A 'who could conceivably win the GOP nomination?' poll

[beesley]

For non-Donald Trump candidates, tick those who could win if Trump wasn't running.

[TheReckoning]

Dan Quayle sweeps all 50 state primaries and caucuses.

Obvious answer is obvious.

[Lambsbread]

Not sure why Trump himself would be included if the scenario posits Trump not running, nevertheless...I made my choices off of "if this person ran, would they win" rather than "do I think this person runs" because it's obvious a few of these folks will not run in 2024 (or ever, possibly):

Don Jr
Ivanka
Pence
Desantis
MTG (whom I struggled with, but I think she is crazy enough to capture that Trump support and squeeze her way into the nomination just out of the Trump base's proclivity for "triggering the libs")
Cruz
Rick Scott
Josh Hawley
Boebert (see MTG)
Tuck Everlasting

[Ferguson97]

Trump
Trump Jr.
Pence
DeSantis
Cruz
Hawley
Linell
Boebert
Carlson
Hannity

[Meatball Ron]

Great chance: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis (if Trump doesn't run), Ted Cruz (if Trump doesn't run), Tucker Carlson (if Trump doesn't run)

Moderate chance: Donald Trump Jr., Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Lauren Boebert, Mike Lindell

Small chance: Ivanka Trump, Mike Pence, Mike Pompeo, Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, Sean Hannity, Greg Abbott

No chance: Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Lindsey Graham, Sarah Palin, Ben Carson, Mike Lee, John James

Less than no chance: Charlie Baker, Larry Hogan, Elise Stefanik, Dan Quayle, Mitt Romney

[boltzy_]

In the event Trump and DeSantis end up not running for whatever reason, Mike Lindell and Tucker Carlson are two darkhorses who could win the nomination from Cruz, Cotton, or Hawley by running as an outsider. Don't doubt them just because they aren't politicians, people who doubted Trump made the same mistake.

[SN2903]

Best to least chance in my opinion if Trump doesn't run. If Trump runs the GOP cannot stop him for the nomination.

DeSantis
Cruz
Trump Jr.
Hawley
Tucker
Lindell
Ivanka
Rubio
Pompeo


Rest on here have 0 chance.

[SN2903]

In the event Trump and DeSantis end up not running for whatever reason, Mike Lindell and Tucker Carlson are two darkhorses who could win the nomination from Cruz, Cotton, or Hawley by running as an outsider. Don't doubt them just because they aren't politicians, people who doubted Trump made the same mistake.

Agree 100%

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

I don't think Trump Jr or Ivanka have any real shot at the nomination. Junior is too unstable (even compared to his father), and I think the GOP is far too bigoted to put any woman at the top of the ticket (although Ivanka as VP seems plausible to me as something someone cutting a deal with Trump for his backing might do).