Nearly 19k Pennsylvania voters have left the GOP since the Capitol attack (user search)
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  Nearly 19k Pennsylvania voters have left the GOP since the Capitol attack (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nearly 19k Pennsylvania voters have left the GOP since the Capitol attack  (Read 1195 times)
StateBoiler
fe234
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« on: February 22, 2021, 10:44:08 AM »
« edited: February 22, 2021, 10:49:10 AM by StateBoiler »

http://ballot-access.org/2021/02/11/new-pennsylvania-registration-data-2/

Quote
Pennsylvania Elections Department has released the first registration totals for any minor parties since February 2020. The new figures are: Democratic 4,075,927; Republican 3,458,241; Libertarian 46,037; Green 10,240; independent and miscellaneous 1,222,818.

The percentages are: Democratic 46.25%; Republican 39.24%; Libertarian .52%; Green .12%; independent and miscellaneous 13.87%.

In February 2020, the percentages were: Democratic 47.45%; Republican 38.19%; Libertarian .47%; Green .12%; independent and miscellaneous 13.77%.

The 2021 registration numbers above are as of February 1st I think.

As a longtime reader of Ballot Access News which has always reported these numbers when they are released, I'm amused by the media's and this message board's sudden interest in politcal party registration as well as how they only report one side of it. We're completely ignoring how over 1 year the Democrats are down more than 1% and the Republicans are up more than 1%.

People on this board I expect to be one-eyed, journalists however should be held to a higher standard. I might be in the mood to call journalists out for being water carriers.
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StateBoiler
fe234
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Posts: 3,890


« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2021, 10:51:24 AM »

You're right, a similar pattern was seen in Arizona. Republicans up and Democrats down.

http://ballot-access.org/2021/02/17/new-arizona-registration-data-11/

Quote
The Arizona Secretary of State has posted registration data for January 2, 2021. See it here. The website does not show the Green Party, but it has 4,226 registrants.

The percentages are: Republican 35.36%; Democratic 32.10%; Libertarian .89%; Green .10%; other and independent 31.55%.

Percentages in August 2020 were: Republican 34.84%; Democratic 32.41%; Libertarian .83%; Green .11%; other and independent 31.80%.

It's amusing how many people on this board are so full of sh**t.
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StateBoiler
fe234
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*****
Posts: 3,890


« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2021, 11:03:07 AM »

http://ballot-access.org/2021/02/11/new-pennsylvania-registration-data-2/

Quote
Pennsylvania Elections Department has released the first registration totals for any minor parties since February 2020. The new figures are: Democratic 4,075,927; Republican 3,458,241; Libertarian 46,037; Green 10,240; independent and miscellaneous 1,222,818.

The percentages are: Democratic 46.25%; Republican 39.24%; Libertarian .52%; Green .12%; independent and miscellaneous 13.87%.

In February 2020, the percentages were: Democratic 47.45%; Republican 38.19%; Libertarian .47%; Green .12%; independent and miscellaneous 13.77%.

The 2021 registration numbers above are as of February 1st I think.

As a longtime reader of Ballot Access News which has always reported these numbers when they are released, I'm amused by the media's and this message board's sudden interest in politcal party registration as well as how they only report one side of it. We're completely ignoring how over 1 year the Democrats are down more than 1% and the Republicans are up more than 1%.

People on this board I expect to be one-eyed, journalists however should be held to a higher standard. I might be in the mood to call journalists out for being water carriers.

If you read the article, it's all based on data. It's just going off of the normal trends. The data says there IS more of a switch off than usual, and it compares numerous years past. General registration trends are still going on in PA, but the fact that are so many *switchers* is notable

So the state is voluntarily releasing mid-term updates in party registration where their previous update was a year prior (from February 2020 to February 2021)? Bullsh**t. Again, Richard Winger at Ballot Access News has recorded this data whenever it was released by states going back to when Clinton was president. States don't release this information on a weekly basis. The most often it is done by most states that practice party registration is quarterly.

If it's its own thing and a journalist is using his or her own time to tabulate these numbers, that is prime example A of gaslighting and a journalist that is likely being paid by someone to push a narrrative. Because if party registration is an item of public interest, then why the f*#k were they not items of public interest that was never reported on by this journalist or anyone else for the past 25 years? And you know what all those party registration statistics have pretty consistently looked like? Democrats almost always down, Republican either even, up, or a small number down. Independents always up. Third parties even to small amount up. That the only time that they have ever decided to report on party registration statistics is NOW, you are the most partisan bullsh**t journalist ever! Why didn't they report on party registration statistics back over the life of Obama as president and their numbers went nowhere but down? Again, Richard Winger has published these statistics at http://www.ballot-access.org since the 1990s, it's not like they're some state secret. Did they not report these numbers from 2008 to 2016 because it went counter to a narrative they wanted to spread? Don't even attempt an argument otherwise, I'm laughing at the prospect of anyone attempting an argument because this is the easiest argument for me to win ever.
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StateBoiler
fe234
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Posts: 3,890


« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2021, 11:20:17 AM »
« Edited: February 22, 2021, 11:27:42 AM by StateBoiler »

November 2016 and May 2017 registration numbers from Pennsylvania:

http://ballot-access.org/2017/05/18/new-pennsylvania-registration-data/

Quote
The Pennsylvania Department of State has released a voter registration tally for the May 2017 primary, which was held earlier this week. The percentages are: Democratic 47.94%; Republican 38.29%; Libertarian .55%; Green .15%; other and independent 13.08%.

In November 2016, the percentages were: Democratic 48.34%; Republican 37.85%; Libertarian .56%; Green .16%; other and independent 13.09%. Thanks to Michael for the link.

So here's the change from November 2016 - month of Trump's election - to February 2021:

Democrats down 2.09%
Republicans up 1.39%
Libertarians down 0.04%
Greens down 0.04%
Independent/Miscellaneous up 0.78%

Did the Inquirer or Billy Penn ever report on this?

But here, I'll give ole Billy a pass. All he has to do is every 90 days or however often the state of Pennsylvania updates their data, he just reports how many Democrats have left the state party as well as Republicans joining or leaving. That would be what an independent unbiased journalist would do in light of publishing this.
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StateBoiler
fe234
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,890


« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2021, 11:35:25 AM »

November 2016 and May 2017 registration numbers from Pennsylvania:

http://ballot-access.org/2017/05/18/new-pennsylvania-registration-data/

Quote
The Pennsylvania Department of State has released a voter registration tally for the May 2017 primary, which was held earlier this week. The percentages are: Democratic 47.94%; Republican 38.29%; Libertarian .55%; Green .15%; other and independent 13.08%.

In November 2016, the percentages were: Democratic 48.34%; Republican 37.85%; Libertarian .56%; Green .16%; other and independent 13.09%. Thanks to Michael for the link.

So here's the change from November 2016 - month of Trump's election - to February 2021:

Democrats down 2.09%
Republicans up 1.39%
Libertarians down 0.04%
Greens down 0.04%
Independent/Miscellaneous up 0.78%

Did the Inquirer or Billy Penn ever report this?

The continuation of a trend at a similar rate is not very newsworthy and there has been plenty of coverage on the gradual realignment. Take this, for instance:


A spike in the opposite direction looks like a bigger disruption and makes for more clicks, although I personally believe it's less likely to represent a long-term shift in political sentiment.

I suppose this is akin to a recession getting more news coverage than a slower continuation of a long-term upward trend in GDP.

Good for NBC. They practice real journalism unless this piece of sh**t at the Inquirer. Gaslighting is not journalism.
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