Which Governor up for re-election between now & 2022 do you think is most vulnerable to defeat?

[Real Texan Politics]

I'd say Kemp is the most, but I'll explain some others:

• Gavin Newsom - covid response; recall effort; may be more at risk to get primaried than to lose a general election (this is still California and it's not 2003)
• Ron DeSantis - covid response mostly (vaccines may or may not be a saving grace); whistleblower raid (may be forgotten about until the attack ads come in); Florida's a vulnerable state overall
• Brian Kemp - Trump/Qanon supporters hate his guts; potential primary challenge from Doug Collins or someone else; Stacey Abrams seems to be religiously popular with Georgia democrats; possibility of ultra high voter turnout; and do I need to mention the Atlanta trends?
• Kim Reynolds - extremely unpopular; and would Iowa still be considered a swing state on the state and local levels?
• Laura Kelly - democrat governor in a ruby red state; depends on the GOP nominee
• Gretchen Whitmer - not extremely vulnerable but her highly strict covid response could result in some decent opposition turnout
• Steve Sisolak - covid response; Nevada's still a swing state
• Andrew Cuomo - nursing home scandal, though this may hurt him more in the primaries than in the general. This is still New York after all.
• Mike DeWine - hardcore republicans (especially Trump supporters) don't seem to like him that much due to his strict covid response
• Kristi Noem - covid response; also seems to be pretty unpopular
• Greg Abbott - winter storm/power crisis; covid response; democratic trends; still not as vulnerable as Cruz after Cancungate
• Tony Evers - swing state; also how's his covid response approved of?

[Real Texan Politics]

DeSantis will lose, Trump only won by 300K votes like Johnson did in 2016, he didn't win by 3M, despite the fact Trump is from FL.

Miami isn't voting 10 pts for a D, that won't happen with Crist as our nominee

Ok we get it.

[Real Texan Politics]

• Kim Reynolds - extremely unpopular; and would Iowa still be considered a swing state on the state and local levels?

Democrats did decently in Iowa in 2018 without Trump on the ballot. I'm inclined to believe Democrats should at least be competitive in 2022. She completely botched Iowa's COVID battle and she's pushing through a very conservative and unpopular agenda in Iowa with social issues and local control on tap, plus continuing to decimate Iowa's public schools.

That's why I rated Iowa gubernatorial as a tossup.