Which Governor up for re-election between now & 2022 do you think is most vulnerable to defeat? (user search)

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Which Governor up for re-election between now & 2022 do you think is most vulnerable to defeat? (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

Which Governor who's up for re-election between now & 2022 do you believe to be the most vulnerable to an electoral defeat?

#1 Phil Murphy (D-NJ)		0 (0%)
#2 Kay Ivey (R-AL)		0 (0%)
#3 Mike Dunleavy (R-AK)		1 (1.3%)
#4 Gavin Newsom (D-CA)		1 (1.3%)
#5 Jared Polis (D-CO)		0 (0%)
#6 Ned Lamont (D-CT)		2 (2.5%)
#7 Ron DeSantis (R-FL)		3 (3.8%)
#8 Brian Kemp (R-GA)		21 (26.3%)
#9 Brad Little (R-ID)		0 (0%)
#10 J.B. Pritzker (D-IL)		0 (0%)
#11 Kim Reynolds (R-IA)		0 (0%)
#12 Laura Kelly (D-KS)		32 (40%)
#13 Janet Mills (D-ME)		0 (0%)
#14 Charlie Baker (R-MA)		0 (0%)
#15 Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI)		0 (0%)
#16 Tim Walz (D-MN)		0 (0%)
#17 Steve Sisolak (D-NV)		4 (5%)
#18 Chris Sununu (R-NH)		0 (0%)
#19 Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-NM)		0 (0%)
#20 Andrew Cuomo (D-NY)		3 (3.8%)
#21 Mike DeWine (R-OH)		0 (0%)
#22 Kevin Stitt (R-OK)		0 (0%)
#23 Henry McMaster (R-SC)		0 (0%)
#24 Kristi Noem (R-SD)		0 (0%)
#25 Bill Lee (R-TN)		0 (0%)
#26 Greg Abbott (R-TX)		1 (1.3%)
#27 Phil Scott (R-VT)		0 (0%)
#28 Tony Evers (D-WI)		12 (15%)
#29 Mark Gordon (R-WY)		0 (0%)

Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 80

Author

Topic: Which Governor up for re-election between now & 2022 do you think is most vulnerable to defeat? (Read 1814 times)

Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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Posts: 4,719

	Re: Which Governor up for re-election between now & 2022 do you think is most vulnerable to defeat? « on: February 25, 2021, 10:40:44 AM »
	« edited: February 25, 2021, 10:44:23 AM by EastOfEden »

Quote from: NewYorkExpress on February 21, 2021, 08:46:34 PM

Laura Kelly.

She got really lucky in 2018 that she was facing Kris Kobach. If she faces even a slightly more rational opponent, she loses.

Kathleen Sebelius got really lucky in 2002 that she was facing Tim Shallenburger. If she faces even a slightly more rational opponent, like Jim Barnett maybe, she loses.

Kansas is idiosyncratic. Don't count Kelly out. She outperformed her polls in 2018 - they were all pointing to a 1-point race. Personally, I think she still could have won against Colyer, just by a smaller margin (+1 or +2 instead of +5).

Obviously she's not going to cruise to victory, but don't underestimate how powerful the "Brownback in disguise!" attack is in Kansas.

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