spanish elections and politics III / Pedro Sánchez faces a new term as PM

[Mike88]

Turnout seems on path to reach 67%. If that happens it will be the best local election turnout since 2003.

We'll see.

[Mike88]

6pm turnout by major city:

Madrid - 56.69% (+4.66%)
Barcelona - 48.70% (-3.30%)
Valencia - 60.09% (+8.29%)
Zaragoza - 52.46% (+3.06%)
Sevilla - 48.43% (+4.21%)
Bilbao - 46.60% (-4.45%)

[Mike88]

6pm turnout by major region (electoral importance that is):

Valencia - 57.81% (+6.64%)
Castilla-La-Mancha - 57.47% (+4.23%)
Aragón - 54.61% (+2.84%)
Extremadura - 57.14% (+3.63%)
Madrid - 56.98% (+5.65%)

[Mike88]

30 minutes until polls close.

[Mike88]

Polls are now closed.

GAD3 predictions:

Regions:

Valencia - PP+Vox could have a majority
Madrid - Ayuso wins a majority
Aragón - PP+Vox could also have a majority
Castilla-La-Mancha - PSOE wins, but a PP+Vox majority is possible
Baleares - PP wins, but a left majority is possible
Navarra - UPN wins, but a government formation will be complicated

Cities:

Madrid - PP wins a majority
Barcelona - Colau ahead, but very close with PSC and Trias
Valencia - PP wins and has a majority with Vox
Zaragoza - PP wins and has a majority with Vox
Seville - PP ahead of PSOE

So far, quite a good result for PP, but these are polls not exit polls and lets wait for the count.

[Mike88]

GAD3 also predicts that PP will be the most voted party nationwide in the local elections with more than 1 million votes ahead of PSOE.

[Mike88]

Waiting for the results.............

[Mike88]

PP also leads, according to GAD3, in all 8 provincial capitals of Andalusia.

Vigo
PSOE 19-20 / 19
PP 5 / 5
BNG 2-3 / 2
Marea de Vigo 0 / 1

Christmas arrived 2 months early for Caballero. It normally starts in August.

[Mike88]

The official results website is real crappy this year...

[Mike88]

The official results website is real crappy this year...

And.... it crashed.

[Mike88]

Early municipal results don't look that bad for the left, though it may be the bias in the vote counting.

Also: Use the app to see the results.

I'm following the El País website. They are working fine.

Yeah, the first results are better than expected for the left, however, in Spain normally the later votes are more rightwing friendly.

[Mike88]

The most surprising result, so far, is Seville.

With almost 40% counted, PSOE leads comfortably PP:

41.7% PSOE
32.8% PP
  8.9% Vox
  7.5% CA

[Mike88]

RIP Ciudadanos.

0.98% nationwide...

[Mike88]

Map with city by city results:

https://www.rtve.es/noticias/elecciones/autonomicas-municipales/mapa-resultados/

[Mike88]

Huelva has flipped to the PP by around 300 votes. Still a lot to count.

Seville is getting closer, 39-36% in favour of PSOE with 41% left to count.

Madrid counting slow, but with the 16% counted, PP+Vox have just a 29 seat majority.

In Valencia, with 44% counted, PP+Vox have the exactly 17 needed for a majority.

[Mike88]

Seville is getting closer, 39-36% in favour of PSOE with 41% left to count.

Seville has just flipped to the PP, 38-37% with 72% counted.

Cáceres has also flipped to the Conservatives.

[Mike88]

Barcelona, as expected, is a total 3-way race: 57% counted

21.1% PSC
20.5% Trias
19.6% Colau

[Mike88]

So far a disaster. The main site is in tatters and nothing has been counted for the Autonomous Communities elections, while the El Pais site is just completely glitchy.

The El Mundo one has results by the major cities:

https://www.elmundo.es/elecciones/elecciones-municipales/resultados/index.html

Jaén is so far the only Andalusian provincial capital that has PSOE leading, 40-34% with 68% counted.

[Mike88]

PP has surpassed PSOE as the most voted party nationwide with 52.88% counted:

29.17% PP
28.99% PSOE

[Mike88]

So far a disaster. The main site is in tatters and nothing has been counted for the Autonomous Communities elections, while the El Pais site is just completely glitchy.

Also, the Autonomous Communities elections are the last to be counted. The municipales ballots are the first to be counted, thus the slow Communities count.

[Mike88]

The PSC is taking the lead in Barcelona (10 councilors) followed by Junts (10), BCOMU (9), ERC (5), PP (4) and Vox  (3). Socialists are going to have good local results in Catalonia tonight

Trias has just surpassed PSC, 21.2-20.8%. Also, happy that CUP is collapsing.

[Mike88]

Bildu is right now leading in Vitoria-Gasteiz with 97% counted, but a PSOE-PNV coalition will probably hold on to the city.

In Pamplona, UPN and Bildu are neck and neck.

[Mike88]

Off to dinner.

[Mike88]

In Madrid, PP has a majority as Podemos fell bellow the 5% threshold.

Trias was won the elections in Barcelona, but not sure how will he govern.

In Valencia, PP+Vox continues to hold on to a slim majority.

Seville was, in the end, an easy PP win.

Jaén was a slim PSOE win by just 297 votes over the PP.

In Zaragoza, PP almost won a majority.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In the Community of Madrid, just 24% counted and Ayuso is at 62 seats.

In the Valencia Community, PP+Vox have a 53 seats, with 49% counted.

Really close in Extremadura, with 42% counted PSOE is 40-38% ahead of PP. PP+Vox have a majority so far.

In Castilla-La-Mancha, PSOE is holding on to a slim 17 seat majority, the bare minimum, but there's still a lot to count.

In Aragón, PP+Vox have the bare minimum for a majority, 34, with 71% counted.

[Mike88]

In Baleares, PP+Vox also have a majority with 66% counted.

In the Canary islands, so far, with 16% counted, CC+PP+Vox have a majority. But again, there's still a lot to count here also.

In Cantabria, the end of an era. PRC is polling third and PP+Vox have a slim 18 seat majority.

In Asturias, PSOE is leading but its getting close. PP+Vox+Foro have 22 seats with 23 needed for a majority.